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Originally Posted by kingairfun
(Post 1596211)
T
From what I hear, HA really dropped the ball a few years ago and allowed Alaska to run the show on outer island routes... Hope we can reverse this before Alaska is entrenched. |
Originally Posted by bored
(Post 1596623)
I agree, I think we need some kind of west coast base, mostly for reserve coverage and to keep the operation running smoothly. This is after all, Hawaiian Airlines. It only makes sense to have its principle base of operation in Hawaii, since that's where all our flights are concentrated.
There's a difference between giving up on something and not pursuing it because it doesn't make financial sense. Our planes are simply too big to do what AS is doing. When our NEOs arrive, we can properly join the party. Until then, we build the trans-pac wide body network, lower unit costs and get into the financial position to operate the neighbor island flights at a profit, not a loss. We can't shoulda coulda woulda and must compare apples to apples. AS is a 5B company because they're a well run company have loyal customer base, low unit costs and are more than twice our size. We have all those things, but are on a much smaller scale. This is the healthiest HAL is been in its existence and as our first phase of HALs transformation comes to an end, our financials will only improve, in preparation for the next phase. We could have had A330 or 767 service from LA to Big Island, Maui or Kauai long ago... United even covers a lot of routs from SF/LA to neighbor islands now.. Bases on the west coast would make those efficient turns unless we want to open bases on the neighbor islands.. Alaska after all is called Alaska but has it's principal base of ops in Seattle. |
Making money is good for obvious reasons.... What worries me, and others junior like me, is shareholders make money whether there are 617 pilots or 500 pilots.....
I want the company to be profitable. That is given... What I don't want is HA to figure that it is more profitable doing X amount of routes with X amount of airplanes.. X being something less than it is today... Don't get me wrong, still happy as poop working here. Love my job, but been through several companies (6) over the last 13 years. It always seems to start the same.. "Nobody worry, just an adjustment...." Next thing ya know, all hell breaks loose. At any other airline losing 2 routes is hardly noticed.. Here it's a good chunk of our wide body route system. No sky falling, but still keeping a keen eye on it.. I guess it is good HA stock still jumped 7% last I checked this morning. Big firm upgraded their rating from hold to buy... So someone still is seeing good things even though it has been a crappy week of memo's (vacancy bid, FUK, TPE, KOA-HND loss) |
CATIII, Bored, KAF, great posts, great debate and opinion. I enjoyed reading it and it keeps me abreast along of what Im reading in financials of HAL. As an outsider looking in since 2008, I welcome all of your posts in regards to the "shuffling of the deck chairs". I only hope that I can get my rear on the bottom of that list next requisition. Keep the info rolling, I love to follow the Pualani and all of the developments. Cheers
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The shareholders should be happy with the stock price right now. It has climbed substantially in the last few months.
They might not care about the number of pilots, but future growth, earnings, and profitability have a substantial impact on how the stock is viewed. |
Originally Posted by bored
(Post 1596966)
Exactly and if we're successful, we're moving down the right path, making money and likely growing. If we're growing and evolving, we're hiring pilots and get to continue to ride this wave. If Wall Street and the investors are happy with the trajectory, our mgmt is executing the plan as advertised. As employees we have to have a little bit of trust in our leadership and how the investors perceive the business.
I interviewed in mid 2012 and was told they were hiring 100 a year for the foreseeable future.. inside of one year that story change to "more hiring in 2017" ... In the end, the orders mean nothing until they're sitting on the ramp with Pualani on the tail.... as it stands, we're giving back in 767's what we are getting in A330s.. for a net growth of 0... that's where we stand NOW. While I want HAL to make money and grow, profit and survive into the 22nd century.. I also need my career to fare well in the exchange. |
Glad you brought up negotiations..... Even with a wave of negative news stories, the one thing that is difficult to hide ( unfortunately not impossible) is profitability.... Some of us can be skeptical at the moment, due mostly to past experience. However, as long as the company remains profitable and Wall Street likes us, it'll be hard for anyone to keep us down in negotiations.
Little bit worried but definitely unified;) |
Originally Posted by Slats
(Post 1595285)
Hopefully, by then you can put together an intelligent, well written sentence.
