Base Updates

Reply Subscribe

Page 18 of 53

« First

Last »

Thread Tools

Search this Thread

04-08-2018 | 09:51 AM

#171

MaCrOs

Thread Starter

Line Holder

Joined: Jun 2015

Posts: 360

Likes: 0

Quote:

Originally Posted by captande

Well that’s disappointing

It's just initial (first) month. It'll pick up from there.

04-08-2018 | 10:24 AM

#172

CSFletch

Line Holder

Joined: Aug 2017

Posts: 50

Likes: 0

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaCrOs

Attrition is picking up - 39 pilots left from April to May seniority list. A third of that number are FOs who were in training.

PHL base - 11 R1 lines
ORF base - 9 R1 lines

Are these R1 numbers the initial amount of R1 slots? And would that be expected to increase over the next few months? I start training next month and am looking at ORF as my base. Thanks!

04-08-2018 | 10:34 AM

#173

ZeroTT

Banned

Joined: May 2017

Posts: 2,012

Likes: 0

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSFletch

Are these R1 numbers the initial amount of R1 slots? And would that be expected to increase over the next few months? I start training next month and am looking at ORF as my base. Thanks!

Yes
Yes

The new bases will likely grow in the next several months and also undergo some seniority shakeouts. Hard to predict what it will look like for a May '18 hire.

04-08-2018 | 10:50 AM

#174

TallFlyer

Gets Weekends Off

Joined: Feb 2007

Posts: 2,607

Likes: 14

Last month's most Jr Flow DOH: Sep 2009
This month's most Jr Flow DOH: Apr 2011

04-08-2018 | 11:19 AM

#175

CSFletch

Line Holder

Joined: Aug 2017

Posts: 50

Likes: 0

Quote:

Originally Posted by ZeroTT

Yes
Yes

The new bases will likely grow in the next several months and also undergo some seniority shakeouts. Hard to predict what it will look like for a May '18 hire.

Thanks for the information. Good Lord willing it will be a brief stay on Reserve.

04-08-2018 | 01:35 PM

#176

chrisreedrules

Gets Weekends Off

Joined: Feb 2012

Posts: 4,601

Likes: 0

From: CRJ FO

Quote:

Originally Posted by TallFlyer

Last month's most Jr Flow DOH: Sep 2009
This month's most Jr Flow DOH: Apr 2011

I’ll start getting excited when I see those 2014 flow numbers...

04-08-2018 | 01:56 PM

#177

TallFlyer

Gets Weekends Off

Joined: Feb 2007

Posts: 2,607

Likes: 14

Quote:

Originally Posted by chrisreedrules

I’ll start getting excited when I see those 2014 flow numbers...

Spring of next year probably.

04-08-2018 | 04:02 PM

#178

blackhawk88

Gets Weekends Off

Joined: Apr 2017

Posts: 167

Likes: 0

What are you forecasting for a new hire? I dont think 6-7 years is realistic. Have a friend coming up with her R-ATP mins and thinking of PSA for ORF base. Lives in PHF, so it's an easy drive.

04-08-2018 | 05:27 PM

#179

ZeroTT

Banned

Joined: May 2017

Posts: 2,012

Likes: 0

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackhawk88

What are you forecasting for a new hire? I dont think 6-7 years is realistic. Have a friend coming up with her R-ATP mins and thinking of PSA for ORF base. Lives in PHF, so it's an easy drive.

Flow times are most strongly dependent on how many people leave for other airlines (or McDonald's or heaven or anyplace else). If the economy stays strong and every major is vacuuming the regionals clean to replace retirees, it could come below 6 years.

If the economy tanks and AA furloughs ... it could be a loooong time.

04-08-2018 | 06:37 PM

#180

TallFlyer

Gets Weekends Off

Joined: Feb 2007

Posts: 2,607

Likes: 14

Quote:

Originally Posted by ZeroTT

If the economy tanks and AA furloughs ... it could be a loooong time.

Even if the economy takes, an airline that’s retiring a third of its pilot group in the next 6-7 years most likely won’t need to furlough; they’ll just meter hiring.