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ERflyer 01-22-2020 12:46 AM


Originally Posted by 4fans (Post 2961418)
are charters considered a good deal. I’ve seen some with crazy bad quasi red eyes. Like takeoff out of philly at 1am and land in New York at 2:30am

Some are very good deals and some are not. I look for the ones they put in open time with one to two legs from JFK to where I live (block in before 2300) with the second day a deadhead. I just drive home after we get in for 10:30 of pay working 1-2 hours block.

Other charters are interesting if you want a change of pace because you’re flying from and into non-standard airport locations.

DELTAFO 01-22-2020 03:21 AM

Which newsletter says that 76 retirements are accelerating?

tunes 01-22-2020 03:34 AM


Originally Posted by Hawaii50 (Post 2961335)
I’ve heard rumblings of the NFL doing something with some 767s like the NBA did with the 757s. Anyone know if there’s any truth to that? And why would you park anything with the Max RTS delayed through the summer unless there’s not enough of us to fly them.

they announced a few months ago that the gulf air birds were not going to the desert but instead being reconfigured for NFL charters.

tunes 01-22-2020 03:36 AM


Originally Posted by 4fans (Post 2961418)
are charters considered a good deal. I’ve seen some with crazy bad quasi red eyes. Like takeoff out of philly at 1am and land in New York at 2:30am

depends. most of the team charters are in the middle of the night after games, i'm about 70% taking off late from the ones i've done and thats due to games going longer than expected. The food is usually really good, sometimes it's mediocre but it's always better than the delta catered meals in my experience.

Redbird611 01-22-2020 04:11 AM


Originally Posted by DELTAFO (Post 2961617)
Which newsletter says that 76 retirements are accelerating?

January 7ER Fleet Newsletter, but I didn't read it to be that definitive. A few "most likely" will retire at their next heavy check instead of getting interior mods.

hockeypilot44 01-22-2020 06:37 AM


Originally Posted by Iceberg (Post 2961324)
Fortunately, we’ve been assured the weather will be better this year so I think that means good changes to the plan.


LMAO. It's so true.

Trip7 01-22-2020 06:41 AM


Originally Posted by Lifeisgood (Post 2961293)
Considering the T’s accelerated parking do any of ya’ll crystalballers see 7ERA going below 8500?

Current junior 7ER Capt is just a bit under 8000 and a March 2007 hire based in NYC. As big as this bid is combined with the fall of Intl flying on the ER I see junior ER Capt in NYC being one of the biggest shocks with a fall to 2010 or 2014 hire in the early 9000s range.

Scoop 01-22-2020 06:53 AM


Originally Posted by Lifeisgood (Post 2961293)
Considering the T’s accelerated parking do any of ya’ll crystalballers see 7ERA going below 8500?


No, not in SEA.


Scoop

sailingfun 01-22-2020 07:39 AM


Originally Posted by Trip7 (Post 2961720)
Current junior 7ER Capt is just a bit under 8000 and a March 2007 hire based in NYC. As big as this bid is combined with the fall of Intl flying on the ER I see junior ER Capt in NYC being one of the biggest shocks with a fall to 2010 or 2014 hire in the early 9000s range.

They may park some T’s at their next heavy check. That could be years away. It will have no effect on this bid.

Jaxs170 01-22-2020 08:47 AM


Originally Posted by Trip7 (Post 2961079)
I don't think it will drop below 12000. Trips are too good and payrate is significant boost from most FO pay. NYC717/220 will likely be in the 12500-13000 range

Sent from my SM-G975U1 using Tapatalk

Our (NYC 73N) bid package is falling apart very rapidly. I'm top 10% and I can't get M-F commutable anymore. Once the NEOs show up it will get worse as they start taking over our best flying. The 737 is destined to become the next MD-90.

Trip7 01-22-2020 09:21 AM


Originally Posted by Jaxs170 (Post 2961829)
Our (NYC 73N) bid package is falling apart very rapidly. I'm top 10% and I can't get M-F commutable anymore. Once the NEOs show up it will get worse as they start taking over our best flying. The 737 is destined to become the next MD-90.