Hopefully my 2,000hrs+ of heavy jet PIC would provide some competitive edge if and when HAL ever opens up their application window (USAF time) but I won't hold my breath. But, I continue the dream. Thanks to those that have provided some real company hiring i sight. |
Originally Posted by Macdacpilot
(Post 1597898)
Hopefully my 2,000hrs+ of heavy jet PIC would provide some competitive edge if and when HAL ever opens up their application window (USAF time) but I won't hold my breath. But, I continue the dream.
But I do sincerely wish you well when you apply because I for one think Hawaiian needs your kind of experience more than most airlines, as we hire straight into a 330 that crosses the biggest ocean in the world as an IRO. |
Originally Posted by CATIII
(Post 1597964)
Sadly at Hawaiian I have observed experience means very little and who you know is 95% of what gets you interviewed and in most cases hired save the occasional logical moments.. And military pilots are grossly under represented in the recently classes.
But I do sincerely wish you well when you apply because I for one think Hawaiian needs your kind of experience more than most airlines, as we hire straight into a 330 that crosses the biggest ocean in the world as an IRO. If you are at HAL I would love to be able to send you my resume for consideration and push if you are willing to take a look at it. |
Originally Posted by Macdacpilot
(Post 1598763)
Thanks. I have crossed the Pacific numerous times in the KC10 and I continue to instruct students on how to do it correctly.
If you are at HAL I would love to be able to send you my resume for consideration and push if you are willing to take a look at it. |
Is there any benefit to the company for a west coast base besides covering outstation sick/timeouts? If not, it's probably still worth it if done right, right? How about a SFO/OAK common base? Maybe that would make the most sense. Hey, you could even throw in SJC and SMF with longer callouts. Out of SFO and OAK you could easily deadhead crews on UAL or SWA anywhere. For pilots, it's better than LA because of public transportation and traffic. What about the possibility of being cross-trained/utilized on A330 and A321 simultaneously? Am I way off here? :)
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Originally Posted by PurpleCRJ
(Post 1610125)
Is there any benefit to the company for a west coast base besides covering outstation sick/timeouts? If not, it's probably still worth it if done right, right? How about a SFO/OAK common base? Maybe that would make the most sense. Hey, you could even throw in SJC and SMF with longer callouts. Out of SFO and OAK you could easily deadhead crews on UAL or SWA anywhere. For pilots, it's better than LA because of public transportation and traffic. What about the possibility of being cross-trained/utilized on A330 and A321 simultaneously? Am I way off here? :)
In the end, if/when it is the companies interest to open one, I'm sure the union would engage the issue, but until then it's just rumor.. I came here expecting no west coast base in the short term, this way ™ expectations are realistic. Truth also be told, if one were to open it would likely go quite senior and I wouldn't be able to hold it anyway... Much less any new hires. |
Yea, good call. Gotta assume HNL base for the whole career.
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and also good call that the next point in time to take a good look at it would be if/when the 321's come.
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West Coast base is atleast a blip on the radar. I know there has been some feasiability reports done on it.. If it goes any farther than analysis I'd be very suprised short term..perosnal opinion
Another issue with the Neo's is what kind of trips they will be flying.. Will it be 2 day trips out of HNL.. Or 3 day trips out of HNL where even the most senior will have to give up days off for a line.... (or we vote in better daily rigs in a few years) Not sure how a West Coast base would change anything. But maybe with the new 117, West Coast basing would allow easier 2 day trip pairings or turns?? And with 16+ a/c going back and forth, maybe a west Coast base would aid in hiccup recovery?? Either way the Neo's can't get here soon enough.. Giving AK a decade head start was a poor move IMO.. |
West Coast base may help in some cases. Duty days starting between 0700-1200 allow the longest duty time.
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Originally Posted by kingairfun
(Post 1610518)
(or we vote in better daily rigs in a few years)
This! Giving AK a decade head start was a poor move IMO.. |
Any news over at the Pualani? Been quiet on here...
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Originally Posted by junglejet527
(Post 1632662)
Any news over at the Pualani? Been quiet on here...
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NO BUENO! Sucks guess gonna just have to keep waiting! Thanks for the heads up CATIII
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Just heard that a new vacancy bid should be coming out in August…hopefully some more hiring...
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Originally Posted by bruddahgoose
(Post 1635737)
Just heard that a new vacancy bid should be coming out in August…hopefully some more hiring...
