Retirement Numbers
12-13-2018, 04:39 PM
#1
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Joined APC: Feb 2007
Posts: 1,282
Retirement Numbers
New retirement numbers from the combined seniority list that was just released.
2019 - 20
2020 - 35
2021 - 47
2022 - 60
2023 - 57
2024 - 62
2025 - 87
2026 - 75
2027 - 98
2028 - 74
2029 - 105
That goes through the end of 2029 so is 11 years worth of retirements totaling 720 pilots out of our total of 2869 is only 25% of the list in 11 years. I say only because compared to the Big 3 that is quite a large difference. That combined with a growth rate of 2% for our regional carriers next year means I hope you enjoy where you’re at on the base position list.
2019 - 20
2020 - 35
2021 - 47
2022 - 60
2023 - 57
2024 - 62
2025 - 87
2026 - 75
2027 - 98
2028 - 74
2029 - 105
That goes through the end of 2029 so is 11 years worth of retirements totaling 720 pilots out of our total of 2869 is only 25% of the list in 11 years. I say only because compared to the Big 3 that is quite a large difference. That combined with a growth rate of 2% for our regional carriers next year means I hope you enjoy where you’re at on the base position list.
12-13-2018, 08:02 PM
#3
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Joined APC: Jul 2018
Posts: 895
Originally Posted by TurbineDriver
I wonder percentage wise how this compares to the big 3.
Here's the yearly breakdown over the same 11 year stretch for age 65 retirement. Numbers current as of Nov 2018.
2019 - 423
2020 - 531
2021 - 724
2022 - 803
2023 - 769
2024 - 776
2025 - 709
2026 - 605
2027 - 512
2028 - 509
2029 - 520
Total - 6,881 or 47.54%
12-13-2018, 10:51 PM
#4
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Originally Posted by TurbineDriver
I wonder percentage wise how this compares to the big 3.
12-13-2018, 11:18 PM
#5
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Joined APC: Mar 2017
Posts: 279
Here is a table I made last year, shows the retirement breakdown among the majors, AS is definitely the smallest youngest airline of them all.. These numbers were pre merger not including VX, which seems it hasn’t changed all that much
Last edited by Fixnem2Flyinem; 12-13-2018 at 11:34 PM.
12-14-2018, 08:49 AM
#6
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Posts: 3,228
Originally Posted by Fixnem2Flyinem
Here is a table I made last year, shows the retirement breakdown among the majors, AS is definitely the smallest youngest airline of them all.. These numbers were pre merger not including VX, which seems it hasn’t changed all that much
12-14-2018, 01:49 PM
#7
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Posts: 983
Not really an valid comparison. Look at SWA, they are the same as us. Why?, single fleet type. The big 3 fly a lot of different airplanes, while the retirements are big they are not equal across fleet types. Take all of that into account and the difference it is not as bad as the raw numbers indicate.
12-14-2018, 02:14 PM
#8
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Joined APC: Sep 2015
Posts: 631
Originally Posted by PNWFlyer
Not really an valid comparison. Look at SWA, they are the same as us. Why?, single fleet type. The big 3 fly a lot of different airplanes, while the retirements are big they are not equal across fleet types. Take all of that into account and the difference it is not as bad as the raw numbers indicate.
12-14-2018, 02:16 PM
#9
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Joined APC: Dec 2007
Posts: 341
Originally Posted by PNWFlyer
Not really an valid comparison. Look at SWA, they are the same as us. Why?, single fleet type. The big 3 fly a lot of different airplanes, while the retirements are big they are not equal across fleet types. Take all of that into account and the difference it is not as bad as the raw numbers indicate.
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