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Old 04-02-2015 | 06:07 PM
  #111  
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Originally Posted by svergin
Continental has announced that it was going to open new 737 bases in those cities because of the 100+ 737s on order. That would have happened regardless of the merger.
No it wouldn't have. Deal with reality someday. For now just stop.

Sincerely,
Pragmatic Ex Con
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Old 04-02-2015 | 07:45 PM
  #112  
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The 737 flying out of Houston has changed. More and more of that flying that was serviced by the 737 is now on the Airbus. Did you miss all of the vacancy bids with IAH 320 positions. If they increased the Airbus by almost 200 pilots over the last few bids what did you think would happen on 737? Displacements suck! When it's not your seat you can see clearly the need for them....but when it your seat or a city you want to based it seems like madness (I am hoping to be based in IAH)

On a side note there is absolutely no benefit to UAL management to move seats out so L UAL pilots can then bid them. That would cost a ton of money and when the share holders find out (you know the people our co workers in Chicago have fudicary responsibility to) they will call for people's heads and if the sum is large enough to push the stock price down during a share buyback program it could land them in court.
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Old 04-02-2015 | 08:38 PM
  #113  
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Originally Posted by Andy
Yes, oil related companies have slashed their budgets for this year. I guarantee that there is a decrease in passenger traffic out of IAH due to those cutbacks.

There may not be any individual flight cuts yet (I don't know; I haven't been monitoring schedule changes), but they've already said that base manning would be addressed after the summer. I would expect a reduction in scheduled flights this fall that should match the decreased demand. The only published traffic statistics that I can find are through June 2014 which are not going to reflect the economic downturn in Houston.

Do you think it's a good idea to adjust flight scheduling to maximize passenger traffic?
I have very good friends high up in the oil industry. Looking at over 70 dollars a barrel by end of year.
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Old 04-02-2015 | 11:06 PM
  #114  
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Originally Posted by 82spukram
The 737 flying out of Houston has changed. More and more of that flying that was serviced by the 737 is now on the Airbus. Did you miss all of the vacancy bids with IAH 320 positions. If they increased the Airbus by almost 200 pilots over the last few bids what did you think would happen on 737? Displacements suck! When it's not your seat you can see clearly the need for them....but when it your seat or a city you want to based it seems like madness (I am hoping to be based in IAH)

On a side note there is absolutely no benefit to UAL management to move seats out so L UAL pilots can then bid them. That would cost a ton of money and when the share holders find out (you know the people our co workers in Chicago have fudicary responsibility to) they will call for people's heads and if the sum is large enough to push the stock price down during a share buyback program it could land them in court.
Exactly. Count the new bodies on the 76T IAH, and the "surplus" of 756 pilots, and we have a winner. Do I like it? Nobody cares if we like it. It is what it is. Too many DEN 320 and 76T pilots? Count the number of 737 pilots in DEN.

Real easy math. Does it all make sense?

Where is that bottle of JD I left laying around?
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Old 04-03-2015 | 02:00 AM
  #115  
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Originally Posted by baseball
I have very good friends high up in the oil industry. Looking at over 70 dollars a barrel by end of year.
looking to go long oil, but with the Iranian nuke agreement/sanctions removal, I think that $70/bbl oil isn't in the cards for 2015 and likely not for all of 2016.

Currently, there is a supply glut. More Iranian oil coming on the world markets only exacerbates that glut.

If you want to see the glut in the numbers, start digging up oil storage numbers. Worldwide, land storage capacity is starting to get thin and arbs are buying up floating storage when the numbers make sense. Even after shale oil production falls steeply, there is so much oil in storage that prices aren't going to move up very quickly unless worldwide demand picks up significantly.

Originally Posted by Probe
Exactly. Count the new bodies on the 76T IAH, and the "surplus" of 756 pilots, and we have a winner. Do I like it? Nobody cares if we like it. It is what it is. Too many DEN 320 and 76T pilots? Count the number of 737 pilots in DEN.

Real easy math. Does it all make sense?

Where is that bottle of JD I left laying around?
Our job is to move metal from point A to point B, not decide base staffing. If a pilot wants to 'manage' the airline's staffing, they need to get out of the cockpit and start working in Willis tower.

I didn't like to see the SEA closure but bean counters with spreadsheets in Willis Tower decided that those assets would be more profitable if redeployed to other hubs. Speaking of which, where was Kilder's rage over the SEA closure? ... crickets ...
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Old 04-03-2015 | 02:43 AM
  #116  
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Originally Posted by Andy
looking to go long oil, but with the Iranian nuke agreement/sanctions removal, I think that $70/bbl oil isn't in the cards for 2015 and likely not for all of 2016.

Currently, there is a supply glut. More Iranian oil coming on the world markets only exacerbates that glut.

If you want to see the glut in the numbers, start digging up oil storage numbers. Worldwide, land storage capacity is starting to get thin and arbs are buying up floating storage when the numbers make sense. Even after shale oil production falls steeply, there is so much oil in storage that prices aren't going to move up very quickly unless worldwide demand picks up significantly.



Our job is to move metal from point A to point B, not decide base staffing. If a pilot wants to 'manage' the airline's staffing, they need to get out of the cockpit and start working in Willis tower.

I didn't like to see the SEA closure but bean counters with spreadsheets in Willis Tower decided that those assets would be more profitable if redeployed to other hubs. Speaking of which, where was Kilder's rage over the SEA closure? ... crickets ...
100% concur with staffing.

As far as the price of oil, I would be trading oil futures if I was that smart. Wait a minute, aren't they doing that in Willis Tower as well? And apparently, with no better success than staffing..........

Where is that JD............
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Old 04-03-2015 | 04:54 AM
  #117  
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It looks like the remainder of 76T pilots will be surplussed out of Denver by the summer of 2015. It also looks like more A320 captains and F/Os will be surplussed. I'm sure Kilder will express rage and astonishment about that too? Right?
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Old 04-03-2015 | 05:35 AM
  #118  
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So Airhoss,

If you were in charge and your pay was based on profits, what airplanes would you base in Denver? And, what airplane would you be a Captain on?

Just like to know what you see from your viewpoint.
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Old 04-03-2015 | 06:37 AM
  #119  
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Originally Posted by Andy

....Speaking of which, where was Kilder's rage over the SEA closure? ... crickets ...
Give this man a Pulitzer. That was hilarious.
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Old 04-03-2015 | 07:44 AM
  #120  
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Hoss,

You sure about them pulling out more 320's?
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