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RJET down by -50% today?

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Old 07-29-2015 | 11:24 AM
  #201  
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Indy is absolutely loaded with lifers. And each one has an excuse as to why they've stayed put for so long. Kind of sad hearing them all trying to explain it away. Rah was never meant to be a lifer airline.
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Old 07-29-2015 | 12:45 PM
  #202  
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Originally Posted by 404yxl
The experiment at PSA hasn't worked as planned and they have already slowed down. If you didn't go to PSA already, you missed the boat. Sure, go for street captain if you have the time, but you will be junior for a long time. Their woes are just beginning. Compass is starting to experience it now.

Now the 50 jet replacement that Republic has tried to replace the Envoy pilots is failing. They only staffed the Envoy flying by parking other airplanes.

You can be successful in this environment with the initial replacement wave, but once you get past the initial seniority bump, the staffing issues will go the other way.

This isn't pre-2013 ATP minimum replacement anymore. Republic failed to adapt and this is the result.
So many people said the same thing back in December. "you're too late" they claimed. People forget PSA is only 1/2 the size it is about to become in the next two years. There's 70 more airplanes coming.
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Old 07-29-2015 | 12:57 PM
  #203  
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Originally Posted by iFlyRC
As pilots, it doesn't matter if you vote yes or no. The laws of economics, supply and demand will always play out and never need any help from us.
I don't think Rjet is going anywhere, and I highly doubt a mainline would acquire any more regionals unless they wanted a place to dump money into to show a loss for financial reasons. Y'all just sit back, relax, and have some popcorn.
Think long term. RAH will shutdown or substantially shrink. Simple math tells the story. No regional airline is immune, RAH will simply be one of the first because they are not wholly owned. There is going to be a pecking order.
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Old 07-29-2015 | 01:07 PM
  #204  
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Originally Posted by ChipChelios
Sale makes no sense! Who would want to buy a contractor with unprofitable contracts and a fed-up work force?
Good point about a ****ed off workforce. I can't see mainline wanting to waste money on appeasing a ****ed off pilot group. It will only get much worse when bankruptcy happens. Cheaper to just wait it out, and get the assets at the fire sale. Most of the pilots will have no problem going elsewhere.
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Old 07-29-2015 | 01:13 PM
  #205  
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Originally Posted by TillerEnvy
Indy is absolutely loaded with lifers. And each one has an excuse as to why they've stayed put for so long. Kind of sad hearing them all trying to explain it away. Rah was never meant to be a lifer airline.
IND is the center of the universe to them. I wonder what percentage of yes votes came from IND. If the NMB ever releases the pilots, it's going to get very nasty.
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Old 07-29-2015 | 05:46 PM
  #206  
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I suspect that there will be a pre-packaged bankruptcy, United will be debtor in possession, Delta will just walk away from their lift (ASA and Endeavor will make up the difference), and American will figure out a way to move the planes to Envoy, assuming United doesn't decide to keep ALL the 170/175s, since they are in desperate need of some narrow body/large regional lift (they don't have the 717s that Delta got). It might work out just peachy for the the United side of things, but I suspect the other sides are screwed.

That prognostication/prediction/prophecy is worth what you just paid for it.
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Old 07-29-2015 | 06:01 PM
  #207  
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Originally Posted by Beast
I suspect that there will be a pre-packaged bankruptcy, United will be debtor in possession, Delta will just walk away from their lift (ASA and Endeavor will make up the difference), and American will figure out a way to move the planes to Envoy, assuming United doesn't decide to keep ALL the 170/175s, since they are in desperate need of some narrow body/large regional lift (they don't have the 717s that Delta got). It might work out just peachy for the the United side of things, but I suspect the other sides are screwed.

That prognostication/prediction/prophecy is worth what you just paid for it.
I'm not so sure about that. American has the largest exposure and would make more sense for to be our DIP.

DL has 66 planes (granted some are E145)
AA has 104 planes (all 170/175)
UA has 84 planes (all 170 and assuming Q400 fleet to zero)
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Old 07-29-2015 | 06:11 PM
  #208  
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RAH will be forced to eliminate one of their partners flying altogether. As they continue to shrink, it will be more sensible to serve two of their partners well instead of 3 of their partners badly.

For those saying a sale, just who can do a better job than rah themselves? How would a new owner run rah differently of any real significance?

There is really no good options here, nature is simply taking its course.
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Old 07-29-2015 | 06:31 PM
  #209  
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Originally Posted by GoHomeLeg
Integrate current 121 by hire dates at their first airline that they worked for.

When joining the "121 world" you will be added to the list by the date you start new hire class. In order to stay on the list you can't be off a 121 payroll for more than (blank) number of months or years.

You want to make a life flying non 121? Go for it. You'll risk giving up seniority.

If you want to maintain your relative senori at your current airline then don't switch companies.

If a pilot has not changed companies then they will not lose their relative senority by having a pilot that is changing pushing them downward. This will make the national senority list useless at first but allow upcoming generations to benefit. Boiled down this means that pilots that do not switch companies from where they were before the list will be protected. Pilots that join a company after the list is formed will be fair game to be pushed downward.

Thoughts?
Interesting ideas.

What about all the scum bag airlines out there? Wouldn't they just hire the least experienced pilots so they don't have to pay as much in pilot labor costs?
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Old 07-29-2015 | 06:51 PM
  #210  
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Originally Posted by fisherman
What about all the scum bag airlines out there? Wouldn't they just hire the least experienced pilots so they don't have to pay as much in pilot labor costs?

Absolutely they would.
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