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Old 11-17-2014, 02:31 PM
  #8821  
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Well, if you go by BBB's own words, "We're 1% of the traffic today. If we triple the size of the airline as we plan to do, we'll be 3% of the traffic. You tell me what percent of the traveling public cares about price above all else. I think it's a lot more than 3%. I don't know if it's 50%, 40%, maybe it's 80%. But it's way more than 3%. We have no demand problem when we have the lowest price." -WSJ

Will we grow to be more than 3% of the traffic in the US by the time our next contract is amendable? I certainly think so. Look at Ryanair and how much traffic they've got in Europe.

"RyanAir, EasyJet and other low-cost carriers make up nearly 20 percent of air traffic in Europe. Spirit, Frontier, and Allegiant Air only make up around 4 percent of total air traffic in the U.S., but it's certainly growing." - WSBTV
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Old 11-17-2014, 02:39 PM
  #8822  
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Originally Posted by Lobaeux View Post
Well, if you go by BBB's own words, "We're 1% of the traffic today. If we triple the size of the airline as we plan to do, we'll be 3% of the traffic. You tell me what percent of the traveling public cares about price above all else. I think it's a lot more than 3%. I don't know if it's 50%, 40%, maybe it's 80%. But it's way more than 3%. We have no demand problem when we have the lowest price." -WSJ

Will we grow to be more than 3% of the traffic in the US by the time our next contract is amendable? I certainly think so. Look at Ryanair and how much traffic they've got in Europe.

"RyanAir, EasyJet and other low-cost carriers make up nearly 20 percent of air traffic in Europe. Spirit, Frontier, and Allegiant Air only make up around 4 percent of total air traffic in the U.S., but it's certainly growing." - WSBTV
Ok, then as of today, we missed out on 500% share price appreciation. What's that going to look like in 2020? Also, the same brain-trust that brought you "this place will never IPO" just months before they.... IPO'd, are the people you are counting on now.
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Old 11-17-2014, 02:50 PM
  #8823  
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Originally Posted by Plane Ramrod View Post
Ok, then as of today, we missed out on 500% share price appreciation. What's that going to look like in 2020? Also, the same brain-trust that brought you "this place will never IPO" just months before they.... IPO'd, are the people you are counting on now.
Just my opinion, $SAVE will split and stick around current share price or lower, just on principle, but that's an aside.

The IPO argument, well, the argument against an IPO is damning for those who negotiated the last contract. The simple fact they didn't understand the IPO process says they know little of corporate economics.
I'm not relying on anybody, BUT the pilot group to tell the negotiators what to negotiate. What they bring to the pilot group is what we'll vote on. BUT, no one here is going to fall for the "this is the best we can get argument, better vote for it" again. Especially not in this current economic climate.
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Old 11-17-2014, 04:41 PM
  #8824  
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Originally Posted by JoeyMeatballs View Post
Troll or not, it's going to kind of suck when all of our pals at other majors are getting a big fat profit sharing check and we get nada.
To be fair, you do get conflict bidding / line schedules. Every other major airline has switched to PBS and don't get to score on the month-month transition conflicts and vacation conflicts. That's one big thing you have that others don't.
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Old 11-17-2014, 05:07 PM
  #8825  
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The past three months the guy one number senior to me has bid the line that I bid/needed to get transition conflicts. It's not easy to bid one every month consecutively
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Old 11-18-2014, 04:35 AM
  #8826  
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The MYR runway is worse than it was before. Just saying, be ready...
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Old 11-18-2014, 08:15 AM
  #8827  
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Originally Posted by The Juice View Post
Well, anything can change....but with Spirit posting 21% margins and VA posting margins of 12% And with Spirit posting a CASM of 5.92 cents vs VA 10.98 cents (with the same RASM)....I wouldnt be so quick to assume anything.

Looking at a stock and saying "one only has to add $30 to double and the other needs $76, so the $30 must be easier, isnt accurate."
True, but there is no airline stock at over $100. You can't compare your costs/revenue metrics because the model is entirely different. 178 seats versus 146-149 for a given A320. Different brand and different strategy. Stock pre IPO was 23 and today is almost 40. Don't know why or what's going on for that. I'm kicking myself for selling it at 30.
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Old 11-18-2014, 09:05 AM
  #8828  
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Originally Posted by ShyGuy View Post
True, but there is no airline stock at over $100. You can't compare your costs/revenue metrics because the model is entirely different. 178 seats versus 146-149 for a given A320. Different brand and different strategy. Stock pre IPO was 23 and today is almost 40. Don't know why or what's going on for that. I'm kicking myself for selling it at 30.
Unless you count Allegiant at $135. Market cap is around half of Spirit's though.
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Old 11-18-2014, 10:43 AM
  #8829  
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Originally Posted by ShyGuy View Post
True, but there is no airline stock at over $100. You can't compare your costs/revenue metrics because the model is entirely different. 178 seats versus 146-149 for a given A320. Different brand and different strategy. Stock pre IPO was 23 and today is almost 40. Don't know why or what's going on for that. I'm kicking myself for selling it at 30.
The true value of a stock is its P/E ratio relative to others in its sector and the market in which it trades.
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Old 11-18-2014, 02:13 PM
  #8830  
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Originally Posted by 390SetBlue View Post
The true value of a stock is its P/E ratio relative to others in its sector and the market in which it trades.
^^^^^^^^^^^^^
This, plus some other metrics! Actual stock price is NOT an indication of the worth of a stock AND stock price is not and indication of the performance or value of a company. Plenty of great companies have stocks that are dogs and vice versa.
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