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-   -   Furlough Estimates (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/american/129761-furlough-estimates.html)

cessnapilot 07-23-2020 08:58 PM


Originally Posted by daOldMan (Post 3097412)
Well, we have tested a much larger number, and we have a much larger population.

Read a study today that the rapid tests have had a "false positive" rate of more than 28%. Some of the companies have lost their FDA authorization as a result (look at the stock ticker for CEMI). So, between false positive tests and manipulated numbers, it certainly looks bad. But it isn't.

The short answer is that we have NOT had a failed response, just a failed political system that is using this as a publicity stunt to try to regain what they lost previously.

I disagree. Many countries are testing more, and their numbers are lower. I’m looking at rates per 100k, so overall population is corrected in the results.

take a look at the numbers for Germany and Japan. Every country is feeling the economic effects and impact on the health care system. This isn’t some made up political problem.

Arado 234 07-23-2020 09:29 PM


Originally Posted by sanicom3205 (Post 3098062)
"I dealt with 8 years of the B scale son, so I can't say I feel bad for you" said the 777 FB in GSW for his three bounces in the sim.

The whole "Unity" thing is meant in jest, right??

I think it's generational. Hopefully, those fukkers are gone soon. Not sure if it is just my luck, but it seems that many Masterbasers are generally douches (AA and US).

sanicom3205 07-24-2020 03:20 AM


Originally Posted by FetaCheese (Post 3098098)
Wander over to the AArena if you dare. Any idea of unity will evaporate in a nano second. It's a bunch of super senior guys who either think they still work for AMR or Us Airways. It's like Arpey and Horton are still here. Get real.

I'll tell you this. I'll tell everyone this. Regardless if I get furloughed or not. I will never, NEVER turn my back on any of our pilots regardless of how junior they are. And regardless of how senior I am. I'll remember what I'm going through right now and how it feels for the rest of my life. I'll break my back to spare anyone else from having to go through this.


My thoughts exactly. This whole experience with a looming furlough has changed the way I think. I’m in a good position to weather this, but I can’t imagine having kids and a mortgage, college payments etc. I feel for these guys. I come from an airline family and I understand many guys have been through the ringer, but to go through any type of hardship and come away thinking that it’s some type of right of passage and to feel no sympathy is pathetic.

I think the new cadre will be better human beings.

FetaCheese 07-24-2020 05:53 AM


Originally Posted by sanicom3205 (Post 3098167)
My thoughts exactly. This whole experience with a looming furlough has changed the way I think. I’m in a good position to weather this, but I can’t imagine having kids and a mortgage, college payments etc. I feel for these guys. I come from an airline family and I understand many guys have been through the ringer, but to go through any type of hardship and come away thinking that it’s some type of right of passage and to feel no sympathy is pathetic.

I think the new cadre will be better human beings.

Yeah, I don't get some of these older generation guys. It's almost like they want everyone to go through as much suffering as possible to make themselves feel better.

And I'm one of those in a bad position. We don't live outside our means at all. Still live in the same house we bought when I was a regional FO. Down to one car payment, one credit card, and one son in private school.
​​​​​​
If the worst happens and I get furloughed though, I'm done. House will have to be sold. Son pulled from school. I've been looking for jobs outside aviation-because that's all we can realistically hope for-and I'll be lucky to make $17 an hour. That's just a little over $2,000 a month. Assuming my wife (who'll have to go back to work) makes the same..that's a whopping $4,000 per month. Working a 9 to 5 or retail job.

Yeah..it's BS. And the lack of sympathy makes it worse. The feeling that nobody outside the furlough group gives a F* twists the knife even further. This isn't a game. It isn't funny. Senior guys making north of $300,000 for multiple years now wouldn't miss a beat by lowering the ALV, or lowering RSV guarantee.. anything that would save their fellow pilots.