I hear you. With the arrival of the NEOs, BOS 320, SEA220 M88 retirement, and multiple Widebody base opening(NYC777, SLC330, LAX350) it's difficult to formulate a strategy as you don't want to end up at the kind of party you didn't expect (LAX320). With that said reasons like the ones you stated may convince senior folks to hang tight while the mess gets sorted out and some of these categories end up going extremely junior

Sent from my SM-G975U1 using Tapatalk

crewdawg 01-22-2020 09:33 AM

Just flipped through some narrow body bid packets/wides...wow! Base on that and the noticeable lack of premium vacation weeks available, I expect to see WB FO go senior and NB A go junior. I know that for whatever reason, we'll always have those that just have to get back in the left seat ASAP. But we'll probably see a new type of junior NB A that simply say screw it, my schedule is already crappy, might as well make the pay.

Even as a fairly junior WB FO, there is no way you could get me to bid NB A right now. When even the top 1/3rd are getting coverage and barely able to get a premium vacation, it just isn't worth the little bump in pay I'd see. Our domestic rotation construction and work rules need a massive overhaul.

igotgummed 01-22-2020 09:38 AM


Originally Posted by Jaxs170 (Post 2961829)
Our (NYC 73N) bid package is falling apart very rapidly. I'm top 10% and I can't get M-F commutable anymore. Once the NEOs show up it will get worse as they start taking over our best flying. The 737 is destined to become the next MD-90.

I actually just looked at that bid package and liked the 1-2 leg days that seem to be the majority. Looks fairly uncommutable on the front ends though. Would one be a complete idiot to consider the 73N after being a career Airbus button pusher?

TED74 01-22-2020 09:45 AM


Originally Posted by crewdawg (Post 2961856)
But we'll probably see a new type of junior NB A that simply say screw it, my schedule is already crappy, might as well make the pay.

I think you're on to something. And the pay ain't anything to sneeze at, frankly. If it lets you retire at 55 instead of 65, there's something to be said for TVM. If it lets your spouse stay home with kids instead of working and double-scheduling around your crappy NB B schedule, that's a game-changer. I'm all about QOL, but work is for money-making (for me).

I also expect sick leave usage to go (back?) up. This domestic operation is not sustainable in the long term over many years... at least not if you want to be healthy.

GogglesPisano 01-22-2020 10:30 AM

So when are these 320NEO ETOPS, turn-the-737-into-an-MD90 aircraft arriving?

The Localizer 01-22-2020 10:33 AM

November and then 42 next year. They are very vague on what it will do besides Hawaii though. I would suspect the 737 will still do all the Caribbean flying but that’s a guess

DWC CAP10 USAF 01-22-2020 10:37 AM


Originally Posted by crewdawg (Post 2961856)
.

Even as a fairly junior WB FO, there is no way you could get me to bid NB A right now. When even the top 1/3rd are getting coverage .

Please tell which NB Capt category has line holders in the top 1/3 getting coverage awards so I can avoid it!

FL370esq 01-22-2020 10:45 AM


Originally Posted by DWC CAP10 USAF (Post 2961903)
Please tell which NB Capt category has line holders in the top 1/3 getting coverage awards so I can avoid it!

Or the NB Capt categories where the top 1/3 can't hold decent vacation weeks....that just ain't right. Guess that was "their" solution to last summer's goat rope.

crewdawg 01-22-2020 10:46 AM


Originally Posted by DWC CAP10 USAF (Post 2961903)
Please tell which NB Capt category has line holders in the top 1/3 getting coverage awards so I can avoid it!

Line holders in the top half can't be given coverage. However, reserves could get coverage even if they're the number 2 person in category to bid reserve. Not everyone in to top third bid a line. 30% in DTW320A got coverage on reserve.

TED74 01-22-2020 10:50 AM


Originally Posted by crewdawg (Post 2961856)
When even the top 1/3rd are getting coverage and barely able to get a premium vacation, it just isn't worth the little bump in pay I'd see. Our domestic rotation construction and work rules need a massive overhaul.

