DTW Roadshow
#51
#52
So, the 150 50 seaters won't be replaced? Their routes will be immediately dropped? I'd think the 70 seaters would cover most of them, and 76 seaters would cover for current 70 seat routes. What about the 717s? Where will they fly? 21 DC9s will go away, but after that I would think they would cover 76 seat routes, searching for more profits. You seem to forget about where the 717s would be deployed to.
331 50 seat jets in current operation at DCI
102 70 seat jets
153 76 seat jets
70 76 seat jets proposed to be allowed
125 50 seat jets doing what they have already been doing
206 50 seat jets to be parked 5-8 years EARLY (What will replace these routes/block hours?)
To replace the parked lift:
All 102 70 Seat jets + 50 of the 76 seat jets (being conservative, reduced freq., etc.)
The previously 70 seat jet routes (flown by the 102 airframes) are now uncovered.
Take 102 of the remaining 76 seat jets to backfill the old routes the 70's filled.
That leaves 1 remaining 76 seat jet to fly 153 jets' worth of flying.
The company is allowed to backfill 70 of those "old 76 seat jet" routes with the TA change.
They now have 71 jets to fly what used to be done by the original 153.
153-71= 82 jets worth of flying that will not be flown at DCI.
What will backfill 82 jets worth of flying that Delta still needs to operate, but cannot operate at DCI?It increases to 82+54=136 jets of flying if DAL decides to backfill ALL of the old 50 seat routes (which I seriously doubt they would).
So how is this a bottom end scope concession?
#53
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 2,539
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Anybody's schedule is up for viewing.
#54
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 2,539
Likes: 0
But let's run with that assumption for a moment. If the cut throat, back stabbing contracts of SKYW or Pinnacle for a given airframe are too low for them to operate it profitably, and we further (incorrectly) assume that means the aircraft just can't be flown at at that cost anywhere, then we admit that is the absolute ceiling corresponding with the revenue potential for those airframes in the first place. We are therefore admitting those airframes aren't viabile in the first place, even at some of the lowest sell your mother down the river for a buck cost structures. If that's the case, Delta doesn't really need them in the first place now, do we?
Delta controls the revenue of those aircraft. The DCI carrier contracts have no revenue clauses, only cost clauses. The DCI's do not market or sell Delta code. Delta does that. The DCI's are paid through cost reimbursements, cost margins, and performance margins. Revenue has nothing to do with how the DCI's make money. They're paid on cost and performance.
In the analysis done for the MEC, additional revenue was added back into the equation and all the DCI margins were stripped out. We still couldn't make it work.
Capisce?
#55
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 302
Likes: 0
I'm voting NO. My question is this: why is early retirement of the 50 seaters tied in to a TA? It's because management wants you to think it makes a difference. It doesn't. Those things are going away regardless. I guess their spin is that need relief on the 76 seater cap to replace those 50 seaters with more, bigger, RJ's. So they are spinning it as a net reduction in RJ's, but more mainline-replacement type aircraft are coming.
Why our pilot group is buying this is beyond me. I don't even know why ALPA is selling it.
Why our pilot group is buying this is beyond me. I don't even know why ALPA is selling it.
#56
From the Council 20 reps:
Unfortunately, the short notice of the road shows combined with pre-existing family and flying commitments will not allow your Council 20 representatives to be at the road show this Friday. Since we will not be there, it will be up to you to pay attention and ask the hard questions. Don’t let us down!
Carl got this email along with the rest of council 20. I will leave it to you to decide why Carl is trying to deceive you.
Unfortunately, the short notice of the road shows combined with pre-existing family and flying commitments will not allow your Council 20 representatives to be at the road show this Friday. Since we will not be there, it will be up to you to pay attention and ask the hard questions. Don’t let us down!
Carl got this email along with the rest of council 20. I will leave it to you to decide why Carl is trying to deceive you.
