Hes a negative Nancy who seems to get off trolling and acting like he knows with 100% certainty things will happen just as he says they will. Newsflash - no one knows jack.

I pay zero attention to him. I would suggest the same. Not even worth it.

Flying will pick up at some point. All we can do is look at historical perspective. Right now this was about a 100 day event in China. They are slowly transitioning back to a functioning society.

We will also have a good idea, in terms of timeline, when Italy and other countries recover.

The bottom line is people are going to fly again. You can sit there and choose to think otherwise, but there is zero data to support everyone driving in their cars 18 hours to visit friends and family or taking Amtrak 3 days across the country.

 

Dude - I have an umbrella
I do fully expect that a furlough may be coming. If the Voluntary leave reaches me - I may even take that to stay away from the Corona world! Lets see.
I am fully prepared to be furloughed.

 

I feel like we carry extra bodies for 6 mo out of the year normally. These big reductions are hitting the beginning of our busy season meaning we probably won’t need all the people we currently have until this time next year.

not sure how the grants are structured or what the no furlough date is as I haven’t read the bill but I’m guessing if it comes in the fall that’s the beginning of six months of slow flying.

 

hey man, enjoy training, don’t worry about the negativity on here. At least you’ll have a number. Nobody knows what’s going to happen.

Cheers

 

This is 100% correct in the end.

 

cant furlough until oct 1

as I have expected with testing increasing the mortality rate is dropping just as rapidly. Hopefully that’ll show people it’s not as scary as everyone has made it out to be.

 

Testing is increasing but in terms of the curve of this virus in the usa we're roughly 1/3 of the way in while major cities health care facilities are nearing overcapacity which is where and why deaths will occur.
There's is 0 evidence that the mortality rate is dropping period. 183 deaths in NYC yesterday a new high with spikes of cases in new Orleans and Chicago as the new epicenters. Those 40000 ventilators NYC requested alone are not because the mortality rate is going down either for example again..
Though I get trying to be positive your numbers are simply not fact. Minimizing the issue at hand is what people like Fauci are trying to educate people on as social distancing, leveraged health care capacity and access to testing will start the decline of the mortality rate.
Imo the big f may be inevitable but is simply in hindsight if this virus isn't controlled correctly. I'd say just expect the worst and hope for the best

 

Sound advice on apc, got it !


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

The mortality rate may not actually be dropping, but it is revealing itself. And it is revealing itself to not be nearly as bad as what was originally feared. The population studies out of Iceland where over 3% of the population has been tested reveal that half of the infected are totally asymptomatic, and in most other countries are not even being identified at all. While that does nothing about the NUMBER who are dying, it cuts the RATE in half. With universal testing it seems likely that the true rate will end up down around 0.3-0.4%, a huge improvement from the initial 2-3% mortality rate being used in many of the epidemiological models based upon early mortality figures.

and yeah, while all those asymptomatic people running around feeling well but potentially spreading the virus has its own set of negatives, it does indeed bring the fatality rate down and hastens the day when there won’t be enough susceptibles out there to sustain the epidemic and it will start to burn itself out.

 

5and20 were you able to post the details of that oct 1 furlough you’re telling everyone about? Where was that date posted and by whom?