[QUOTE=Dorfman;1575112]I am not exactly sure what your asking. I posted we had 500 retirements in the next 3 years. You say 511. Junior ER captain is below 6000 on the list. The majority of retirements in the next 3 years will come from the top 6000.

[QUOTE=sailingfun;1575116]Sailing I was asking gzgs to show where only 40% can hold ER capt. He stated 60% couldn't hold it! I could have phrased it cleaner.

I just take issue with someone wanting a person to back up a claim with proof and then they, in this case gzgs, throw out a claim with no proof.

We don't even have 12,000 active pilots on today's list, and number 6,000 can hold ER Capt?? 50%?

Wow.

When I got my first Capt. bid, on the MD88, I was 4 from the bottom in the junior base and right at 50%.

You had to be a big cheese to hold the ER (top 30%) but of course the ER only flew International trips back then!

Now it's down to 50%?? I guess -nobody- wants to sit reserve flying domestic trips on the 757 out of NYC if new hires are coming to the right seat and 50% of the list can hold Capt. on it.

6000 can hold it. For the last 10 months of this year we have 99 retirements. I think about 10 are out sick. Of the 89 left a quick count shows 60 or so actually holding 7ER or higher.

Not arguing your factual (99) retirement numbers, but how realistic is it that only ~100 pilots will retire by year's end?

Someone posted in the past (you/PG?), that a more realistic number equals total (scheduled) retirements, plus ~10% of the list. My apologies if my assumptions/understanding of previous post is wrong.

GJ
(Moved ~20 numbers last month alone.)

I'm right around 6000, Timbo. I've got a little more than 10 guys below me on the Er list in NYC.


…and it sucks. No one should ever bid NYC. It's hard.

What? NYC is super easy. The high speed rail wisks you between all 3 close in airports, unless you're a "local" with a 3-5 hour drive in traffic of course. But at least real estate is cheap and the taxes are low, so you can relocate at the drop of a hat. :cool:

Bingo. And if you commute, you never have to worry about the weather. There are never any delays and the loads are always wide open.

6000 can hold it. For the last 10 months of this year we have 99 retirements. I think about 10 are out sick. Of the 89 left a quick count shows 60 or so actually holding 7ER or higher.

[QUOTE=Dorfman;1575112][QUOTE=gzsg;1575106]


Will you show where only 40% can hold ER as a captain?[/QUOT

The actual list of retiring pilots and their positions is on Deltanet.

Simply count the ones flying ER captain or above. It is much less than half.