Except they plan for Summer 2021 not November 2020....

So again, we don’t know.


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If a fleet decision has been made which will be the 2 step draw-down of the Airbus then expect a large Airbus reduction bid with no additions effective 10/01/2020. It will leave about 220 Airbus pilots total...To operate the 18 jets that are flying

817 bid blocks for summer ‘21
Single fleet saves company apx 5% in # of pilots needed
PBS Saves the company apx 6% in # of pilots needed

That 11 percent is a huge deal and will most likely keep people out longer, 2023

You are 100% correct......This is just methodology from the last furlough. We went to a single fleet then and it looked similar.
They send out a big stack of notices with expected return dates and then meter the furloughs to their liking

Thanks. That’s what a lot of us who were not around for the last furlough were wondering. How it worked last time...


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Lots of doom and gloom, the truth is we all need to breath and wait for what the end of june looks like if we are back to 1mil people a day in TSA numbers we maybe well be back to 80%-85% by new year. Nobody knows and people are feeding the worst case scenario here and it’s legit but there is as good of an argument that thinks start looking up. Plan for worst hope for best but the reality is this models being put out here are as accurate now as covid models so yes the union really can’t give an answer nor can your stockbroker or fortune teller hang in there

Except there will be no PBS but you already knew that.....And single fleet efficiency as a percentage of whole for the Airbus is only 3% and you already knew that. Fortunately we will have no super stars flying vsa/premium which will be a large offset and both prevent furloughs to begin with, shorten the length of furloughs individually and bring back all furloughs as a group sooner...Last time around I believe the longest involuntary furloughs ran 1100 days...plus or minus

So now there won't be A321's?

We shall see. This bid is due to cancel and the next one will come out right after it does.....I think the training churn created by this current bid probably drove them towards a single fleet.....They absolutely despise having to pay to train pilots...They only want to train you once.....

I think PBS will be voted in by late Q4 to early Q1, hope I am wrong, but I think it’s coming. I was told single fleet savings would be actually 5 percent. Closing one base helps attain that 5 percent, 2 bases are possible. I would not be surprised to see a new contract signed in the next 12 mouths that removes a lot of the furlough protections, I think company will get premium back, hope I am wrong. This is a high stakes poker match, nothing will surprise me. Company is sitting on 770 million in chips and the union a whopping 50k. The only thing we have figured out to do to this point is slow the hands down. We just keep getting up and walking away from the table, hoping something will change. Hasn’t worked yet, but we haven’t let that detour us.