I fly with former (relatively senior) WB Bs who say their pay as NB A is a significant jump over their previous earnings. What do you figure your theoretical difference to be such that you call it only a "little bump"?

vyperdriver 01-22-2020 10:57 AM


Originally Posted by Jaxs170 (Post 2961829)
Our (NYC 73N) bid package is falling apart very rapidly. I'm top 10% and I can't get M-F commutable anymore. Once the NEOs show up it will get worse as they start taking over our best flying. The 737 is destined to become the next MD-90.

I feel for ya man, the optimizer ruined the A-320 fleet in NYC. I think the past year was the optimizer seeing how far they can actually hose a community (A320) before turning their eyes to the remaining fleets.

BlueSkies 01-22-2020 11:15 AM


Originally Posted by crewdawg (Post 2961856)
Just flipped through some narrow body bid packets/wides...wow! Base on that and the noticeable lack of premium vacation weeks available, I expect to see WB FO go senior and NB A go junior. I know that for whatever reason, we'll always have those that just have to get back in the left seat ASAP. But we'll probably see a new type of junior NB A that simply say screw it, my schedule is already crappy, might as well make the pay.

Even as a fairly junior WB FO, there is no way you could get me to bid NB A right now. When even the top 1/3rd are getting coverage and barely able to get a premium vacation, it just isn't worth the little bump in pay I'd see. Our domestic rotation construction and work rules need a massive overhaul.

I feel like as my seniority has finally started to move up at a decent clip (ATL 73N B) my trips and overall schedule have at the same time gone downhill. I'm sure I'm not the only one. If I could hold it I'd definitely go over to NB A (in base) and sit res. Because like you said...screw it, if my schedule sucks either way, I'll take the extra pay.

Lifeisgood 01-22-2020 11:23 AM


Originally Posted by DELTAFO (Post 2961617)
Which newsletter says that 76 retirements are accelerating?

Jan2020:
”We just got word that the 767 T models will not be going through the Ultra High-Density mod as planned. This most likely means these aircraft will be headed to the bone yard when their heavy checks come due instead of flying until 2030 as previously planned.”

Funk 01-22-2020 11:38 AM


Originally Posted by FL370esq (Post 2961907)
Or the NB Capt categories where the top 1/3 can't hold decent vacation weeks....that just ain't right. Guess that was "their" solution to last summer's goat rope.

The “optimizing” feedback loop will eventually result in the contractually mandated minimum vacation award during summer months (or even a fail to award minimum al la international block hour “mistakes”) and half the company on vacation between February and March.

DWC CAP10 USAF 01-22-2020 12:19 PM


Originally Posted by crewdawg (Post 2961909)
Line holders in the top half can't be given coverage. However, reserves could get coverage even if they're the number 2 person in category to bid reserve. Not everyone in to top third bid a line. 30% in DTW320A got coverage on reserve.

If line holders can’t be given coverage trips, why are there two different colors on the wide report? The light blue rotations are the normally assigned trips, so what do you call the purple rotations?

crewdawg 01-22-2020 12:31 PM


Originally Posted by FL370esq (Post 2961907)
Or the NB Capt categories where the top 1/3 can't hold decent vacation weeks....that just ain't right. Guess that was "their" solution to last summer's goat rope.

Poor wording on my part. My 1/3rd comment was in reference to coverage. Decrease in premium vacation weeks was more a general comment since it seems to have been a trend this year.


Originally Posted by TED74 (Post 2961912)
I fly with former (relatively senior) WB Bs who say their pay as NB A is a significant jump over their previous earnings. What do you figure your theoretical difference to be such that you call it only a "little bump"?

I'm ~90% in my current category and would be that or worse on any NB A in my base (I won't commute). To jump to NB A, I figured somewhere between 2-4k/month increase BEFORE taxes. When you look at it through the lens of pay per day worked it isn't a huge increase. In many instances, day-for-day, I'm very close or even slightly ahead of those in the 320A. On top of that, save a few holidays, I have nearly complete control over my schedule in my current category. I basically drop everything and pick up the more efficient trips that easily allow me to close the gap on pay/day worked. This is before I even consider the fact that sitting reserve in base for me drives that number up big time, not to mention QOL on reserve is MUCH better on a WB. Based on the NB A wides/coverage, I'd have nearly zero control over my schedule, which be a huge hit in QOL.