Also, in the month of April, on the 767, I would have easily broke guarantee if not for a few schedule adjustments by myself...plus I must have gotten called 4 times during the month for over 75... Did one.... Walls street liked our 1Qt numbers..... And have high hopes for the year.... Even with the changes recently it seems it's still business as planned.... |
Last month's Alpa "Strategic plan overview" say that we'll be adding 1-2 airframes per year for the next 5 years, leading to 50 new hires per year. When our contract becomes amendable in 2015 we should have close to 700 pilots on the seniority list.
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Originally Posted by bruddahgoose
(Post 1635960)
Last month's Alpa "Strategic plan overview" say that we'll be adding 1-2 airframes per year for the next 5 years, leading to 50 new hires per year. When our contract becomes amendable in 2015 we should have close to 700 pilots on the seniority list.
If that plan does hold, that'll be roughly 80 more by next summer.. For those, like me, mathematically challenged!!!:D My only realistic plan is to either be a very junior NEO CPT or a senior 330 FO.. IMO both have their pluses for me personally. And if either works out in the 2017-2020 timeframe I will have considered my first 5-8 years here a success. |
IMHO, I'd suggest guys think in terms of an average of 6 upgrades and 12 new hires per added airframe. (The actual number is of course determined by the number of block hours, segments, and unproductive layover days required by the schedule.) So if you're thinking about upgrade take the number of guys above you to the bottom captain, currently about 340, then subtract retirements, and divide by 6....that's the number of airframes required. Then guess at how many years to get that many airframes as a net increase. The company has said all along that the 330 deliveries give them flexibility....they can retain the 76s and increase flying, or return 76s and slow the growth to match demand or economic conditions. This is exactly what they've done.
If we add one airframe net per year for the next 3 years that would likely require 18 new captains, and allowing for 24 retirements that would be 42 new captain slots. 12 new hires plus 24 retirements equals 36 new hires. This is a reasonable guestimate for the next three years baring any major marketing change or other driver....that's anyone's guess. Our success, (or a lack thereof), in China may be a wild card, but only time will tell. A321 deliveries start late 2016 or early 2017 at maybe 4-5 year will speed things up, but if you're number 500 for example, you're probably realistically going to need all of the 321 deliveries to make captain. And lastly, let's hope that there isn't an acquisition or merger. All bets are off at that point. |
Well explained captainF.... Seeing how were now up to sen 620 or so, that basically means any newhires can plan to be FOs for upwards of two decades unless we keep most of not all out 767s.
In this industry timing is everything and the guys who got hired in 2009,2010 timed it well, the 2011 and 2012 guys less so, especially 2012... Minimum 10 years to the bottom of the 717 list. There are literally dozens of under 40 year old captains now, and retirement are about half or less that of the other Legacies. Truth be told, your last statement may be valid for the younger senior guys on our list, but if you're an older guy hired after 2011, a combined seniority list with American or Delta will mean a much faster upgrade due to massive retirements at those carriers. |
HAL is my focus, always has been. Ive interviewed twice, last in August of 2012. I received the "we are still interested letter" and still have not received a "Thanks but the requisition you have interviewed under has been filled" letter.
Am I still in the running?? HAL never sent out the "Req closed" letters as rumored this past Decemeber. Please tell me I've still got a chance! Im in my early 40's, 11 years at the regionals, I dont care about the upgrade at HAL, I just want to be a part of it..... Thank you in advance for the replies!! |
Good thoughts by everyone... But what everyone needs to realize is things could change in a month or year.... We could announce another big growth spurt, or the opposite..
To predict a new hire is gonna be an FO for 2 decades is a little shortsighted... Especially for a compnay with only 600 pilots to begin with... Ask any of those furloughed guys if they ever thought they would be a widebody captain just a couple years after returning from furlough. I've got friends pushing 7 years at Delta, and even longer at SWA and United....all still FO's, the Delta guy is still on the 88 maybe could hold 320 depending on base, looking at maybe a 10 yr upgrade into a 717 in maybe DTW... All about perspective..... |
Originally Posted by bruddahgoose
(Post 1635960)
Last month's Alpa "Strategic plan overview" say that we'll be adding 1-2 airframes per year for the next 5 years, leading to 50 new hires per year. When our contract becomes amendable in 2015 we should have close to 700 pilots on the seniority list.