We have 3 reps in DTW. All 3 "couldn't" be there. I know what happened and so do you alfaromeo. I probably would have done the same thing when asked by the MEC to NOT be there. I would have probably thought the MEC would just use our presence as an excuse as to why things went so badly...especially since the MEC bureaucrats openly refer to council 20 as an arm of the DPA. You're the one trying to deceive...as is your job on the MEC.
Carl
#57
Carl
#58
Carl
#59
Try to follow me on this:
331 50 seat jets in current operation at DCI
102 70 seat jets
153 76 seat jets
70 76 seat jets proposed to be allowed
125 50 seat jets doing what they have already been doing
206 50 seat jets to be parked 5-8 years EARLY (What will replace these routes/block hours?)
To replace the parked lift:
All 102 70 Seat jets + 50 of the 76 seat jets (being conservative, reduced freq., etc.)
The previously 70 seat jet routes (flown by the 102 airframes) are now uncovered.
Take 102 of the remaining 76 seat jets to backfill the old routes the 70's filled.
That leaves 1 remaining 76 seat jet to fly 153 jets' worth of flying.
The company is allowed to backfill 70 of those "old 76 seat jet" routes with the TA change.
They now have 71 jets to fly what used to be done by the original 153.
153-71= 82 jets worth of flying that will not be flown at DCI.
What will backfill 82 jets worth of flying that Delta still needs to operate, but cannot operate at DCI?It increases to 82+54=136 jets of flying if DAL decides to backfill ALL of the old 50 seat routes (which I seriously doubt they would).
So how is this a bottom end scope concession?
331 50 seat jets in current operation at DCI
102 70 seat jets
153 76 seat jets
70 76 seat jets proposed to be allowed
125 50 seat jets doing what they have already been doing
206 50 seat jets to be parked 5-8 years EARLY (What will replace these routes/block hours?)
To replace the parked lift:
All 102 70 Seat jets + 50 of the 76 seat jets (being conservative, reduced freq., etc.)
The previously 70 seat jet routes (flown by the 102 airframes) are now uncovered.
Take 102 of the remaining 76 seat jets to backfill the old routes the 70's filled.
That leaves 1 remaining 76 seat jet to fly 153 jets' worth of flying.
The company is allowed to backfill 70 of those "old 76 seat jet" routes with the TA change.
They now have 71 jets to fly what used to be done by the original 153.
153-71= 82 jets worth of flying that will not be flown at DCI.
What will backfill 82 jets worth of flying that Delta still needs to operate, but cannot operate at DCI?It increases to 82+54=136 jets of flying if DAL decides to backfill ALL of the old 50 seat routes (which I seriously doubt they would).
So how is this a bottom end scope concession?
#60
I'm voting NO. My question is this: why is early retirement of the 50 seaters tied in to a TA? It's because management wants you to think it makes a difference. It doesn't. Those things are going away regardless. I guess their spin is that need relief on the 76 seater cap to replace those 50 seaters with more, bigger, RJ's. So they are spinning it as a net reduction in RJ's, but more mainline-replacement type aircraft are coming.
Why our pilot group is buying this is beyond me. I don't even know why ALPA is selling it.
Why our pilot group is buying this is beyond me. I don't even know why ALPA is selling it.
If you owned/ran a DCI would you allow DAL to shrink/eliminate your company even though they had a contract but felt like abrogating it 5-8 years early?
All this does is placate the DCI operators in order to get them to become smaller but remain slightly profitable so they will agree to modify the terms of their agreements.
By the time the end of 2015 hits there will still be 553 jets under contract for DAL. This agreement will make the DCI fleet number 103 LESS at the 2015 point versus if we do NOTHING. I'll take 450 instead of 553(with the ability to increase that number) any day of the week.
(BTW, DCI won't shrink to 450 by parking the 50 seat jets until sometime in late 2018/early 2019.)
This TA restricts DCI flying, what says DALPA won't seek to restrict that flying AGAIN (in less than 3 years with this TA)?
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