I'm surprised they're going to entrust you with people's lives with your lack of understanding of how this industry works. DEN and IAH busy? Thank goodness they stay away from those hotspots and instead operate heavily in the tame areas of ATL and LGA. And as far as your numbers 'logic' goes; put down your crayons before you hurt yourself. United bases performance on percentages. Mesa happens to be at the top 2 consecutively for the past couple years....every month. In case you don't understand what I'm saying, lets use a hypothetical situation. I've been drinking too much to care about the actual real life numbers. It doesn't really matter to show what I mean anyways. Say Mesa has D0 (it's a main united on time performance measurement but I'm sure you already knew that's a you've proven your operational prowess) on 9 out of their 10 departures that day. That's 90% D0. Now say 00 has 9000000 out of their daily 10000000 departures, their D0 is......90%. Equal. Doesn't matter the amount. It's percentage. Sorry if I sound mean, but don't just rag on a company and state purely false statements based on no logic or fact. We need thinkers to represent us, not 12yo hallway rumor runners.

 

Yeah, same thing I read.

"Must park 50-seat aircraft IF going above 153 76-seat aircraft" and "Can only go above 153 76-seat aircraft IF new small narrowbody aircraft added to UAL fleet..."

That's the loophole. The cap only happens if both those IFs happen.

 

Your statement is correct until 2016. On January 1, 2016 United Express must have NO MORE than 450 total aircraft, 153 of them can be 76 seaters. If they want more than 153 76 seaters they must park enough 50 seaters to remain below the 450 cap and add a NB fleet to mainline.

By the end of 2015 Delta will be capped at 450 RJs as well.

So if you look at the numbers above, it states that United is around 70 airplanes away from the 255 threshold, 40 are going to SKW and 30 have not been awarded a home publicly. After this if they want to add more 76 seaters they have to add a NB mainline fleet and continue to park 50 seaters. So United has to park 130 airframes to get below the 450 cap and continue to park airplanes to accommodate the 76 seaters. United has to park 200 50 seaters over the next 2 1/2 years. So if SKW inc doesn't get the other 30 seaters you will see 40 airframes come in and a huge chuck of the 200 that have to be parked will come from SKW inc simply because they are the whom has most of the 50 seaters. I counted less than 50 combined 50 seat airframes at other carriers. Delta also has another 30 airframes without a home and AA will likely spread the love around even more. I think they are using Eagle to drive down pilot pay but they will still shrink us as they transfer people to AA and attrition to other places.

 

Ok, I see now how it's written so that the cap doesn't come into effect until 2016.

But assuming you are correct (no reason to think you aren't), I still think a big chunk of the parked 50 seaters will come from XJT. They currently have 251 of them flying as UAX and they automatically get parked as leases expire (assuming they don't extend them anymore).

 

As things stand today with the addition of the 40 SKW Ejets and the 30 that haven't been awarded United will be parking 200 50 seaters in the next two years to comply with the SCOPE max. SKW in operates the majority of the 50 seaters. I believe there is something like 35-40 at carriers not owned by SKW Inc, so there will be over 150 airplanes coming there. In essence, there will be 40 airplanes coming in for United and 150+ leaving. 3-1 ratio. Eagle will be faced with a similar situation as well as other carriers. This doesn't take into account whipsaw and how SKW will now have Ejets so RAH doesn't have the monopoly on these airplanes. We are all going to suffer while we are at the regionals.

 

What?! Volume doesn't matter it's based on percentages. 9 out of 10 on time departures and 900 out of 1000 on time departures are both a 90% on time. Were you sleeping during 7th grade math???

 

It's true... mesa is the top performer in on time performance for several years. And I guess some people didn't take or understand statistics in high school or college.

 

Oh ok, you are talking about Skywest inc. I thought you were just talking about Skywest airlines.

 

Welp...it's official. 30 EJETs for Mesa.

 

Gonna need more proof than that