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Old 04-09-2022 | 06:20 AM
  #731  
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Originally Posted by rickair7777
Do they think they can hunker down, stagnate or even shrink a bit, and wait out the pilot shortage? Perhaps hoping/planning for a recession, which is reasonably predicted for next year based on the Fed's interest rate movements. I'm no recession cryer just because it's been seven years, or 17, or whatever, but interest rates do matter.

That's not conventional wisdom in business, normally growth is king on wall street, but do they believe they have a secret sauce for that?

Conventional wisdom says they need to merge because they obviously can't manage the all-important growth fast enough to keep up with the rest of the industry and wall street. Doesn't take an MBA or professional economist to call that, just read the business section for a couple decades.
The problem is the “all Boeing fleet” emphasis. Not enough “all-Boeing fleet’s out there to bother with, excepting WN, which would sort of be like Jonah trying to swallow the whale, even if the DOJ would approve it - assuming the DOJ anti monopoly guys didn’t die laughing just at the suggestion. Besides, buying airlines just to send their immediately disgruntled junior people packing is a costly way to get someone else’s senior people who will slow down seniority progression and send your own junior people packing.

Ultimately, AS must come up with competitive work rules and QOL FOR THEIR JUNIOR PERSONNEL. I’m not sure either the managements or the old bulls on the seniority list realize that because it’s kind of a new thing.
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Old 04-09-2022 | 10:57 AM
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OTZ so are saying if you think something is truly happening on the merger count for AS we see a bid next week or the week after ?
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Old 04-10-2022 | 06:25 AM
  #733  
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Since you're all brainstorming.

Why wouldn't Alaska make a play for Spirit? It gives you a bigger footprint, it seems Spirits executives don't care if they're a part of the surviving company, Alaska brand survives and the cost is relatively cheap. Why spend 8 bill when they can spend 4? Alaska obviously doesn't mind wasting 4 billion at a time. They can get rid of all 175 airbuses and move us all to the beloved PNW. 🤮

​​​Maybe B6 wanting brand survival is why they're making a play for NK versus pursuing a tie up with Alaska? On top of that if the Jblu deal is excepted by Spirit, maybe Alaska can now jump in for less than 4 billion?

All of that said, as an NK guy, I'm still rooting for the F9 deal!
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Old 04-10-2022 | 06:54 AM
  #734  
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Originally Posted by ImperialxRat
They're having trouble hiring and training pilots fast enough, as well as acquiring airplanes as quickly as they would like. They recently announced that they will hire 10% less pilots than planned due to not being able to train them fast enough.
That doesn’t equate to struggling in Hawaii
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Old 04-10-2022 | 06:57 AM
  #735  
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Originally Posted by putzin
Since you're all brainstorming.

Why wouldn't Alaska make a play for Spirit?
200-ish buses to park and ten-ish pilot domiciles to close? That's a tall order but I guess I wouldn't absolutely put it past them

Originally Posted by putzin
It gives you a bigger footprint,
They seem averse to a bigger footprint. Scared even.

Originally Posted by putzin
it seems Spirits executives don't care if they're a part of the surviving company, Alaska brand survives and the cost is relatively cheap.
But is the AS brand even viable outside the PNW/west coast? That would require more than just slapping an eskimo on a couple 100 buses. "Alaska" is just not the first thing that comes to mind when an east-coaster or mid-westerner wants to visit FL in Jan.

Spirit brand is established in it's niche, but that's not the niche the alaska culture really wants to be in.



Originally Posted by putzin
​​​Maybe B6 wanting brand survival is why they're making a play for NK versus pursuing a tie up with Alaska? On top of that if the Jblu deal is excepted by Spirit, maybe Alaska can now jump in for less than 4 billion?
Certainly seems, from the peanut gallery anyway, that both AS and B6 are emotionally vested in brand survival, possibly even to the detriment of good business.

Originally Posted by putzin
All of that said, as an NK guy, I'm still rooting for the F9 deal!
Makes sense.
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Old 04-10-2022 | 07:51 AM
  #736  
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Originally Posted by Hot Dog
That doesn’t equate to struggling in Hawaii
My family and friends that live in Hawaii love flying on Southwest. I don’t think they’re struggling out there any more than any other carrier.
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Old 04-10-2022 | 07:11 PM
  #737  
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Originally Posted by putzin
Since you're all brainstorming.

Why wouldn't Alaska make a play for Spirit? It gives you a bigger footprint, it seems Spirits executives don't care if they're a part of the surviving company, Alaska brand survives and the cost is relatively cheap. Why spend 8 bill when they can spend 4? Alaska obviously doesn't mind wasting 4 billion at a time. They can get rid of all 175 airbuses and move us all to the beloved PNW. 🤮

​​​Maybe B6 wanting brand survival is why they're making a play for NK versus pursuing a tie up with Alaska? On top of that if the Jblu deal is excepted by Spirit, maybe Alaska can now jump in for less than 4 billion?

All of that said, as an NK guy, I'm still rooting for the F9 deal!
Because that's a whole lotta Airbuses to park. And then have to close the pilot bases at LAS, ORD, DTW, DFW, ATL, ACY, FLL, and MCO.
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Old 04-10-2022 | 08:43 PM
  #738  
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Originally Posted by ShyGuy
Because that's a whole lotta Airbuses to park. And then have to close the pilot bases at LAS, ORD, DTW, DFW, ATL, ACY, FLL, and MCO.
He was being sarcastic 🙄
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Old 04-11-2022 | 04:10 PM
  #739  
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Where is OTZ you seem to be quiet on the AS buying B6 or whatever is happening ?
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Old 04-11-2022 | 10:45 PM
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AS can hardly buy gas.
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