Go Back  Airline Pilot Central Forums > Airline Pilot Forums > Regional
Pilot Shortage (2015 Embry Riddle summit) >

Pilot Shortage (2015 Embry Riddle summit)

Search

Notices
Regional Regional Airlines

Pilot Shortage (2015 Embry Riddle summit)

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 01-16-2015 | 09:49 AM
  #111  
Cubdriver's Avatar
Moderator
 
Joined: May 2006
Posts: 6,056
Likes: 0
From: ATP, CFI etc.
Default

The path hasn't really changed that much over the years. The new 1500 hour rule keeps some low timers out of the airplane now, but most new airline recruits historically had 1500+ anyway from instruction and 135 jobs. The main difference I see is that loans are not as easy to get since the Recession, and some of the 135 time building jobs are harder to find now.
Reply
Old 01-16-2015 | 10:06 AM
  #112  
bedrock's Avatar
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 718
Likes: 0
From: ERJ, CA
Default

Originally Posted by ClickClickBoom
Here is why, there is/will be a shortage:
( Expert says new generation wants instant gratification. Are pare - ABC 33/40 - Birmingham News, Weather, Sports )
I was watching real sports, they were stating that there was one golf course closing every day U.S. Golf Course Closures Exceed Openings for Eighth Year - Businessweek. Their theory was that the current generation was unwilling to play a game with such a difficult mastery curve, and alluded that the other skill sports such as baseball, football and basketball were in the same boat. They even showed a college that had an intramural gaming team.
So take an endeavor such as piloting, that requires a fairly complex skill set before being released into the airspace, coupled with a steep financial component and an extended calendar time frame for completion, creates a recipe for a shortage. Add financial issues and the deal is sealed.
https://atpflightschool.com/
How many months to get from 250 hrs to 1500 again?
I would think the record number of golf course closures might have to do with the record number of unemployed and underemployed, the record number of households on foodstamps, and the record number of cities cutting back expenses. The article noted that 97% were public closures. $40 dollar greens fees is still a lot for those barely getting by. A lot of retirees can't retire either.
Reply
Old 01-16-2015 | 10:06 AM
  #113  
block30's Avatar
Bracing for Fallacies
 
Joined: Jul 2007
Posts: 3,543
Likes: 0
From: In favor of good things, not in favor of bad things
Default

Originally Posted by deltajuliet
A lot of good points and valid observations have been made in this thread. One negative bullet point mentioned that scared me a little bit was increasing retirement to age 67.
Could you please provide a link? Is there any serious push for this? I hear this to nauseum, but I never see any hard evidence. And we all know, the airlines are gonna do what they do best...just skate for another two years, then go "OMG this crisis is a complete surprise and not faaaaair!"



Originally Posted by ClickClickBoom
One problem, who exactly wants to stay in this pathetic chit show to 67? Talking to UAL guys in their 60s, they can't wait to leave before 65.
Meh, wait til age 65 is under a year away for these guys. Then the excuses start surfacing. "Post 9-11 was reeeeally hard on ME!/I have a kid in school and an ex/My schedule is pretty good and I don't commute/I don't know what I'd do in retirement/Money is tight because of ______, SO I GUESS I'LL STAY." Its surprising how many really do stay. I am surprised at the number riding it out to the bitter end of age 65.
Reply
Old 01-16-2015 | 10:55 AM
  #114  
On Reserve
 
Joined: Aug 2014
Posts: 23
Likes: 0
From: Desk
Default

True enough. American Airlines pilots just got a 23% pay raise, while Envoy pilots just agreed to a wage freeze. Do the mainline AA pilots have any empathy for their Envoy brothers and sisters? I suppose they look at Envoy as an outsourcing of their mainline jobs, so who cares, right?
Reply
Old 01-16-2015 | 11:00 AM
  #115  
On Reserve
 
Joined: Aug 2014
Posts: 23
Likes: 0
From: Desk
Default

Originally Posted by block30
Meh, wait til age 65 is under a year away for these guys. Then the excuses start surfacing. "Post 9-11 was reeeeally hard on ME!/I have a kid in school and an ex/My schedule is pretty good and I don't commute/I don't know what I'd do in retirement/Money is tight because of ______, SO I GUESS I'LL STAY." Its surprising how many really do stay. I am surprised at the number riding it out to the bitter end of age 65.
Right on! I remember the AA pilots union opposing the age 65 rule because it was "a safety issue," but once the age limit was raised, most decided to stay until 65. Guess that safety issue evaporated overnight as long as the gravy train was gonna keep rolling for them.
Reply
Old 01-16-2015 | 11:18 AM
  #116  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 489
Likes: 0
Default

Originally Posted by Cubdriver
The path hasn't really changed that much over the years. The new 1500 hour rule keeps some low timers out of the airplane now, but most new airline recruits historically had 1500+ anyway from instruction and 135 jobs. The main difference I see is that loans are not as easy to get since the Recession, and some of the 135 time building jobs are harder to find now.

Exactly. I have to chuckle when I read the discussions regarding the need to now have 1500 hours.

1500/250 was the typical "norm." At 1600/300, I was one of the lower-time in my class back in the day. I would guess, that looking over history, getting hired with less than 1000 hours is the exception and not the norm.
Reply
Old 01-16-2015 | 11:23 AM
  #117  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 489
Likes: 0
Default

Originally Posted by Rotator
Right on! I remember the AA pilots union opposing the age 65 rule because it was "a safety issue," but once the age limit was raised, most decided to stay until 65. Guess that safety issue evaporated overnight as long as the gravy train was gonna keep rolling for them.
Not relating to aa pilots or any group in particular:


My favorite was the cry of "age discrimination!"

Never mind the fact that while they were enjoying advancement due to the age 60 rule for decades, they never said a thing about it.
Reply
Old 01-16-2015 | 11:32 AM
  #118  
Slick111's Avatar
Line Holder
 
Joined: Feb 2014
Posts: 749
Likes: 0
Default

Duplicate post...........

Last edited by Slick111; 01-16-2015 at 11:43 AM.
Reply
Old 01-16-2015 | 11:42 AM
  #119  
Slick111's Avatar
Line Holder
 
Joined: Feb 2014
Posts: 749
Likes: 0
Default

Well, it's been two days since the brilliant brain trust, who have charged with the unenviable task of solving the "pilot supply" conundrum adjourned. Is there any word on the findings of this star commission?
Reply
Old 01-16-2015 | 11:47 AM
  #120  
TeddyKGB's Avatar
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Jul 2010
Posts: 1,673
Likes: 0
From: 7er
Default

Originally Posted by APCLurker
Exactly. I have to chuckle when I read the discussions regarding the need to now have 1500 hours.

1500/250 was the typical "norm." At 1600/300, I was one of the lower-time in my class back in the day. I would guess, that looking over history, getting hired with less than 1000 hours is the exception and not the norm.
Yup. Plus now we are dealing with the entitlement generation.
Reply
Related Topics
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
Aceninja
Flight Schools and Training
9
11-20-2023 02:45 PM
Ryanthepilot
Flight Schools and Training
55
01-29-2015 05:09 PM
satpak77
Regional
0
01-01-2015 01:18 PM
av8r88
Flight Schools and Training
129
06-11-2009 08:06 AM
navymmw
Flight Schools and Training
23
07-11-2008 11:19 AM

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



Your Privacy Choices