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03-16-2021 | 09:48 PM
#331
On Reserve
Joined: Apr 2009
Posts: 19
Likes: 1
Here's some numbers to consider re furlough returns:
~720 furloughed. Recalls from furlough were offered six return periods to bid for: 1st & last halves of Jan, Feb, & Mar. So all recalls are on property for April. My spreadsheet comparing furlough vs currently employed pilots shows about 120 of those furloughed are no longer in the system for April ie after the last return period. I can only presume those people have resigned or declined to accept recall.
Also we are told that there have been more resignations that expected. Even the more senior of the furloughed have jumped up the seniority ranks, so the resignations aren't just from furloughees (is that even a word? Oh well. It is now...).
Sometime ago, I read somewhere (so take it with whatever degree of confidence you like) that AA has a clause in scope that lets them ignore some scope limitations for a limited period (12 or 18 months, or thereabouts) during extreme times as a force majeure exception. Rumour and some media reporting is that national travel is expected to rebound quickly, and international travel rather more slowly and possibly with a delayed start and limited destinations.
So to my way of thinking, throwing as much domestic flying at the regionals as possible for the next year or less would make sense until a route can support the larger capacity mainline equipment. Meanwhile mainline pay is protected by the Covid bills so little cost to AAG while operating routes profitably. As pax numbers return over the next year, bring the booming routes back to mainline and keep the remaining low pax routes with the regionals until they recover too.
~720 furloughed. Recalls from furlough were offered six return periods to bid for: 1st & last halves of Jan, Feb, & Mar. So all recalls are on property for April. My spreadsheet comparing furlough vs currently employed pilots shows about 120 of those furloughed are no longer in the system for April ie after the last return period. I can only presume those people have resigned or declined to accept recall.
Also we are told that there have been more resignations that expected. Even the more senior of the furloughed have jumped up the seniority ranks, so the resignations aren't just from furloughees (is that even a word? Oh well. It is now...).
Sometime ago, I read somewhere (so take it with whatever degree of confidence you like) that AA has a clause in scope that lets them ignore some scope limitations for a limited period (12 or 18 months, or thereabouts) during extreme times as a force majeure exception. Rumour and some media reporting is that national travel is expected to rebound quickly, and international travel rather more slowly and possibly with a delayed start and limited destinations.
So to my way of thinking, throwing as much domestic flying at the regionals as possible for the next year or less would make sense until a route can support the larger capacity mainline equipment. Meanwhile mainline pay is protected by the Covid bills so little cost to AAG while operating routes profitably. As pax numbers return over the next year, bring the booming routes back to mainline and keep the remaining low pax routes with the regionals until they recover too.
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