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Old 09-25-2015 | 08:53 AM
  #13991  
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Originally Posted by Green Giant
Stock prices go up and down. Once fuel prices go up and the legacy carriers start to hurt, then Spirit's stock price will once again surge.

Buy low sell high!
I know what opinions are like.... but I'd say in general a rapidly rising fuel price will hurt Spirit (or any other LCC) harder than a major.

When fuel is low, labor is more of a factor in expense. When fuel is high, labor is a smaller factor in expense.

Throw in the ability to hedge with the larger companies (which lately hasn't helped squat), and you have kind of an ability to provide "fuel price insurance".

Of course a rapidly rising fuel price usually puts the brakes on the economy as well, so it doesn't help anyone, but in general I think the LCC's are more affected.
JMHO
As far as why NK's stock has sunk now..... no idea.
Old 09-25-2015 | 09:31 AM
  #13992  
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Originally Posted by full of luv

Of course a rapidly rising fuel price usually puts the brakes on the economy as well, so it doesn't help anyone, but in general I think the LCC's are more affected.
It seems that (historically) recessions affect LCCs (and discount-based businesses) somewhat less than others. This is because many times said discount-based businesses become all people can afford during said recession.
Old 09-25-2015 | 11:04 AM
  #13993  
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Originally Posted by full of luv
I know what opinions are like.... but I'd say in general a rapidly rising fuel price will hurt Spirit (or any other LCC) harder than a major.

When fuel is low, labor is more of a factor in expense. When fuel is high, labor is a smaller factor in expense.

Throw in the ability to hedge with the larger companies (which lately hasn't helped squat), and you have kind of an ability to provide "fuel price insurance".

Of course a rapidly rising fuel price usually puts the brakes on the economy as well, so it doesn't help anyone, but in general I think the LCC's are more affected.
JMHO
As far as why NK's stock has sunk now..... no idea.
The rapid rise of 08 put everyone on their laurels. SWA obviously fared better from a lucky hedge (apparently not so lucky this year to the tune of $308 million?). However, when fuel was in the 80-$110 a barrel range from 2010-14 and fairly stable, Spirit grew at a rate of almost 30% (??) a year, while increasing operating margins and profits. I can only think of one other who grew, almost to their demise, and had to stop.

And everyone else, SWA included, pretty much practiced "capacity discipline".

.....Past performance is not indicative of future results.......
Old 09-25-2015 | 01:21 PM
  #13994  
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Originally Posted by full of luv
I know what opinions are like.... but I'd say in general a rapidly rising fuel price will hurt Spirit (or any other LCC) harder than a major.
Spirit Airlines is a Major Airline by definition. True we are what people would call a LCC; however Spirit is a Major Airline. Spirit is not a Legacy Airline but you don't need to be a Legacy to be a Major. Operating Revenue is the determining factor on how the DOT lists the airline.

"The United States Department of Transportation defines a major carrier or major airline carrier as a U.S.-based airline that posts more than $1 billion in revenue during a fiscal year.[1] The term "major carrier" or "major airline" can also refer to traditional legacy carriers, distinguishing them from startup and low-cost carriers."

Last edited by Green Giant; 09-25-2015 at 01:59 PM.
Old 09-25-2015 | 02:24 PM
  #13995  
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Originally Posted by Green Giant
Spirit Airlines is a Major Airline by definition. True we are what people would call a LCC; however Spirit is a Major Airline. Spirit is not a Legacy Airline but you don't need to be a Legacy to be a Major. Operating Revenue is the determining factor on how the DOT lists the airline.

"The United States Department of Transportation defines a major carrier or major airline carrier as a U.S.-based airline that posts more than $1 billion in revenue during a fiscal year.[1] The term "major carrier" or "major airline" can also refer to traditional legacy carriers, distinguishing them from startup and low-cost carriers."
Hawaiian and Alaska are legacies, legacy only refers to airlines that were in business prior to deregulation.

Of course, if it wasn't for bankruptcy restructuring of some of those legacies, they wouldn't be in business either.
Old 09-25-2015 | 02:32 PM
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Looks like we're in it for the long haul. At least the quick upgrade will take some of the sting away from it.
Old 09-25-2015 | 02:33 PM
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Originally Posted by todhog2
Looks like we're in it for the long haul. At least the quick upgrade will take some of the sting away from it.
Yeah, the neg update wasn't good.
Old 09-25-2015 | 02:35 PM
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Yeah, I'm guessing no TA in the forseable future. I was optimistic, still am, but this update didn't sound like there was much hope.
Old 09-25-2015 | 02:37 PM
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And Bendo wants departures and A14 to improve
Old 09-25-2015 | 02:38 PM
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Originally Posted by todhog2
Looks like we're in it for the long haul. At least the quick upgrade will take some of the sting away from it.
Yes, nothing stings about flying 228 passengers for $130/hr.
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