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Old 09-19-2011 | 04:13 AM
  #75851  
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From: A-320A
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Originally Posted by slowplay
Really?

Merged Delta was the only legacy airline not to furlough during the last downturn. In fact, Delta hired 305 since the merger. Two early out programs took a fair number of guys off the top, but even with the retirement of two uneconomic fleets there were no furloughs.

That reality conflicts with the perception posted above. Merger setting them back? Ask the bottom 1450 at UAL, the bottom 10% of Alaska, the bottom 1700 at AMR, the 147 at CAL. Heck, even a bunch of the regionals furloughed. That's being set back.
True, but what I think most are trying to point out here is; We will have the retirements coming so furloughs are a straw man. What people are really concerned about is a merger that will cause the movement that should finally be coming result in the loss of a 767A seat or greater. How the list "may" be done will have severe ramifications on the one thread of hope pilots have been able to hold on to; career expectations. Merging an airline with no wb seats with one that has them has the potential to be messy for those below that "line". It has a huge possibility of really hammering the movement guys are now seeing only a few years away.
Old 09-19-2011 | 04:13 AM
  #75852  
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From: Light Chop
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Originally Posted by buzzpat
He's also on pace to throw 64 interceptions and never win a game in the NFL.

Those would be records also.
Hey come on now, after yesterday if the Packers keep it up they'll also give up 6,000+ yards on passing defense at the end of the regular season.

And Newton would have 32 int's if the average held. Which is 1/4 of what Big Ben is out to do on turnovers and they'll probably still make the playoffs.
Old 09-19-2011 | 04:15 AM
  #75853  
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From: Light Chop
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Originally Posted by slowplay
History shows you can't make that assumption.
History shows we make a lot of assumptions around here.
Old 09-19-2011 | 04:15 AM
  #75854  
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Originally Posted by Scoop
Slow,

All true, but little consolation for a lot of our junior guys. We are stagnating. Guys off the top don't really help guys on the bottom too much if we don't hire and grow.

For example, and I do realize that this is exaggerated, but it makes the point. If the top 25% leave the 2nd quartile is now mostly the top (huge benefit). The third quartile moves up to mostly the 2nd (large benefit) but the bottom 25% are pretty much still the bottom, albeit now reaching up to 33% on the list (marginal to zero benefit).

Granted UAL and AMR are worse but every Pilot hired after about 1999 would be making more if they instead went to Southwest, FDX, Jet Blue, Virgin (mostly), Atlas, and who knows who else.

I am hoping our next contract will change that and who knows what the future holds, but as of now every Pilot hired after around 1999 at the worlds biggest airline would have been better off going to a lot of other airlines. I would think this would be a concern for all DAL Pilots - realizing that guys would have been better off going to LCC's.

This is why the junior guys fixate on Scope.

Scoop
In the last 23 years I have seen just about every airline mentioned in the "I should have gone with them" roulette. In 2001, it was United and how their junior guys were blessed because they were making 777 right seat in a couple of years. Now those same guys are coming up on 9+ years on furlough with not much hope for recall any time soon. I have heard this about American, Northwest (before the merger), and just about every startup. The grass is always greener.
Old 09-19-2011 | 04:51 AM
  #75855  
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From: 777B
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Originally Posted by Scoop
Slow,

All true, but little consolation for a lot of our junior guys. We are stagnating. Guys off the top don't really help guys on the bottom too much if we don't hire and grow.

For example, and I do realize that this is exaggerated, but it makes the point. If the top 25% leave the 2nd quartile is now mostly the top (huge benefit). The third quartile moves up to mostly the 2nd (large benefit) but the bottom 25% are pretty much still the bottom, albeit now reaching up to 33% on the list (marginal to zero benefit).

Granted UAL and AMR are worse but every Pilot hired after about 1999 would be making more if they instead went to Southwest, FDX, Jet Blue, Virgin (mostly), Atlas, and who knows who else.

I am hoping our next contract will change that and who knows what the future holds, but as of now every Pilot hired after around 1999 at the worlds biggest airline would have been better off going to a lot of other airlines. I would think this would be a concern for all DAL Pilots - realizing that guys would have been better off going to LCC's.

This is why the junior guys fixate on Scope.

Scoop

I flew with a 777A on reserve a couple trips ago. SWA FO's make as much or more than him. Gear slingers on a 135 seat jet make more that a polar route flying, risk mitigating, 270 seat international captain at the worlds (2nd) largest airline.

I guess the same holds true for the 400 seat jet 747 reserve captains.
Old 09-19-2011 | 05:35 AM
  #75856  
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Hey Carl, in the latest Trade-a-Plane there is a 747-400 listed for only $26m. Time to get your airline up and running!

1992 BOEING 747-400 Jet Aircraft For Sale At Controller.com
Old 09-19-2011 | 05:43 AM
  #75857  
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From: Douglas Aerospace post production Flight Test & Work Around Engineering bulletin dissembler
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Originally Posted by PilotFrog
Hey Carl, in the latest Trade-a-Plane there is a 747-400 listed for only $26m. Time to get your airline up and running!

1992 BOEING 747-400 Jet Aircraft For Sale At Controller.com
Same outfit has a MD-83 for sale for $150,000. I bet they would negotiate.
Old 09-19-2011 | 06:02 AM
  #75858  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Feb 2007
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From: FO
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Originally Posted by forgot to bid
Hey come on now, after yesterday if the Packers keep it up they'll also give up 6,000+ yards on passing defense at the end of the regular season.

And Newton would have 32 int's if the average held. Which is 1/4 of what Big Ben is out to do on turnovers and they'll probably still make the playoffs.
The Lions will be 16-0...If they keep it up!
Old 09-19-2011 | 06:25 AM
  #75859  
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The grass is always greener.
Over the septic tank
Old 09-19-2011 | 07:01 AM
  #75860  
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From: LAX ERA
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Ok boys, I'm back from the 1st Fighter Association reunion. I realize this isn't Facekbook, but since it's aviation related (vs football ) I'll pass on a few goodies.

We were inducted onto the "Aviation Wall of Fame" at the old Mission Inn in Riverside, CA. Guess it was for our service after WWII at March AFB. I didn't realize what a big deal it was until all the local and Calif big wigs showed up for the ceremony.

But the best part was, we even had 8 of the old WWII guys still there. One guy was 92, as sharp as he was in his 20s and a newly wed (ok, 18 months ago but everything is relative). She was a knockout in her 70s, so going 20 years younger is always a player (Buzz). Anyway, great time! If I run into anyone in the LAX pilot lounge I'll bore ya with my pictures..........Including my flight in a PT-22 that we had for our flying day. The old guys hadn't flown it since pilot training. They all made a flight and no one broke a hip

Ferd
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