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Old 12-09-2018 | 12:19 PM
  #41  
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Originally Posted by calmwinds
Maybe, it is because CommutAir can handle staffing the 145’s and by placing the 175’s at Xjet, United hopes that Xjet’s attrition will slow down. United doesn’t want to lose regional pilots, particularly from a recruiting source. A case in point were the 200’s brought online at Xjet.

I am just speculating. Who really knows SkyWest’s and United’s plans....
Pure speculation on my part, but I think those -200’s in ORD had a lot more to do with putting out the ZW dumpster fire than appeasing XJET Pilots.
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Old 12-09-2018 | 12:35 PM
  #42  
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Taking delivery of some larger aircraft doesn’t mean that you keep the smaller ones that you currently fly. They could be growth or xjt could shrink down to a really small 175 operator. My guess is that if you guys get the 175’s that a larger number of 50 seat jets will get parked and staffing won’t be as big of a problem as people currently think. The regional flying boomed post 9/11 and created the demand for more pilots at that level. Now that the flying is moving back to bigger planes at the majors and regionals, the total number of pilots needed will be reduced. If mainline replaces regional feed and operates a 737 where a 50 seat rj used to go they’ll only need to hire 1/3 as many pilots that was needed to cover the route at the same asm level.
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Old 12-09-2018 | 01:22 PM
  #43  
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Originally Posted by Itsajob
Taking delivery of some larger aircraft doesn’t mean that you keep the smaller ones that you currently fly. They could be growth or xjt could shrink down to a really small 175 operator. My guess is that if you guys get the 175’s that a larger number of 50 seat jets will get parked and staffing won’t be as big of a problem as people currently think. The regional flying boomed post 9/11 and created the demand for more pilots at that level. Now that the flying is moving back to bigger planes at the majors and regionals, the total number of pilots needed will be reduced. If mainline replaces regional feed and operates a 737 where a 50 seat rj used to go they’ll only need to hire 1/3 as many pilots that was needed to cover the route at the same asm level.
Many markets will sustain nothing bigger than a 50 seater, maybe a 70-76 seater.
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Old 12-09-2018 | 01:32 PM
  #44  
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Originally Posted by Blackhawk
Many markets will sustain nothing bigger than a 50 seater, maybe a 70-76 seater.
GTFE will change the dynamics of route structures as it reduces SNB CASM. Longer stage RJ routes will become profitable on the newer generation SNB fleets even at lower load factors. It will be interesting to see how it all plays out.
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Old 12-09-2018 | 02:34 PM
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Originally Posted by FollowMe
GTFE will change the dynamics of route structures as it reduces SNB CASM. Longer stage RJ routes will become profitable on the newer generation SNB fleets even at lower load factors. It will be interesting to see how it all plays out.
How will Far East Global Trade (GTFE), affect 50 seat flying in the US?
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Old 12-09-2018 | 02:38 PM
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Originally Posted by Blackhawk
How will Far East Global Trade (GTFE), affect 50 seat flying in the US?
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Old 12-10-2018 | 03:32 AM
  #47  
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Originally Posted by FollowMe
GTFE will change the dynamics of route structures as it reduces SNB CASM. Longer stage RJ routes will become profitable on the newer generation SNB fleets even at lower load factors. It will be interesting to see how it all plays out.
Not in your lifetime
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Old 12-10-2018 | 04:15 AM
  #48  
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Originally Posted by Melit
Not in your lifetime
Nextgen SNB’s will be mainline aircraft anyway. I don’t see them with 70 or 76 seats. This whole discussion confuses me.
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Old 12-10-2018 | 04:36 AM
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Originally Posted by calmwinds
Nextgen SNB’s will be mainline aircraft anyway. I don’t see them with 70 or 76 seats. This whole discussion confuses me.
Precisely, given current scopes flying 100 seat GTFE mainline flights will become more profitable on long stage RJ routes. The “regional as network carrier” route structure is going to come to an end with Nextgen SNB, and regionals will return to what they once did, carry regional pax on short stages, 6 legs a day.

That is unless someone can get weight scope from their pilots, making 76 seat GTFE RJ the most profitable.
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Old 12-10-2018 | 05:32 AM
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Originally Posted by FollowMe
Precisely, given current scopes flying 100 seat GTFE mainline flights will become more profitable on long stage RJ routes. The “regional as network carrier” route structure is going to come to an end with Nextgen SNB, and regionals will return to what they once did, carry regional pax on short stages, 6 legs a day.

That is unless someone can get weight scope from their pilots, making 76 seat GTFE RJ the most profitable.
Like I said, not in your lifetime...So turbo props are going to make a comeback? Next gen Metroliners?
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