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Old 07-25-2025 | 11:45 AM
  #161  
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Simple Flying just posted a new article today saying certification is being pushed to 2026 at the earliest because the fix for the anti-ice isn’t working as well as expected and needs more work.

It never ends with this damn airplane does it…
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Old 07-25-2025 | 11:56 AM
  #162  
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Originally Posted by CaptTX
Simple Flying just posted a new article today saying certification is being pushed to 2026 at the earliest because the fix for the anti-ice isn’t working as well as expected and needs more work.

It never ends with this damn airplane does it…
good thing the 8s aren't falling out of the sky
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Old 07-25-2025 | 02:26 PM
  #163  
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Originally Posted by CaptTX
Simple Flying just posted a new article today saying certification is being pushed to 2026 at the earliest because the fix for the anti-ice isn’t working as well as expected and needs more work.

It never ends with this damn airplane does it…
I've been reading this book about the genesis of the Max. There was just a stunning amount of arrogance as the bean counters insisted they knew more than the engineers over and over again with this thing.

worth a read.

https://a.co/d/8Q9InYP
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Old 07-29-2025 | 10:39 AM
  #164  
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Originally Posted by CaptTX
Simple Flying just posted a new article today saying certification is being pushed to 2026 at the earliest because the fix for the anti-ice isn’t working as well as expected and needs more work.

It never ends with this damn airplane does it…
It’s really just getting sadly comical now. They’ve been working on fixing this TAI issue for 2+ years now. Back in the day they could almost go from clean sheet design to revenue service in about the same time. Heck, the Empire State Building was built in 4 years.

We are stuck in the mud with no appreciable growth for the next 3 or 4 years. If that thing actually shows up sometime in 2026 for revenue service it really won’t make a dent in overall fleet size until late 2027. It will just be replacing beat up 700s on a one-for-for basis initially.
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Old 07-29-2025 | 11:03 AM
  #165  
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I’m not completely familiar with the TAI certification problem. What is the problem?

Is the Max 7 TAI identical to the 8 and 9 and just can’t get certified “as is” because more of the current problem is known, or is it a completely different system than the 8/9 and has its own new problems?

I thought lack of EICAS was the big certification holdup; is that fixed or waived, or grandfathered in ok?

I guess I’m asking is this a 7 problem, or a problem with the Max fleet as a whole?

Last edited by CaseTractor; 07-29-2025 at 11:04 AM. Reason: Clarification of my question
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Old 07-29-2025 | 11:40 AM
  #166  
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Originally Posted by CaseTractor
I’m not completely familiar with the TAI certification problem. What is the problem?

Is the Max 7 TAI identical to the 8 and 9 and just can’t get certified “as is” because more of the current problem is known, or is it a completely different system than the 8/9 and has its own new problems?

I thought lack of EICAS was the big certification holdup; is that fixed or waived, or grandfathered in ok?

I guess I’m asking is this a 7 problem, or a problem with the Max fleet as a whole?
Same exact system on the 8 and 9. Both variants were already certified before the TAI issue was discovered. Operators were sent a procedural bulletin about the problem and how to mitigate it until a permanent fix was developed. I’m pretty sure the FAA granted the EICAS waiver already for the 7 and 10 and they were well on their way to being certified under the TAI bulletin/temp fix until the door plug on the Alaskan MAX9 blew. That, combined with the two MAX crashes, and the FAA was not in the mood to waive anything associated with certifying the 7 and 10. Boeing knew it and withdrew the TAI waiver request… and here we are.
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Old 07-29-2025 | 11:50 AM
  #167  
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Originally Posted by KPer
Same exact system on the 8 and 9. Both variants were already certified before the TAI issue was discovered. Operators were sent a procedural bulletin about the problem and how to mitigate it until a permanent fix was developed. I’m pretty sure the FAA granted the EICAS waiver already for the 7 and 10 and they were well on their way to being certified under the TAI bulletin/temp fix until the door plug on the Alaskan MAX9 blew. That, combined with the two MAX crashes, and the FAA was not in the mood to waive anything associated with certifying the 7 and 10. Boeing knew it and withdrew the TAI waiver request… and here we are.
The whole MAX design and implementation plan is a debacle. United had 250 MAX 10s on order and now probably won't get any. We took our 50 order of A-321s to replace the 757-200 fleet and upped that so now we are getting 270 A-321s and likely no MAX 10s. Some of MAX 10 orders were converted to 9s but we have pushed out getting any MAX 10s so far into the future that Delta will now be the first airline to get the 10.

Boeing has screwed so many airlines in the last 8 years its amazing they are still in operation. They are a monopoly and have massive government contracts keeping them afloat.

I'd be shocked to see a MAX 7 or 10 flying at an airline before 2027.
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Old 07-29-2025 | 12:31 PM
  #168  
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Originally Posted by KPer
It’s really just getting sadly comical now. They’ve been working on fixing this TAI issue for 2+ years now. Back in the day they could almost go from clean sheet design to revenue service in about the same time. Heck, the Empire State Building was built in 4 years.

We are stuck in the mud with no appreciable growth for the next 3 or 4 years. If that thing actually shows up sometime in 2026 for revenue service it really won’t make a dent in overall fleet size until late 2027. It will just be replacing beat up 700s on a one-for-for basis initially.
I think we've got much bigger issues in play regarding growth, or lack of, than the Max7. We are currently receiving new Max8s largely to replace the -700s as they hit the 24 year cliff, and the company seems to be a-okay these days with more 175-seaters in the fleet. I'd still like to fly one before my time is up, but I'm firmly in the 'believe it when it's sitting at one of our gates' mode.
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Old 07-29-2025 | 01:12 PM
  #169  
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Originally Posted by Smokey23
I think we've got much bigger issues in play regarding growth, or lack of, than the Max7. We are currently receiving new Max8s largely to replace the -700s as they hit the 24 year cliff, and the company seems to be a-okay these days with more 175-seaters in the fleet. I'd still like to fly one before my time is up, but I'm firmly in the 'believe it when it's sitting at one of our gates' mode.
It would not surprise me at all if they just decided to not take any max 7 aircraft. I wouldn't blame them.
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Old 07-29-2025 | 03:30 PM
  #170  
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Originally Posted by e6bpilot
It would not surprise me at all if they just decided to not take any max 7 aircraft. I wouldn't blame them.
just like you decided to abandon ETOPS because the FAA was dragging their feet?

Guess all of you forgot about how long that actually took.

everyone thought the MAX grounding was going to go on forever until one day the FAA just did their job.
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