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Old 03-30-2012 | 07:14 AM
  #5771  
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Originally Posted by BlueMoon
Delta woudn't care and I highly doubt Hulas cares about rocking the boat if he could make money. the economic sense in outsourcing is the whipsaw against one another, not necessarily being cheaper right off the bat, but ensuring it stays cheap in the future.

Unfortunately I saw the same thing happen at Comair. We took the paycuts, got a 76 seat rate, and then saw most of the 76 sweaters go to other carriers while we parked 50 seaters. The furloughed FO's will just go to where the flying is at the other carriers. I hope it turns out different for Eagle, I just don't see it though.
We need to demystify the whole Comair thing once and for all. Not every airline is destined for a "comair" style ending. We can't always play that card.

First, Delta already had ASA doing much of their flying. Prior to their bankruptcy Delta had already made plans to shift much of Comair's routes to ASA.

AMR has no ASA.

Second, the Comair pilot group burned some major bridges with their strike. Their hearts were in the right place, but the timing and how Comair management went about it was very wrong. Delta didn't forgive or forget.

No such bad blood exists between Eagle and AMR. No strikes by our pilot group shutting down operations.

Third, Comair (not the pilots) had a history of incompetence the likes of which had rarely been seen before. Remember the Christmas fiasco? How many thousands of flights were canceled over that week?

Then to add insult to injury their crew scheduling system goes beserk forcing more cancelations.

Eagle had the dynamic manning experiment go wrong this past year, but that was small potatoes compared to the things Comair pullled. Plus the dynamic manning was AMR's idea and was only a test.

When push came to shove Delta was running from Comair. They had ASA and Chatauqua picking up most of their flying and, most imprtantly, doing that flying more efficiently. This is not a reflection on the Comair pilot group who were doing a superior job with what they had to work with.

Comair's story is unique and involves many variables and factors. We can't always scream COMAIR! Everytime a company enters bankruptcy or goes into negotiation with a regional partner.

None of this is to say that AMR isn't capable of anything. I'm just saying we can't use what happend to Comair as a basis for what may or may not happen to Eagle.
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Old 03-30-2012 | 07:16 AM
  #5772  
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Originally Posted by What
One list does't solve the "longevity issue", making people flow at 1st year pay and probation by making Eagle's contract subpar does!
I don't see any language that "makes" people flow though. What I do see is a pay control methodology that ensures those who don't, will for the next 8 years fly those 76-seaters for the same rates as the cheapest out there. Actually, at that point, you go into section 6 and you can add anohter 5 years to that.

Previously I put up a post to highlight my opinion that when one considers that methodology, the rates within it, expected inflation and health care increases, it would mean that a future senior, topped-out E175 captain at Eagle would be flying in 2019 for what would be approximately equevilent to about $55,000/year in 2012 earning dollars. Right now, senior, topped out E145 captains are pulling in $100K or more for 25 less seats.

You starting to see the picture here ?

Rock-bottom pilot costs, but they still need some form of whipsaw scenario going forward. It's not just strikes BTW, but coverage for staffing problems, inability to attract pilots or other problems. Still got to avoid having ALL your eggs in one basket even WITH peanuts compensation.

Many of those senior won't come to AA @ $40/hour, commuting to NYC at their ages, so they'll live with the situation or go elsewhere. Some will come over to AA............BUT, AA isn't likely to grow to support any flowthrough anyways as these larger RJ's with these wages will be taking on much of mainlines future flying, so it's likely to be a trickle. If AA merges with U either before C11 exit (Parkers desire) or after (Horton's willingness), then all bets are off and the combined entity has 10 regionals 600 airplanes and 6000 pilots, which is too much. The 2 mainlines might have too many aircraft/pilots too.

What a mess, eh ?
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Old 03-30-2012 | 07:23 AM
  #5773  
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Originally Posted by embraer
We need to demystify the whole Comair thing once and for all. Not every airline is destined for a "comair" style ending. We can't always play that card.

First, Delta already had ASA doing much of their flying. Prior to their bankruptcy Delta had already made plans to shift much of Comair's routes to ASA.

AMR has no ASA.

Second, the Comair pilot group burned some major bridges with their strike. Their hearts were in the right place, but the timing and how Comair management went about it was very wrong. Delta didn't forgive or forget.

No such bad blood exists between Eagle and AMR. No strikes by our pilot group shutting down operations.

Third, Comair (not the pilots) had a history of incompetence the likes of which had rarely been seen before. Remember the Christmas fiasco? How many thousands of flights were canceled over that week?

Then to add insult to injury their crew scheduling system goes beserk forcing more cancelations.

Eagle had the dynamic manning experiment go wrong this past year, but that was small potatoes compared to the things Comair pullled. Plus the dynamic manning was AMR's idea and was only a test.

When push came to shove Delta was running from Comair. They had ASA and Chatauqua picking up most of their flying and, most imprtantly, doing that flying more efficiently. This is not a reflection on the Comair pilot group who were doing a superior job with what they had to work with.

Comair's story is unique and involves many variables and factors. We can't always scream COMAIR! Everytime a company enters bankruptcy or goes into negotiation with a regional partner.

None of this is to say that AMR isn't capable of anything. I'm just saying we can't use what happend to Comair as a basis for what may or may not happen to Eagle.
Agreed. I never reference Comair when talking about Eagle. Eagle's situation is simply about costs and leverage to maintain those costs......or as a management executive would say, "it's just business".
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Old 03-30-2012 | 07:51 AM
  #5774  
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Originally Posted by embraer
Because that way you will finally be able to call yourself an Eagle pilot like you always wanted, right?

