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Old 02-26-2016 | 07:10 AM
  #1791  
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Originally Posted by KC135
I'm showing 11,054 retirements (AA, UA, DAL, UPS, FDX, ALK) for the next 6 years from today and 20,426 regional pilots as of today. Where are you getting your numbers? Don't forget military, corporate, cargo, charter, returning expat taking some legacy jobs. This will put pressure on the LCC's for sure but this isn't a leak a good contract won't seal in my opinion.
I don't believe your numbers are correct, also you don't have Southwest pilots in there. Further without any other data, I cannot tell whether your AA numbers include USAirways. Also, what the numbers do not take into account is the age of the regional pilots who will replace major airline pilots.

We could also include JetBlue, Frontier, and Spirit in that count.

My data is from an Alpa article, but here is another article showing 18,000.

Why the U.S. Airline Pilot Shortage Is So Hard to Solve -- The Motley Fool
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Old 02-26-2016 | 07:12 AM
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Originally Posted by KC135
I'm showing 11,054 retirements (AA, UA, DAL, UPS, FDX, ALK) for the next 6 years from today and 20,426 regional pilots as of today. Where are you getting your numbers? Don't forget military, corporate, cargo, charter, returning expat taking some legacy jobs. This will put pressure on the LCC's for sure but this isn't a leak a good contract won't seal in my opinion.
Do you have a breakdown of where those 20k regional pilots work?

I didn't realize there were so many.
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Old 02-26-2016 | 07:31 AM
  #1793  
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Originally Posted by FirstClass
How is RJET similar to Allegiant? I don't understand what you are talking about. I never implied that. Go ahead and re-read it again and report back to the group. It's ok.
What group would that be? You and the rest of the PSA pilots?

The only thing that I have to report is that your trolling is old, your opinions, "advice" and lectures are unwelcome and uniformed and that you should go hang out in the regional forums with your PSA buddies

Your "Allegiant is doomed" mantra is played. Just go.
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Old 02-26-2016 | 10:01 AM
  #1794  
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Originally Posted by sqwkvfr
What group would that be? You and the rest of the PSA pilots?

The only thing that I have to report is that your trolling is old, your opinions, "advice" and lectures are unwelcome and uniformed and that you should go hang out in the regional forums with your PSA buddies

Your "Allegiant is doomed" mantra is played. Just go.
Thanks Squawk. Personally, I'm sick of FirstClass and people like him constantly trying to stir the bees nest. The bees (us ACTUAL g4 pilots) have enough of our own issues to deal with, and the last thing we need is to listen to the likes of somebody with no skin in the game who is constantly just trying to **** us off. Go away!
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Old 02-26-2016 | 11:14 AM
  #1795  
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Originally Posted by FirstClass
I don't believe your numbers are correct, also you don't have Southwest pilots in there. Further without any other data, I cannot tell whether your AA numbers include USAirways. Also, what the numbers do not take into account is the age of the regional pilots who will replace major airline pilots.

We could also include JetBlue, Frontier, and Spirit in that count.

My data is from an Alpa article, but here is another article showing 18,000.
I see what you're saying now, I didn't include past numbers. I assumed you meant retirements going forward since you were talking about depleting regionals at the levels today. I added southwest for about 12,400 in the next 6 years.



Originally Posted by The Chow
Do you have a breakdown of where those 20k regional pilots work?

I didn't realize there were so many.
Not up to date but here's an estimate.
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Old 02-26-2016 | 11:57 AM
  #1796  
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Originally Posted by KC135
I see what you're saying now, I didn't include past numbers. I assumed you meant retirements going forward since you were talking about depleting regionals at the levels today. I added southwest for about 12,400 in the next 6 years.




Not up to date but here's an estimate.

A lot of those XJT and republic pilots are now at allegiant
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Old 02-26-2016 | 01:52 PM
  #1797  
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All I can say is its a good time to be a young Major airline pilot wannabe.
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Old 02-26-2016 | 02:39 PM
  #1798  
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Originally Posted by Packrat
All I can say is its a good time to be a young Major airline pilot wannabe.
Hopefully the younger guys can reap some rewards from the Lost Decade.
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Old 02-26-2016 | 03:24 PM
  #1799  
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Originally Posted by FirstClass
It sounds terrific, it really does. But its going to end. Study the mathematics of what's coming. Six years from today more major airline pilots will have retired than there are regional pilots to replace them with, ie about 18,000. If I was you guys, I would try and switch to alpa so your seniority can be properly integrated. That's what frontier just did, they see the writing on the wall, they will be merged in with spirit. The LCC consolidation hasn't even started yet. Watch for training contracts at LCC's. What's your attrition rate at Allegiant right now?
I couldn't disagree more. Not that I'm an IBT fan by any stretch, but it'd be very foolish for Allegiant pilots to join ALPA if their motive for doing so is in anticipation of merging with another ALPA carrier. ALPA's objective is always to take care of the larger pilot group to ensure that they have majority support within the merged pilot group. Case law makes it very difficult to claim that ALPA failed in its duty for fair representation if ALPA represents both pre-merger pilot groups.

The Allegiant pilots are best off being represented by IBT in the case that they were to merge with the likes of Spirit, JetBlue, Frontier, etc.

First Class: Who do you work for?

KONZ

Last edited by KONZ; 02-26-2016 at 03:26 PM. Reason: typo
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Old 02-26-2016 | 05:13 PM
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Originally Posted by sqwkvfr
What group would that be? You and the rest of the PSA pilots?
uh no, me and the rest of the website.
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