But no. They'd rather drink their beers, trim their walrus moustaches while chuckling about us "paying our dues". I can't wait for our generation of pilots to replace them.

iHateAMR 07-24-2020 06:58 AM


Originally Posted by FetaCheese (Post 3098214)
But no. They'd rather drink their beers, trim their walrus moustaches while chuckling about us "paying our dues". I can't wait for our generation of pilots to replace them.

You would hope there’d be change, but I wonder how many of those guys were like you in the beginning, then turned.

Saabs 07-24-2020 07:04 AM


Originally Posted by iHateAMR (Post 3098243)
You would hope there’d be change, but I wonder how many of those guys were like you in the beginning, then turned.

Still trying to figure out why you hate Alta Mesa Resources so much...

thrust 07-24-2020 09:24 AM


Originally Posted by FetaCheese (Post 3098214)
Yeah, I don't get some of these older generation guys. It's almost like they want everyone to go through as much suffering as possible to make themselves feel better.

And I'm one of those in a bad position. We don't live outside our means at all. Still live in the same house we bought when I was a regional FO. Down to one car payment, one credit card, and one son in private school.
​​​​​​
If the worst happens and I get furloughed though, I'm done. House will have to be sold. Son pulled from school. I've been looking for jobs outside aviation-because that's all we can realistically hope for-and I'll be lucky to make $17 an hour. That's just a little over $2,000 a month. Assuming my wife (who'll have to go back to work) makes the same..that's a whopping $4,000 per month. Working a 9 to 5 or retail job.

Yeah..it's BS. And the lack of sympathy makes it worse. The feeling that nobody outside the furlough group gives a F* twists the knife even further. This isn't a game. It isn't funny. Senior guys making north of $300,000 for multiple years now wouldn't miss a beat by lowering the ALV, or lowering RSV guarantee.. anything that would save their fellow pilots.

But no. They'd rather drink their beers, trim their walrus moustaches while chuckling about us "paying our dues". I can't wait for our generation of pilots to replace them.

FWIW, the vast majority of pilots I fly with are relatively rational, understanding human beings. The geriatric sociopaths that yell at clouds on The Line are the very vocal outliers. I take everything that’s said there with a massive grain of salt.

From perusing the DAL and SWA forums here at APC, it sounds like they have similar headcases on their union boards/Facebook as well. It’s not limited to just AA.

iHateAMR 07-24-2020 10:05 AM


Originally Posted by Saabs (Post 3098248)
Still trying to figure out why you hate Alta Mesa Resources so much...

So one must hate the current company only and not the previous company? Sorry, I missed that memo, I will create a new screen name to reflect hate towards the new company that hasn’t done anything wrong to me because you’re offended. I wish the TOC would just spell out that I need to create a new screen name every time AA goes bankrupt. Douchebag.

Al Czervik 07-24-2020 10:10 AM


Originally Posted by iHateAMR (Post 3098338)
So one must hate the current company only and not the previous company? Sorry, I missed that memo, I will create a new screen name to reflect hate towards the new company that hasn’t done anything wrong to me because you’re offended. I wish the TOC would just spell out that I need to create a new screen name every time AA goes bankrupt. Douchebag.

Soooooo, should we add Saabs to list? Sheesh.

R57 relay 07-24-2020 02:43 PM


Originally Posted by Arado 234 (Post 3098137)
I think it's generational. Hopefully, those fukkers are gone soon. Not sure if it is just my luck, but it seems that many Masterbasers are generally douches (AA and US).


I think it may be age and/or seniority related, but don't think it's generational.

I have seen the same thing over and over in my career. When someone is under the gun , they are willing to do whatever. When they aren't, they don't care. Not everyone, but a lot.

How many junior guys gave a flip about the seniority situation? I had a 20 something telling me how great his career was going to be and that us geezers needed to "just get over" the seniority issues. It didn't affect him, he didn't care. I won't hold that, and the many derogatory comments I've heard about my group on here, change my attitude. I want us all to have a job.


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