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Old 08-31-2018, 07:52 AM
  #51  
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Originally Posted by CaFarful View Post
��

It’s not going to stop for a long time.

Check your math. You’ll need good scores at the SWA interview.
OK let's do the math.
1) 720 SICs above someone hired this second.
2) 10 upgrades a month.
3) 12 months a year.
4) 12 X 10 = 120
5) 720 divided by 120 = 6.
There's the math....questions? Now keep in mind NJS isn't just going to upgrade 720 people for nothing, so again, its going to be 10 years or longer unless something very big happens. But what would I know I've only worked here 14 years.
Your optimism is good but totally unrealistic. Even the age ruling, should it come, will not make a significant dent. Count on 10 years.
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Old 08-31-2018, 07:58 AM
  #52  
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Originally Posted by tm602 View Post
OK let's do the math.
1) 720 SICs above someone hired this second.
2) 10 upgrades a month.
3) 12 months a year.
4) 12 X 10 = 120
5) 720 divided by 120 = 6.
There's the math....questions? Now keep in mind NJS isn't just going to upgrade 720 people for nothing, so again, its going to be 10 years or longer unless something very big happens. But what would I know I've only worked here 14 years.
Your optimism is good but totally unrealistic. Even the age ruling, should it come, will not make a significant dent. Count on 10 years.

3 types of people in this world, those that can do math and those that can’t!
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Old 08-31-2018, 08:04 AM
  #53  
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Originally Posted by tm602 View Post
OK let's do the math.
1) 720 SICs above someone hired this second.
2) 10 upgrades a month.
3) 12 months a year.
4) 12 X 10 = 120
5) 720 divided by 120 = 6.
There's the math....questions? Now keep in mind NJS isn't just going to upgrade 720 people for nothing, so again, its going to be 10 years or longer unless something very big happens. But what would I know I've only worked here 14 years.
Your optimism is good but totally unrealistic. Even the age ruling, should it come, will not make a significant dent. Count on 10 years.
No need for surliness.

You ASSUME all 720 will remain there for upgrade.
You ASSUME there will only ever be 10 upgrades a month over the course of 6 years.

If there is certainly one thing you would agree on is that many things could change in the upcoming years that may effect upgrade times.

Math in aviation is often 'fuzzy' at best.
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Old 08-31-2018, 09:57 AM
  #54  
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Originally Posted by tm602 View Post
OK let's do the math.
1) 720 SICs above someone hired this second.
2) 10 upgrades a month.
3) 12 months a year.
4) 12 X 10 = 120
5) 720 divided by 120 = 6.
There's the math....questions? Now keep in mind NJS isn't just going to upgrade 720 people for nothing, so again, its going to be 10 years or longer unless something very big happens. But what would I know I've only worked here 14 years.
Your optimism is good but totally unrealistic. Even the age ruling, should it come, will not make a significant dent. Count on 10 years.
Simple.

The current July Senioroty list has 2,445 pilots on it. The upgrade line is right at 1,767.

That’s a net of 678 FOs.

Not everyone upgrades. MANY prefer flying large cabin once they get settled.

Some of those will retire and medical out prior to upgrade.

Even IF everyone upgraded in the 678, that’s 12/mo leaving 56.5 months of waiting for then last FO to get a left seat.

That’s 4.7 years.



I agree. Math is hard. When SWA calls, emphasize your verbal skills.

😂😂
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Old 08-31-2018, 10:50 AM
  #55  
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Originally Posted by USMCFLYR View Post
No need for surliness.

You ASSUME all 720 will remain there for upgrade.
You ASSUME there will only ever be 10 upgrades a month over the course of 6 years.

If there is certainly one thing you would agree on is that many things could change in the upcoming years that may effect upgrade times.

Math in aviation is often 'fuzzy' at best.
And the belief that Netjets will just keep upgrading SIC’s every month non-stop out of the goodness of their heart is the fuzziest calculation of all.

I offered a bet to our resident cheerleader that a pilot hired in June of this year would not upgrade before July 1 of 2025. Even he refused to take that bet.
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Old 08-31-2018, 12:01 PM
  #56  
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Don't be stupid. Go to a regional and get on with a major as quickly as possible.
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Old 08-31-2018, 12:48 PM
  #57  
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Originally Posted by GeeWizDriver View Post
And the belief that Netjets will just keep upgrading SIC’s every month non-stop out of the goodness of their heart is the fuzziest calculation of all.



I offered a bet to our resident cheerleader that a pilot hired in June of this year would not upgrade before July 1 of 2025. Even he refused to take that bet.


At a rate of 12/mo average, I would take that bet.


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Old 09-01-2018, 02:49 AM
  #58  
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NJA works for some people, and God bless them, but if your ultimate goal is the majors find a regional that flows to your major of choice and apply there , that is the sanest path to 121.
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Old 09-01-2018, 12:53 PM
  #59  
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Originally Posted by 727C47 View Post
NJA works for some people, and God bless them, but if your ultimate goal is the majors find a regional that flows to your major of choice and apply there , that is the sanest path to 121.
This is some sound advice.
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Old 09-02-2018, 05:12 PM
  #60  
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You already meet the qualifications for a major airline.... something here doesn’t add up.


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