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12-14-2018, 03:41 AM

#71

bitatasg

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Joined APC: Aug 2016

Posts: 54

Quote:

Originally Posted by flyguy81

And I haven’t seen any release of parking older jets for a few more years. Something is in the works with the training center expansion, etc. Epuldnt surprise me to see red eyes start. Would need a 3rd rsv shift to cover it.

I believe I read they are parking 10 700’s per year over the next 4-5 years and delivering 40-50 Max’s per year over the same time frame.

12-14-2018, 08:12 AM

#72

RJSAviator76

Gets Weekend Reserve

Joined APC: Jul 2007

Posts: 3,617

Our retirements pick up around 2020 as well. We start retiring around 200+/year in 2020 due to age 65.

So, if we are completely stagnant, i.e. zero net change in schedule, how do we replace the retirements? Unlike our superior brothers and sisters at the legacies, we don't have the Express/Connection that we can outsource our flying to. So how, and at what ratio do we replace our retirements?

12-14-2018, 09:42 AM

#73

WhaleSurfing

Banned

Joined APC: May 2015

Posts: 289

We should all probably start paying more attention to what's taking place in the economy right now then worrying about upgrades.

12-14-2018, 02:38 PM

#74

RJSAviator76

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Joined APC: Jul 2007

Posts: 3,617

Quote:

Originally Posted by WhaleSurfing

We should all probably start paying more attention to what's taking place in the economy right now then worrying about upgrades.

What's going on in the economy aside from the Wall Street gamblers, pardon me, "investors" being "worried" about the price of tea in China? Should I take my 401k into cash and let these gambl... investors (sorry!) play with someone else's money?

12-14-2018, 06:41 PM

#75

flensr

Gets Weekends Off

Joined APC: Nov 2015

Posts: 1,121

Quote:

Originally Posted by WhaleSurfing

We should all probably start paying more attention to what's taking place in the economy right now then worrying about upgrades.

The economy is booming, unemployment at historic lows and energy prices are held up by demand, not lack of supply. That's great both short and long term.

If you're talking about the stock market instead, then that's a different thing entirely. The stock market has had a run up for quite a while and was overdue for at least some sort of correction. The political nonsense coming out of DC may be exaggerating the swings but the stock market is pretty much business as usual. Pick any 5-year period in history and the stock market is up like 95% of those 5-year periods, in spite of the crashes, corrections, etc etc.

When the stock market is down, that really just means that it's ON SALE so go get you some

It'll go back up in spite of the "resistance" nonsense, just like it always does.

12-14-2018, 06:50 PM

#76

WhaleSurfing

Banned

Joined APC: May 2015

Posts: 289

And yet DL lowered their outlook for 2019 based in part on a a declining consumer confidence.

I think I heard how great the economy was in 2007/2008 during the first part of the presidential election cycle. How'd that turn out?

12-14-2018, 07:16 PM

#77

flyguy81

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Joined APC: Oct 2006

Posts: 2,847

Quote:

Originally Posted by bitatasg

I believe I read they are parking 10 700’s per year over the next 4-5 years and delivering 40-50 Max’s per year over the same time frame.

Earlier this year Gary said we wouldn’t start to retire -700’s until 2022 unless oil started trending higher. At which time the -7 Max orders should start ramping up. What he says and what happens....who knows