Keep hoping. It's AMR's pie, not Eagle's. And the boys at centerpoint won't negotiate with any subcontractor as long as they have 3,000+ pilots on property who are forced to accept whatever contract the judge signs off on.
Actually what makes more sense is to enforce a BK contract AND farm out flying to other regionals so as to create the whipsaw.

Don't think it won't happen. It happened to Comair, ExpressJet, & ASA just to name a few.
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Old 03-30-2012 | 07:57 AM
  #5775  
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Originally Posted by eaglefly
I don't see any language that "makes" people flow though. What I do see is a pay control methodology that ensures those who don't, will for the next 8 years fly those 76-seaters for the same rates as the cheapest out there. Actually, at that point, you go into section 6 and you can add anohter 5 years to that.

Previously I put up a post to highlight my opinion that when one considers that methodology, the rates within it, expected inflation and health care increases, it would mean that a future senior, topped-out E175 captain at Eagle would be flying in 2019 for what would be approximately equevilent to about $55,000/year in 2012 earning dollars. Right now, senior, topped out E145 captains are pulling in $100K or more for 25 less seats.

You starting to see the picture here ?

Rock-bottom pilot costs, but they still need some form of whipsaw scenario going forward. It's not just strikes BTW, but coverage for staffing problems, inability to attract pilots or other problems. Still got to avoid having ALL your eggs in one basket even WITH peanuts compensation.

Many of those senior won't come to AA @ $40/hour, commuting to NYC at their ages, so they'll live with the situation or go elsewhere. Some will come over to AA............BUT, AA isn't likely to grow to support any flowthrough anyways as these larger RJ's with these wages will be taking on much of mainlines future flying, so it's likely to be a trickle. If AA merges with U either before C11 exit (Parkers desire) or after (Horton's willingness), then all bets are off and the combined entity has 10 regionals 600 airplanes and 6000 pilots, which is too much. The 2 mainlines might have too many aircraft/pilots too.

What a mess, eh ?
I agree with you, what I meant about making people flow was that AMR will make help people make their mind about flowing!
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Old 03-30-2012 | 09:35 AM
  #5776  
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well they have been putting rfp's out for over 3 years. why have they not added the additional feeders yet?

For that matter, AA has had the capability via the current APA scope to have as many feeders it wants for the last 20 years, so why have they not?
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Old 03-30-2012 | 09:43 AM
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Originally Posted by What
I agree with you, what I meant about making people flow was that AMR will make help people make their mind about flowing!
I'd be more then surprised if there were any new-hire classes to put them in for quite a while. I'm still hearing that up to 400 furloughs are likely once PBS kicks in and then one day many moons from now, they'll have to comb back through the furlough list (again) before tapping anyone at Eagle.
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Old 03-30-2012 | 09:49 AM
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Originally Posted by buddies8
well they have been putting rfp's out for over 3 years. why have they not added the additional feeders yet?

For that matter, AA has had the capability via the current APA scope to have as many feeders it wants for the last 20 years, so why have they not?
Prior to BK, I think the goal was to sell Eagle as part of a package, but I've heard the terms were less then palatable to those who did kick the tires there. Now AMR is in the transition of BK and it's a whole different ballgame where the terms may be better, but financing the aircraft will be an issue (at least while still in BK).

Sounds like Horton wants to merge wit U, just after reorganization and if he can keep the majority of the EMB's for short-term and work out a purchase/exchage for E175's and such, perhaps AFTER a merger, they can go about plucking the combined regional side of AA and U for who will be awarded the contracts (with the combined entity owning the aircraft though). They should have more pilots then they need and can draw down carriers and routes over a relatively short time frame.

Just my opinion on that, anyway...........
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Old 03-30-2012 | 09:55 AM
  #5779  
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Originally Posted by eaglefly
Prior to BK, I think the goal was to sell Eagle as part of a package, but I've heard the terms were less then palatable to those who did kick the tires there. Now AMR is in the transition of BK and it's a whole different ballgame where the terms may be better, but financing the aircraft will be an issue (at least while still in BK).

Sounds like Horton wants to merge wit U, just after reorganization and if he can keep the majority of the EMB's for short-term and work out a purchase/exchage for E175's and such, perhaps AFTER a merger, they can go about plucking the combined regional side of AA and U for who will be awarded the contracts (with the combined entity owning the aircraft though). They should have more pilots then they need and can draw down carriers and routes over a relatively short time frame.

Just my opinion on that, anyway...........
I still think AMR will stay alone and code share heavily with JetBlue and Alaska, I just don't see how US Airways will help AMR with NY & LA compared to what they already have. JetBlue cost are on the rise while AMR's are on the decrease, it will be interesting how it all plays out. United and US Airways code share heavily, how does United play in all of this. Delta doesn't want to sit on the sidelines either and AIG already said...wait a minute. Financing won't be an issue since our Brazilian brother are willing to help out! Just like the ERJ deal.
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Old 03-30-2012 | 10:03 AM
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AMR loses $619 million in February - MarketWatch

AMR loses $619 million in February - MarketWatch

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- AMR Corp. AAMRQ +2.01% reported a loss of $619 million, or $1.85 a share, for the month of February on operating revenue of $1.81 billion, according to a filing with regulators on Friday. The airline, wihch filed for bankruptcy on Nov. 29, disclosed $24.4 billion in total assets including $40 million in cash, $4.2 billion in restricted cash and short-term investments, and $10.9 billion in flight equipment. The company's accumulated deficit totaled $8.44 billion as of Feb. 29.

...............

That 4.2 billion is about to be under 3 billion, this is the 3rd month they have posted a huge loss.
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