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Old 01-31-2019, 07:22 AM
  #21  
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Originally Posted by drinksonme View Post
Fair enough I’ll give you that, but LAA presence at RDU was never like it is in PHX now. And I never said it was going to be flown by PHX crews. It is just an example of the company positioning assets and they thought having 777 in PHX is a good idea.
That was exactly my point... you can't make the argument that PHX is immune from closure solely because it is getting 777 service to somewhere. They don't need a base of any flavor there in order to start that kind of flying, hence the RDU example. That being said, I'll grant you it will may need some sort of feeder service in order to accomplish that (I have no idea what sort of local demand PHX would generate for LHR).

In the end, I don't see PHX closing as a base/domicile at all. Hawaii is too lucrative, as evidenced by 32X plans. Not to mention all the reserve comments highlighted above.
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Old 01-31-2019, 07:40 AM
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Originally Posted by RhinoBallAuto View Post
That was exactly my point... you can't make the argument that PHX is immune from closure solely because it is getting 777 service to somewhere. They don't need a base of any flavor there in order to start that kind of flying, hence the RDU example. That being said, I'll grant you it will may need some sort of feeder service in order to accomplish that (I have no idea what sort of local demand PHX would generate for LHR).

In the end, I don't see PHX closing as a base/domicile at all. Hawaii is too lucrative, as evidenced by 32X plans. Not to mention all the reserve comments highlighted above.
I’ll say no base, except DFW less a full AA shutdown, is immune to closure. PHX has just been in the bullseye by some people for years, because of hard feelings. That said, and being pragmatic, the 321NX plan, and specifically to Hawaii out of PHX, is a concern to me and I think to the base. I see the 321NX being a wild card. The 321H is very limited out of LIH and Maui and that’s to LAX. The 321NX does not have a much higher takeoff performance capability then the 321H. Regarding fuel performance, yes it is way better, but it’s not more powerful, just more fuel efficient. The 321NX has more seats (heavier) and I think the LEAP engines are heavier as well. If flights coming out of Hawaii on the 321NX are weight restricted to PHX, then the whole concept of using it over the 757 is a waste. If it’s not viable, then I can see AA changing what it does out of PHX to Hawaii, and that could negatively affect the base.

Hawaiian is using the 321 very well, but they only launch it to the mainland out of Honolulu....the runway is not an issue. They don’t use it out of the smaller islands. And they use the 330 to PHX, even out of Honolulu. If anyone knows capabilities of a plane out of a Hawaiian city, it’s Hawaiian. They don’t even use the 321 out of Honolulu to PHX

And last point, and sorry for the ramble, as I’ve been told Hawaii is not lucrative. It’s full of non revs and passengers cashing in their miles under there frequent flyer plans. Lastly, it is a market battle since almost every airline does Hawaii flying. If Southwest ever gets it figured out, it will be a race to the bottom on ticket price

Last edited by drinksonme; 01-31-2019 at 07:57 AM.
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Old 01-31-2019, 08:11 AM
  #23  
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Since I can’t go back and edit, I’ll do it here...in an earlier post I said Parker called LAX a level 3 (again paraphrase) city. Meant to read level 2.
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Old 01-31-2019, 09:43 AM
  #24  
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Originally Posted by RhinoBallAuto View Post
(I have no idea what sort of local demand PHX would generate for LHR).
Just a point of reference, but BA has been sending 2x747s to PHX per day in the peak travel season. It looks like one of the BA 747s will be going away and is to be replaced by the AA 777. Not sure what the O&D traffic for the route is, but total demand and economics suits two large jets per day, apparently.
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Old 01-31-2019, 04:14 PM
  #25  
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Originally Posted by AZFlyer View Post
Just a point of reference, but BA has been sending 2x747s to PHX per day in the peak travel season. It looks like one of the BA 747s will be going away and is to be replaced by the AA 777. Not sure what the O&D traffic for the route is, but total demand and economics suits two large jets per day, apparently.
Yes I agree. From an economic standpoint PHX is the 5th largest city in the country and still one of the fastest growing. More and more companies are relocating to PHX creating international travel demand. AA isn't going anywhere.
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Old 02-01-2019, 06:48 AM
  #26  
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Originally Posted by drinksonme View Post
Ha, you completely spun what I said. I am going to shock you....I am not a westie....I actually started on the east.

What I was saying was East Pilots, not all just some who had a grudge (and many west pilots did too), spewed for years the demise of PHX eventually, and especially, after the merger was finished. It was pure uneducated anger about the LUS/LAWA situation. And that rumor permeated so high that many believed it and many thought it true when PHX drew down staffing levels after the SLI. So much so they Parker and Isom were asked countless time about it, from crew news to investors, that they had/have to endless say PHX is an important hub for the system.

Good for CLT getting international, but they have lost some too, AND, the 737 is just as invasive in CLT as PHX. Saying cause you fly through PHX more is short sighted. Maybe your 737 base covers PHX more while another 737 base covers CLT more.

And yes, a 777 to London is a big deal for PHX. It obviously indicates a small international market is needed there. Regardless of which base is flying it. It would kinda be dumb to start flying to a major international city in a base you plan to shrink or close.
And you’d still be wrong. We have ways to see where planes fly and what types. You are again incorrect about the 737 in PHX and CLT. It’s fairly easy to see and do the math. Company website shows total departures at an airport. Able to sort it out and see easily more 737 in PHX then CLT.

CLT has lost Brazil? However I’m not sure what else you are referring to them losing. Again just keep the facts right because when you throw BS pre US Airways merger stuff into an AA thread it totally disregards your credibility and facts you had presented correctly about PHX.

No one cares about pre merger AA or TWA or AWA and LUS. They care about the now mergered AA.
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Old 02-01-2019, 06:55 AM
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737 has 26.4% of PHX departures today.

737 has 13.3% of CLT departures today.
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Old 02-01-2019, 12:45 PM
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Originally Posted by Rockiepilot View Post
No one cares about pre merger AA or TWA or AWA and LUS. They care about the now mergered AA.
Yep. Legacy TWA got a bunch of pilots stapled to the bottom of the seniority list. FA all got stapled, every one. But it is what it is. Suck it up, move on. Quit complaining.

Today and for going forward what matters is your Domicile, A/C, seniority number, QOL, total pay for the year, how many years do you have left.
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Old 02-01-2019, 03:27 PM
  #29  
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PHX is very low yield. Not just from SWA pressure, but now Allegiant at IWA as well.

AA has a history of shutting down west coast hubs (SJC anyone ) Wouldn't be surprised to see PHX go too.
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Old 02-14-2019, 04:49 AM
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Cutting 700 flight attendants at PHX.
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