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-   -   Any "Latest & Greatest" about Delta? (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/delta/36912-any-latest-greatest-about-delta.html)

Wasatch Phantom 04-08-2012 12:24 PM


Originally Posted by slowplay (Post 1166017)
I disagree. Wasatch wrote



"Respectable Regionals"?

So the average Compass Captain (42 jets) has 4 years tenure. He didn't include them. And Compass gets a longevity reset whenever the flow starts, keeping downward pressure on wages.

The last 12 "large" RJ's placed by Delta went to Gojets...those are year 2 Captains and the airframes came from SkyWest.

Those two airlines 54 of the 255 large RJ's currently operating in the Delta fleet.

He also didn't mention Republic and their $37/hr FO rate. They fly 30 large RJ's for DCI. That's 1/3 of the current DCI large RJ fleet he didn't include.

How do you think the PCL rates will hold up under 1113, especially as 16 of their CRJ-900 aircraft flying for Delta are being rejected? They still will have 41 -900's flying if their reorganization is successful at whatever new payrate they negotiate.

How is Comair's concessionary bargaining going for their 28 large RJ's?

Alfa's right, it is a complex problem. Scambo's point that it's not just rates is correct too. Using Scambo's way results in a pilot cost disparity of over 60% when compared to either aircraft block hours or pilot cost per pilot block hour. And that's just pilots. Not even including the rest of labor, the additional inefficiency of a new mainline fleet type and all the start-up and sustainment costs of operating a new fleet makes the difference gets even greater.

Oh, and if all those DCI contracts guaranteed profits, why is PCL bankrupt, SKYW breaking even, and wholly owned Comair collapsing?:rolleyes:

Slow,

I didn't define "respectable, but I would categorize "Go Jets" as less than respectable. I don't think very highly of Republic, either.

In my quick research I did not "cherry pick" but rather used examples of carriers that I was pretty sure operated CRJ-900 aircraft or the E-190. I just went to APC and looked at the numbers they had listed.

IIRC Compass was started by NWA during their bankruptcy and there were flow agreements in both directions. It's my understanding Compass applicants interviewed with NWA as they would eventually become NWA pilots. This is just my opinion, but DALPA "screwed the pooch" with the way they handled Compass.

The DALPA attitude of "It's a really complex cost equation and you're not smart enough to understand..." is the type of arrogance that I really resent, and one reason why I support DALPA's ouster.

DAL73n 04-08-2012 12:32 PM

Value of the Brand
 
We are always talking about our High Value Customers - their is a value to having control of the brand. How much do we lose by one of our HVCs having a bad experience at the DCI carriers (whether it's a gate agent, bad maintenance, poor FA's, or a poor crew). If that happens at DAL then if they complain then at least we can identify a weak area and fix it. What do we do if it happens at a DCI carrier. Marketing firms will tell you how expensive it is to attract a new customer (I'm talking an HVC - not your scour the internet, cheapest price leisure customer). How many of AT's former Platinum Flyers are we going to get when SWA eliminates 1st class? Let's factor that into the cost equation (there are ways to figure this out).

Columbia 04-08-2012 12:39 PM


Originally Posted by DAL73n (Post 1166070)
We are always talking about our High Value Customers - their is a value to having control of the brand. How much do we lose by one of our HVCs having a bad experience at the DCI carriers (whether it's a gate agent, bad maintenance, poor FA's, or a poor crew). If that happens at DAL then if they complain then at least we can identify a weak area and fix it. What do we do if it happens at a DCI carrier. Marketing firms will tell you how expensive it is to attract a new customer (I'm talking an HVC - not your scour the internet, cheapest price leisure customer). How many of AT's former Platinum Flyers are we going to get when SWA eliminates 1st class? Let's factor that into the cost equation (there are ways to figure this out).

Bingo. However, management would rather keep their RJ outsourced leverage than ticking off innumerable hvcs who leave for greener pastures. They know that once they give up their leverage, even if it costs them a ton of money, the pilots will never give it back. 50 seaters will be here longer and in greater numbers than most would hope.

Scoop 04-08-2012 01:08 PM


Originally Posted by slowplay (Post 1166034)
Yeah, let's not let the real world ( I just showed a substantial percentage of DCI) get in the way of our wants and desires...

Pattern bargaining works. Both up AND down. I think all of us over the last decade have experienced that (C2K and BK).

