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Old 08-01-2020 | 10:10 AM
  #121  
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Originally Posted by Andy
Pardon? You really need to read up on the BK process because you don't understand it very well.

You think that going through the Chap 11 process is amazing? For whom? It sucks for everyone including management. And especially creditors and line employees.

And if there isn't a legitimate case for Chap 11, the man in the black dress will throw it out and not allow the company to file.

Chap 11 is a long sucko process and let's hope that no airline has to go through it. However, before United gets to that point, there will be others who will have already filed, including from my estimation at least one ULCC and one LCC. So if anyone thinks that ULCCs/LCCs are doing OK, they really need to pull up each airline's Q2 (lack of) earnings. They're all as bad as United. Some quite a bit worse.

we said the same thing Andy.
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Old 08-01-2020 | 10:22 AM
  #122  
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Originally Posted by MasterOfPuppets
we said the same thing Andy.
You keep saying that if (more likely when) United shrinks to a shadow of its former self, it's out of business. I disagree with that assessment. Many of those debts and expensive assets are shed during the process.
And the rules have changed in the last few years, giving management less control over the process.
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Old 08-01-2020 | 11:13 AM
  #123  
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Originally Posted by Andy
You keep saying that if (more likely when) United shrinks to a shadow of its former self, it's out of business. I disagree with that assessment. Many of those debts and expensive assets are shed during the process.
And the rules have changed in the last few years, giving management less control over the process.
If ALL airlines including Spirit and Frontier go bankrupt we will survive. Be we can not compete being as small as we were in 2010.
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Old 08-01-2020 | 12:38 PM
  #124  
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This is all heading toward a whole industry collapse. When that happens, the rules get thrown out the window. A remote, but distinct possibility would be the entire industry is nationalized, and put back together again from the surviving pieces. What survives wont' resemble anything like the separate airlines we have now.

I would not be surprised if this happened on a larger scale in some of the Asian countries.
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Old 08-01-2020 | 12:44 PM
  #125  
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What happens to the recall list in a BK or in a merger situation?
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Old 08-01-2020 | 01:10 PM
  #126  
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Originally Posted by Laminar
What happens to the recall list in a BK or in a merger situation?
It all depends, but generally speaking not much.

The list is the list and one will get recalled in seniority order and BK does not change that.

If there is a merger one still gets recalled in the order of the merged list. And the merged list itself is determined by arbitration, which uses a different methodology for ALPA-ALPA mergers and non-ALPA mergers.

For example, in the case of the UAL/CAL ALPA-ALPA merger the pilots on furlough the day the merger was announced all ended up within a couple percentage points on the merged list compared to their pre-merger list. The senior pilots were still senior and the junior pilots were still junior.
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Old 08-01-2020 | 01:32 PM
  #127  
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Originally Posted by Dave Fitzgerald
This is all heading toward a whole industry collapse. When that happens, the rules get thrown out the window. A remote, but distinct possibility would be the entire industry is nationalized, and put back together again from the surviving pieces. What survives wont' resemble anything like the separate airlines we have now.

I would not be surprised if this happened on a larger scale in some of the Asian countries.
National seniority list?
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Old 08-01-2020 | 02:29 PM
  #128  
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Originally Posted by MasterOfPuppets
If ALL airlines including Spirit and Frontier go bankrupt we will survive. Be we can not compete being as small as we were in 2010.
That’s not going to happen.
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Old 08-01-2020 | 02:39 PM
  #129  
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Originally Posted by MasterOfPuppets
National seniority list?
If this were to happen there will be no union. Pucker up to get ahead. Fly junk, etc. It would be very ugly.
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Old 08-01-2020 | 03:08 PM
  #130  
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Originally Posted by oldmako
If this were to happen there will be no union. Pucker up to get ahead. Fly junk, etc. It would be very ugly.
agreed.....the amount of fences would carry us to the next century.
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