Oddly enough, as I work my way up to 12 year pay, the pay gap gets less and less.


Originally Posted by DWC CAP10 USAF (Post 2961983)
If line holders can’t be given coverage trips, why are there two different colors on the wide report? The light blue rotations are the normally assigned trips, so what do you call the purple rotations?

Coverage for line holders can only go up to 70% (of line holders) in non-holiday months and 50% in holiday months. On reserve, coverage is dictated my 12.M.4, which in some categories means each X-day needs to be available once. This means the number 2 guy bidding reserve could easily be subject to coverage.

DWC CAP10 USAF 01-22-2020 12:39 PM


Originally Posted by crewdawg (Post 2961999)
Poor wording on my part. My 1/3rd comment was in reference to coverage. Decrease in premium vacation weeks was more a general comment since it seems to have been a trend this year.



I'm ~90% in my current category and would be that or worse on any NB A in my base (I won't commute). To jump to NB A, I figured somewhere between 2-4k/month increase BEFORE taxes. When you look at it through the lens of pay per day worked it isn't a huge increase. In many instances, day-for-day, I'm very close or even slightly ahead of those in the 320A. On top of that, save a few holidays, I have nearly complete control over my schedule in my current category. I basically drop everything and pick up the more efficient trips that easily allow me to close the gap on pay/day worked. This is before I even consider the fact that sitting reserve in base for me drives that number up big time, not to mention QOL on reserve is MUCH better on a WB. Based on the NB A wides/coverage, I'd have nearly zero control over my schedule, which be a huge hit in QOL.

Oddly enough, as I work my way up to 12 year pay, the pay gap gets less and less.



Coverage for line holders can only go up to 75% (of line holders) in non-holiday months and 50% in holiday months. On reserve, coverage is dictated my 12.M.4, which in some categories means each X-day needs to be available once. This means the number 2 guy bidding reserve could easily be subject to coverage.

I was unaware of the 50%/75% thresholds...what’s the PWA references for my future reference?

Please and Thank You.

crewdawg 01-22-2020 12:45 PM


Originally Posted by DWC CAP10 USAF (Post 2962006)
I was unaware of the 50%/75% thresholds...what’s the PWA references for my future reference?

Please and Thank You.

I told you wrong (edited), it's 70% in non-holiday months and not 75%. PWA MOU #1.C.2.b.1&2.

Bergman 01-22-2020 02:49 PM


Originally Posted by BlueSkies (Post 2961936)
I feel like as my seniority has finally started to move up at a decent clip (ATL 73N B) my trips and overall schedule have at the same time gone downhill. I'm sure I'm not the only one.

Oh, it’s definitely not just you. My 88 trips at 20% seniority were far worse than at 50% just a couple of years ago.

Schedule and reroute protections are my top issues for this contract. People may flame me over it but 🤷🏼‍♂️. I’ve got too long left doing this job to fly these horrible schedules.

Gspeed 01-22-2020 03:54 PM

Help clear something up for me:

The ALPA interactive dashboard shows projected ATL 73N B at 332 FO's.

The AE document published for this bid has a Forecast of Pilot Staffing table on page 6 of the PDF. This shows ATL 73N B at 392 FO's.

Does this mean that ATL 73N B is growing by 67 FO's between now and August? Or am I missing something?

Go Cards go 01-22-2020 04:05 PM


Originally Posted by Gspeed (Post 2962116)
Help clear something up for me:

The ALPA interactive dashboard shows projected ATL 73N B at 332 FO's.

The AE document published for this bid has a Forecast of Pilot Staffing table on page 6 of the PDF. This shows ATL 73N B at 392 FO's.

Does this mean that ATL 73N B is growing by 67 FO's between now and August? Or am I missing something?

392-332=60. That’s the number on the AE. Yes, that’s the number added on this AE.

