Quote:
Originally Posted by sailingfun
It will actually be the opposite depending on how the company chooses to amend the Boeing purchase. The TA made little overall change in manning. There was give and take in that department, the net was a small negative change. Rising pay almost always also leads individual pilots to work less which would have had a impact.
If the E190's are canceled it removes a bunch of training from next Spring through the summer and drops our pilot needs substantially.
The big question is what does the company do now. I am told they have to make a quick decision on the airframes so hopefully we will know soon.
The only part of the TA that represented growth to mainline was 12 CRJ 50 seaters coming out of the system, years down the road, and replaced with a total of SIX (6) E190s. That's it. All it did was transfer an end state 2% of DCI block hours to mainline in the form of 50 seaters they can't staff anyway, and only half a dozen of them at that.
Everything else in the order book was either net network growth or replacement. If its replacement who cares. If its growth, we're getting it anyway. Unless they are going to punish themselves and the revenue machine by abandoning what they view as profitable capacity just to try and spank the pilot group for not agreeing to significant concessions 6 months early.
Six E190s a couple years from now (you can't even count all six until all 12 50 seaters were out at the end state) aren't going to move the needle for hiring.
While this entire thread is largely speculation, what we do know is the TA only slowly transferred 6 E190's worth of capacity over a couple of years (or around 5 E195's), and as soon as it was announced, hiring was cut by more than half. DYODD.