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Old 09-09-2020 | 07:18 AM
  #41  
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Originally Posted by Poss
Wadr we've never seen what? An exogenous event causing an airline over staffing issue leading to bumps and furloughs? We see it almost every ten years. Is the solution to perceived mistakes to turn this career into a multi year part time job for the majority every ten years?
Generalizing past mistakes into the present unique situation which is by far worse than anything this airline has ever experienced holds some value, but it certainly isn’t how any professional ought to be navigating the path forward. I don’t believe anyone has or is suggesting this career be turned into a multi-year part-time job. Maybe trim back the emotions which are leading to a fear-mongering outcome and then ask thoughtful questions to your union reps when and if the AiP becomes available to thoroughly read. Since we can’t do that yet there’s no need for reactive conclusions.
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Old 09-09-2020 | 07:24 AM
  #42  
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Originally Posted by FettyWap
Unless the company threatens furloughs again and negotiates another “deal” or United goes through Ch11 and uses this “deal” as the new floor to argue for bigger concessions
Sorry , with hard snap backs dont see it playing that way in ch. 11. If you take permanent concessions I would agree.

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Old 09-09-2020 | 07:24 AM
  #43  
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Originally Posted by WhisperJet
What happened to the other forum?
That forum is compromised. They banned all the vocal opposition. They are selectively censoring posts that under normal circumstances would stand untouched. They even removed the “like” button so they could silence approval for users’ posts.

One of the mods is pro-concessions, so no surprise there.
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Old 09-09-2020 | 07:29 AM
  #44  
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Originally Posted by Zoomie
This didnt answer the question.

Where did the other forum go?

Seems really shady the other forum dissapears on the eve of a “potentially” cocessionary AIP.

Where did it go?
(...Things that make you go hmmm...)
Don’t be surprised if they shut it down soon. Remember they shut down the ALPA Forum about 12 years ago due to a so-called virus? Total BS. They’re having server issues over there supposedly, but the truth is that they’re compromised.
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Old 09-09-2020 | 07:32 AM
  #45  
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Originally Posted by Barley
Generalizing past mistakes into the present unique situation which is by far worse than anything this airline has ever experienced holds some value, but it certainly isn’t how any professional ought to be navigating the path forward. I don’t believe anyone has or is suggesting this career be turned into a multi-year part-time job. Maybe trim back the emotions which are leading to a fear-mongering outcome and then ask thoughtful questions to your union reps based off of actual AiP language you’ve thoroughly read. Since we can’t do that yet there’s no need to react.
No emotion. Facts. Compensation currently down 20-30%. Thankfully we have an MPG. Now another hit because there is absolutely no way the company will fund the no furlough/no displacement demand as prescribed by the MC. Multi-year because historically furloughs don't last six months to a year, but longer.

I've seen the playbook before us as many times as you have fingers on your hands. Unless you've undergone an amputation, and for that I'm sorry.

Be well.
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Old 09-09-2020 | 07:37 AM
  #46  
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Originally Posted by Poss
No emotion. Facts. Compensation currently down 20-30%. Thankfully we have an MPG. Now another hit because there is absolutely no way the company will fund the no furlough/no displacement demand as prescribed by the MC. Multi-year because historically furloughs don't last six months to a year, but longer.

I've seen the playbook before us as many times as you have fingers on your hands. Unless you've undergone an amputation, and for that I'm sorry.

Be well.
Same circus....different clowns. We never learn.
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Old 09-09-2020 | 07:37 AM
  #47  
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Originally Posted by GPullR
There's hard set snap backs.

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You've read it? Maybe you can answer this then,

The AIP is purported to have hard snapbacks and concessions are temporary. The thinking is that these concessions are required because of the downturn in revenue caused by the pandemic.

My observation is that humanity has done a miserable job so far in predicting the end of the pandemic, yet our pilot negotiating committee has agreed to an end date? How do they know?

Since you're in the know, is it possible that snapbacks are tied to UAL cash reserves so that if United is at risk of violated covenants (free cash) and is headed to bankruptcy that we enter BK with our "real" contract?
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Old 09-09-2020 | 07:39 AM
  #48  
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Here’s the latest rumor:

Agreement in principle reached to mitigate all furloughs

cancel displacements of *top 2 thirds* of pilot group

all DH in first

11K LTD

some RSV improvements

bottom 1/3 (who would of been furloughed) get 50% MPG, Middle 1/3 takes 20% MPG cut, top 1/3 takes 10% MPG cut

Dynamic snap backs based on demand metrics compared to 2019 demand #’s

costs the company more money than a straight furlough

flexibility to quickly recover
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Old 09-09-2020 | 07:43 AM
  #49  
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Originally Posted by Thor
You've read it? Maybe you can answer this then,



The AIP is purported to have hard snapbacks and concessions are temporary. The thinking is that these concessions are required because of the downturn in revenue caused by the pandemic.



My observation is that humanity has done a miserable job so far in predicting the end of the pandemic, yet our pilot negotiating committee has agreed to an end date? How do they know?



Since you're in the know, is it possible that snapbacks are tied to UAL cash reserves so that if United is at risk of violated covenants (free cash) and is headed to bankruptcy that we enter BK with our "real" contract?
Actually maybe i have. You will see more details below, wasn't gonna out them out there but somebody below did. As long as they consider the improvements as well. Rumor is the snap back is tied to loads and a definitive date. Easy to have a hard snap back, just start furloughs at that point if it's not working out. Just like jb and others.

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Old 09-09-2020 | 07:43 AM
  #50  
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Originally Posted by Poss
No emotion. Facts. Compensation currently down 20-30%. Thankfully we have an MPG. Now another hit because there is absolutely no way the company will fund the no furlough/no displacement demand as prescribed by the MC. Multi-year because historically furloughs don't last six months to a year, but longer.

I've seen the playbook before us as many times as you have fingers on your hands. Unless you've undergone an amputation, and for that I'm sorry.

Be well.
All true. The company will never abide by any terms they agree to. We’re going to get screwed again. Unfortunately, there are enough pilots on the property who haven’t seen this movie before, so they’ll vote for it.
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