Breadcream 01-22-2020 04:07 PM


Originally Posted by Gspeed (Post 2962116)
Help clear something up for me:

The ALPA interactive dashboard shows projected ATL 73N B at 332 FO's.

The AE document published for this bid has a Forecast of Pilot Staffing table on page 6 of the PDF. This shows ATL 73N B at 392 FO's.

Does this mean that ATL 73N B is growing by 67 FO's between now and August? Or am I missing something?

The ALPA dashboards won’t catch up with our latest numbers until our projected training from this AE is released.

Gspeed 01-22-2020 04:08 PM


Originally Posted by Go Cards go (Post 2962119)
392-332=60. That’s the number on the AE. Yes, that’s the number added on this AE.

So it is. #maths :eek:

Gspeed 01-22-2020 04:13 PM

On second thought, you're right about ATL 73N B, but the math doesn't work out for ATL 320 B.

ALPA currently projects 363 and the AE document projects 424 for a growth of 61. But the AE states that there are 65 vacancies for ATL 320 B.

Gspeed 01-22-2020 04:51 PM


Originally Posted by Breadcream (Post 2962120)
The ALPA dashboards won’t catch up with our latest numbers until our projected training from this AE is released.

Yes but they should reflect the difference between the current plan and what’s intended with this newest AE.

Baradium 01-22-2020 04:56 PM


Originally Posted by Gspeed (Post 2962155)
Yes but they should reflect the difference between the current plan and what’s intended with this newest AE.

The Dashboard only shows what is currently awarded, although it does included those waiting for training. It never shows anything regarding an AE that is not awarded yet because it doesn't know whether you'll be senior or junior to pilots who bid it until that is released.

Gspeed 01-22-2020 05:00 PM


Originally Posted by Baradium (Post 2962160)
The Dashboard only shows what is currently awarded, although it does included those waiting for training. It never shows anything regarding an AE that is not awarded yet because it doesn't know whether you'll be senior or junior to pilots who bid it until that is released.

I agree; so take another look at my follow up post with that in mind. Why is there a difference in 4 extra pilots for ATL 320 B? This may apply to other categories but I haven’t looked at any of the others.

You should be able to take ALPA’s latest projected number, add the new vacancies from the AE, and it should equal the total size for a category in the company’s projected staffing table for any given AE.

Breadcream 01-22-2020 05:28 PM


Originally Posted by Gspeed (Post 2962165)
I agree; so take another look at my follow up post with that in mind. Why is there a difference in 4 extra pilots for ATL 320 B? This may apply to other categories but I haven’t looked at any of the others.

You should be able to take ALPA’s latest projected number, add the new vacancies from the AE, and it should equal the total size for a category in the company’s projected staffing table for any given AE.

When I look at my Dashboard, the projected training numbers come from the June 2020 calculation (follow the asterisk to the bottom of the page). The numbers from the AE are calculated for August 2020. The difference must come from movement within those two months.

Just so you know, my numbers don’t match up either (between the Dashboard and AE). In my case they’re in the other direction though...looks like 5 guys/gals are being added within those two months that aren’t accounted for by the AE.

It’s just a matter of where the Dashboard is pulling it’s numbers and it’s usually a little dated (in my experience).

tunes 01-23-2020 03:27 AM


Originally Posted by Trip7 (Post 2961720)
Current junior 7ER Capt is just a bit under 8000 and a March 2007 hire based in NYC. As big as this bid is combined with the fall of Intl flying on the ER I see junior ER Capt in NYC being one of the biggest shocks with a fall to 2010 or 2014 hire in the early 9000s range.

i agree with this.

tunes 01-23-2020 03:30 AM


Originally Posted by TED74 (Post 2961912)
I fly with former (relatively senior) WB Bs who say their pay as NB A is a significant jump over their previous earnings. What do you figure your theoretical difference to be such that you call it only a "little bump"?

their pay might be a significant jump if they arent playing the scheduling games on the B side. They are absolutely 'working' a whole lot more as a NB A than a WB B....that's where you have to decide what's more important to you: the pay, or the QOL.


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