Slow,

You are missing my point. Lets be consistent. Its only the real world at the DCI level? AMR, UCAL and USAIR will somehow not prohibit our ability to get a pay-raise in section 6, but the DCI carriers you mention will not allow anyone to pay a higher rate on that equipment ever? You say pattern bargaining works both ways - is that except for DCI which will always and forever go down?

IF DALPA can bargain up mainline rates (and at times has) why do you showcase some bottom feeding DCI carriers and declare it a lost cause concerning DCI?

No one is saying costs do not matter. We should all agree we are constrained by the current environment, and maybe the 70 seater economics will not presently work at Delta but what about the E190?

Scoop

scambo1 04-08-2012 01:24 PM


Originally Posted by slowplay (Post 1166017)
I disagree. Wasatch wrote



"Respectable Regionals"?

So the average Compass Captain (42 jets) has 4 years tenure. He didn't include them. And Compass gets a longevity reset whenever the flow starts, keeping downward pressure on wages.

The last 12 "large" RJ's placed by Delta went to Gojets...those are year 2 Captains and the airframes came from SkyWest.

Those two airlines 54 of the 255 large RJ's currently operating in the Delta fleet.

He also didn't mention Republic and their $37/hr FO rate. They fly 30 large RJ's for DCI. That's 1/3 of the current DCI large RJ fleet he didn't include.

How do you think the PCL rates will hold up under 1113, especially as 16 of their CRJ-900 aircraft flying for Delta are being rejected? They still will have 41 -900's flying if their reorganization is successful at whatever new payrate they negotiate.

How is Comair's concessionary bargaining going for their 28 large RJ's?

Alfa's right, it is a complex problem. Scambo's point that it's not just rates is correct too. Using Scambo's way results in a pilot cost disparity of over 60% when compared to either aircraft block hours or pilot cost per pilot block hour. And that's just pilots. Not even including the rest of labor, the additional inefficiency of a new mainline fleet type and all the start-up and sustainment costs of operating a new fleet makes the difference gets even greater.

Oh, and if all those DCI contracts guaranteed profits, why is PCL bankrupt, SKYW breaking even, and wholly owned Comair collapsing?:rolleyes:

You misunderstood what I said.

My metric is pilot rate ie: lets say $125/hr divided by the passengers (76)= x

747-400 is $380ish/hr divided by 400 passengers = y

I dont see a 60% disparity

Timbo 04-08-2012 01:26 PM

Too bad we don't have some type of a big National Union with some stones and political clout, that would set a pay floor, or some type of system wide, minimum pay and benefit scale, that would prohibit the whipsawing we've been watching since ALPA signed it's first B scale contract, back in 1985.

Instead we had to wait for the FAA to set the floor for anyone flying passengers in a Part 121, scheduled Airline type operation, as having to hold an ATP.

What a concept.

Where was ALPA in demanding this, many years ago, when the first RJ's started showing up? But today, all they have to do is piggy back onto this new Reg. and say; "We fully support the new 1500hr. ATP rule, and to that end, since you are going to have to be hiring a more experienced, higher rated pilot, who has invested more time and money into his own training, we will now enact a "Minimum Pay Scale" for all ATP Pilots, starting with the 50 seat RJ's, and that minimum rate will be $100/hr. (or something greater) for first year Capts. and $70/hr. for first year F/O's, and go up from there, for every year of greater experience these pilots will have to offer."

Where's all my ALPA PAC money going anyway??

Timbo 04-08-2012 01:41 PM


Originally Posted by scambo1 (Post 1166082)
You misunderstood what I said.

My metric is pilot rate ie: lets say $125/hr divided by the passengers (76)= x

747-400 is $380ish/hr divided by 400 passengers = y

I dont see a 60% disparity


I'll do the math for you Scambo:

First, I'll solve for X, so that's $125/76= $1.644 per pax.
For Y we have, $380/400= $.95 per pax.

So from the above, X over Y, 1.644/.95= it's 1.73 times MORE EXPESIVE to fly them on the 76 seat RJ...or if you like it expressed the other way round, .95/1.644= 57.78% cheaper to fly them on the 747.

scambo1 04-08-2012 01:43 PM


Originally Posted by Timbo (Post 1166085)
Too bad we don't have some type of a big National Union with some stones and political clout, that would set a pay floor, or some type of system wide, minimum pay and benfit scale, that would prohibit the whipsawing we've been watching since the B scale came to ALPA, back in 1985...