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Originally Posted by kingairfun
(Post 1636283)
Good thoughts by everyone... But what everyone needs to realize is things could change in a month or year.... We could announce another big growth spurt, or the opposite..
To predict a new hire is gonna be an FO for 2 decades is a little shortsighted... Especially for a compnay with only 600 pilots to begin with... Ask any of those furloughed guys if they ever thought they would be a widebody captain just a couple years after returning from furlough. I've got friends pushing 7 years at Delta, and even longer at SWA and United....all still FO's, the Delta guy is still on the 88 maybe could hold 320 depending on base, looking at maybe a 10 yr upgrade into a 717 in maybe DTW... All about perspective..... Just keeping it real... the company is far bigger now than it's ever been. To expect it to grow again at the rate it did from 2008-2012 is very optimistic to say the least.... its' like expecting the real estate market to boom again like it did in the early 2000's again now. We've already pulled out of several routes that were part of that aggressive growth plan (Manilla, Taipei, Fukuoka, and scaled back JFK)... we're now doing 2 days trips to PDX and SFO, used to be 3 day... I can go on, but you get the idea. The junior captain at DAL is basically the junior captain at HAL.. most of our junior CA's were hired around '99 or 2000, as with DAL... the handful of CA's we have hired in 2008 are as a result of 0-hiring at HAL between 2000-2008... DAL on the other hand has been hiring on and off since 2003. Again, just keeping it real... we get enough Koolaid from our management, lets give the guys considering leaving 10 year careers for HAL the whole picture so they can make an informed choice. |
Originally Posted by Macdacpilot
(Post 1636323)
That's exciting news. Do you think anyone has a chance to get on with HAL if you're from the Mainland and currently have no letter of recommendation on file?
I'd say the internal is far more important than where you live from what I've seen of the latest hires, many of whom commute. |
Let's not forget contractual improvements in 2015 may increase pilot staffing levels. Hopefully the negotiating committee will focus more on improving our work rules and less on pay/retirement.
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Question for the HAL folks. Where do most commuters commute to? If given the opportunity to get on at HAL I would most likely want to move to HNL(to realize my dream of not commuting) but I've been doing research on COL and of course as you all know already that's an incredible eye opener. I currently live in South Florida to give you perspective. Thanks in advance gents.
-2263 |
Originally Posted by sidestep
(Post 1636505)
Let's not forget contractual improvements in 2015 may increase pilot staffing levels. Hopefully the negotiating committee will focus more on improving our work rules and less on pay/retirement.
Let Doug know this is important, or he'll just hear from the 90/hr month guys and think all we want is an hourly pay raise. As to whether HAL offers a great career at this stage in the game or not, I'll leave history to be written by events. I for one have learned that the most dangerous thing a pilot can do is drink the Koolaid, but that's just me. Count your chicks before they hatch, etc.. Anyone wanting to work here needs to just do their own research. The question isn't weather this is a good place to work, as it most undoubtedly is... the question is whether it's too late to ride the growth here. On that note, I'm done here. |
Anyone in the know: can you help me with post #1014? Cheers!
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Yeah Bro, why you gotta be like that. HA will always be among the best. Im gonna do my best to get on here in the next couple o years when everyone is in a free for all. I hear guys sayin it might be interesting for all the airlines trying to hire talent. Maybe HA with the cost of living problems that was mentioned earlier and the growth coming up might make it more interesting. I don't care tho, I'm gonna make it my no. 1 goal.
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Originally Posted by silver fleet
(Post 1636892)
Anyone in the know: can you help me with post #1014? Cheers!
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Thank you Sidestep, your insight is much appreciated!
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"Truth be told, your last statement may be valid for the younger senior guys on our list, but if you're an older guy hired after 2011, a combined seniority list with American or Delta will mean a much faster upgrade due to massive retirements at those carriers. "
Cat 3, I'm afraid I'd have to question this thought, not because I don't respect you professionally, but because I've lived through some of this before. All bets are off, and pure greed takes over, following any seniority list integration. Lawsuits continue for years afterwords, and nobody is happy. Assets get moved around, contracts countermanded and controverted, arbitrators obligated one way or the other....no one can ever really predict the outcome EXCEPT most people will be unhappy! The BEST POSSIBLE outcome for those on the HA seniority list is to remain strong, independent, and profitable! |
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