Quote:
Originally Posted by LeTourneauAlumn
Can someone explain to the best of their ability exactly what is going on with the final stages of this negotiations? From what I am understanding July 26-28th is the last attempt to reach a TA? Let’s assume the result will be the same; at that time will the NMB give us the cool off period or has that already begun? From what I understand we have to do 30 days cool off before self-help? I’d hate to start this next rotation and be stuck in VIDP for a month! Lol
Pretty much, under the simplest explanation, it breaks down like this, for all practical purposes (this is a bit overly-simplified, but generally accurate):
If after this attempt no decision is made, then we still are in a situation in which the union has requested the proffer. The mediator has to decide whether to accept this or not, and there is no guarantee that they will.
If the mediator does not accept it, we continue under status quo and nothing changes. If the mediator does accept it, then the company has a certain amount of time to decide whether they will agree to binding arbitration. The same is true for the union.
It is almost certain that binding arbitration would not be agreed to, because neither side has a whole lot of say in the outcome, and allowing a binding decision to be made by a third party that has no obligation to take any position from either side as part of their decision is generally avoided in such whole contract situations. This generally is only reserved for minor decisions on specific issues.
If the binding arbitration is agreed to, an arbitrator will magically pull a decision out of his magical hat, and we will all be bound to it... after some period of both sides making a case to him, and perhaps some negotiation.
If the binding arbitration is not agreed to (which is the most likely case), there may be another round or two of "intense" attempt at finding a negotiated resolution, but it would likely lead to a threat of putting both sides into a cooling down period to prepare for self help. The hope is that both sides will come out of the cooling down period with clearer heads, and agree to something that avoids a strike occurring.
If both sides still cannot agree to terms, then they are released to self-help... most likely (unless the President or a court denies the action due to national or security interests, which is possible since we do fly military flights, and do have some reasonable economic impact).
Even if it comes to both sides being released to self-help, the shortest route to self-help is no less than a couple months out or more, so you have no reason to worry about being stranded in Delhi for a month in your upcoming rotation. It will not happen that fast. Hell, even if a TA is agreed to next week, voting would likely not occur on it until the end of August or early September either.