Instead we had to wait for the FAA to set the floor for anyone flying passengers in a Part 121, scheduled Airline type operation, as having to hold an ATP.

What a concept.

Where was ALPA in demanding this, many years ago, when the first RJ's started showing up? But today, all they have to do is piggy back onto this new Reg. and say; "We fully support the new 1500hr. ATP rule, and to that end, since you are going to have to be hiring a more experienced, higher rated pilot, who has invested more time and money into his own training, we will now enact a "Minimum Pay Scale" for all ATP Pilots, starting with the 50 seat RJ's, and that minimum rate will be $100/hr. (or something greater) for first year Capts. and $67hr. for first year F/O's, and go up from there, for every year of greater experience these pilots will have to offer."

Where's all my ALPA PAC money going anyway??

Lasers, #1 priority crewpass, FFDO, etc.

alfaromeo 04-08-2012 01:49 PM


Originally Posted by Wasatch Phantom (Post 1166002)
Alfa,

You take other forum members to task for lack of research. Better look in the mirror buddy...

Here's the thing. I just spent maybe 10 minutes looking only at Captain pay for 76 seat jets. That's the CRJ-900 and E-190.

You claim that industry average 76 seat Captain pay is $64.60 per hour.

I want to see your "research".

I don't believe there are any CRJ-900 Captains with one or two years of longevity at any what I'll call "Respectable Regionals".

SkyWest: Year 2 (not likely): $66/hour Year 20: $112/hour

ASA: Year 2 (not likely): $65/hour Year 18: $107/hour

Jet Blue: Year 2 (not likely): $126/hour Year 12: $143/hour

Pinnacle/Mesaba: Year 2 (not likely): $67/hour Year 20: $106/hour

Mesa: Year 2 (not likely): $63/hour Year 20: $104/hour

Quick averages shows year two Captain pay at $77.40 and top scale at $114.40.

While you and I differ on the merits of the DALPA/DPA debate, I certainly hope that ALPA's "best and brightest" E&FA specialists are more accurate than your numbers or we are doomed.

We have no E-190's operated at any DCI carrier and our contract would not allow that to happen. Putting that rate into the equation is not a valid comparison. The question was asked specifically about operating DCI jets at mainline and my answer was correct. For the record my comparison used Comair, Skywest, ASA, Compass, and Pinnacle (new combined contract). I didn't use Republic/Chautauqua because I had bad data at the time (it was too low), but if you add them in there is no appreciable difference.

Secondly, I did not make any mention of comparing seat counts, revenue available, or any of these other metrics because that is not the question that was asked. If you want to do that analysis then you are going to a whole other range of analysis and that is one that would take months.

As I said in my original post, it is impossible to even lay out simple facts without it devolving into some assumptions about what direction the pilot group should take. The facts are that without changes to our contract (concessions) the crew costs of operating a CRJ-900 at mainline are much higher than at DCI. Add in your idea of what pay/benefits increases are coming in this contract and the comparison just gets more difficult.

Now for additional head work, look at the an airline that is hiring 600-700 pilots per year. Pick a fleet size of CRJ-900's, your pick, and count up how many pilots are there assuming a crew complement of 4.5 crews per jet. Then figure out the career progression of a new hire as he has the choices of fleet and seat that exist at Delta today. What is the chance that a 12 year pilot would choose a CRJ Captain job over narrow body captain or even A-330/747/777/767-400 F/O? Now just start backing up that career path, not at our current airline, but at the airline that is cycling through 600-700 pilots per year. A pilot will be halfway up the seniority list at 10 years, assuming Delta doesn't grow.

The pilot group can decide which way they go, I make no assertion on what that direction should be. If you want to have a discussion based on facts then at least get the facts right. The first assertion was that we haven't done analysis, it was stated as fact. When the analysis is shown, then now we are even worse because the facts don't match your preconceived notions. Seriously, it's hard to please you guys.

shiznit 04-08-2012 02:08 PM


Originally Posted by SailorJerry (Post 1165574)
There's already precedence set for where pilots from DCI carriers go. This is outlined by the flow through agreements that were at one time in force between Delta and Mesaba and Compass. Mainline shouldn't tolerate seniority hopscotch by RJ folks. That being said they should all be offered a no displacement fence on their current equipment with bidding rights to our equipment.

There is that precedence from CAL/COEX also


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