Go Back  Airline Pilot Central Forums > Airline Pilot Forums > Major > Delta
Delta 56 Severe Turbulence >

Delta 56 Severe Turbulence

Search

Notices

Delta 56 Severe Turbulence

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 09-10-2025 | 06:14 AM
  #541  
Retired 2020
 
Joined: Feb 2021
Posts: 43
Likes: 2
Default A Red Blob Afterall....

Originally Posted by FL370esq
Did they go through it or did they go over it? Friend at DTN Weather said they ran it through their aviation models and it was a freakishly fast development. What might have looked acceptable could quickly become "a bit more" than expected.
A red blob is blob to avoid. Doubtful that it built to FL faster than the subject was flying.
Reply
Old 09-10-2025 | 06:47 AM
  #542  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Jan 2023
Posts: 3,390
Likes: 820
Default

Originally Posted by FL370esq
Did they go through it or did they go over it? Friend at DTN Weather said they ran it through their aviation models and it was a freakishly fast development. What might have looked acceptable could quickly become "a bit more" than expected.
According to my old meteorology text book, a rapidly developing Thunderstorm can grow vertically upwards of 2000 ft/min if conditions are right. Assuming they were cruising at around .8 ish mach, that's ~8 miles a minute, for every 8 miles across ground, the storm would grow 2000 ft or so. So if they were painting red out there at say 60nm, by the time they got to the cell, it would be a little under 8 minutes. That would give a rapidly intensifying cell time to grow roughly 16,000 ft (we know they will top off at some point, usually in the 40s).

I hate to monday morning quarterback, but it's usually best to avoid these things laterally. Looking at the radar from that time there was plenty of clear air to the north of this cell.
Reply
Old 09-10-2025 | 07:07 AM
  #543  
Banned
 
Joined: Jul 2025
Posts: 103
Likes: 17
Default

Originally Posted by Gulfasaurus
All the reason to avoid trying to overfly large cells, and definitely not if they're producing red returns. I used to be pretty nonchalant about doing it at FL450 in corporate jets but in the 30s you can get swallowed pretty quickly. I learned that lesson coming back from Dakar one night after step climbing over the Atlantic to get some more margin over some cells that were topping off in the low thirties. Until suddenly the lighting flashes that were below us started being above us. Thank goodness for CPDLC that allowed Santa Maria to approve our deviation within seconds otherwise it would have been the first and only time in my career invoking the oceanic weather contingency procedures.
I tried that in a Lear 25 back in the day. We were at FL 490 and the tops were in the high 30’s. We hit one bump, had a motor quit and bounced off the tops of the line that was 60 miles wide until we got low enough to relight. Never again.
Reply
Old 09-10-2025 | 07:14 AM
  #544  
Line Holder
 
Joined: Apr 2011
Posts: 1,576
Likes: 20
Default

Originally Posted by Hotel Kilo
According to my old meteorology text book, a rapidly developing Thunderstorm can grow vertically upwards of 2000 ft/min if conditions are right. Assuming they were cruising at around .8 ish mach, that's ~8 miles a minute, for every 8 miles across ground, the storm would grow 2000 ft or so. So if they were painting red out there at say 60nm, by the time they got to the cell, it would be a little under 8 minutes. That would give a rapidly intensifying cell time to grow roughly 16,000 ft (we know they will top off at some point, usually in the 40s).

I hate to monday morning quarterback, but it's usually best to avoid these things laterally. Looking at the radar from that time there was plenty of clear air to the north of this cell.
Absolutely agree. The airplane was a Neo too, so that airplane has the best, brightest LED screens available for that fleet, and very, very good radar. For the life of me, I cannot fathom how they did not see this cell on their radar.

Many years ago I was riding the jumpseat of an AA A300 from JFK to MIA - at night. Abeam about JAX on an AR route, all hell suddenly broke loose as this crew did pretty much the exact same thing while cruising along without a care in the world, all of us with trays in our laps. Lasted maybe 45 seconds, then out the other side 2000 feet higher than when we stumbled in. Severe turbulence, lightning, hail, and the thickest St. Elmo's fire I've ever seen flashing across the windshield. FO did a good job handling that mess. Total mayhem in the back, but no injuries thankfully.

Afterward, when they checked their radar, it turned out that the captain didn't even have his side on, and the FO's side was on but the tilt was set at maybe 7 degrees up, therefore scanning above the cell.

Totally avoidable, really.

I sort of wonder if the pilots on this flight may have mismanaged the radar. Just a thought.

Last edited by 450knotOffice; 09-10-2025 at 07:59 AM.
Reply
Old 09-10-2025 | 07:35 AM
  #545  
Meme In Command's Avatar
Leaves Biscoff crumbs
Veteran: Army
Loved
On Reserve
Line Holder
 
Joined: Jan 2020
Posts: 3,265
Likes: 941
From: Blue Juice Taste Tester
Default

Wonder if they had the whole windshield covered in Kinderfluffs. Cover it all up, set the radar in manual because "I know better than this Auto mode crap" and forget you havent changed the tilt in a while. Voila
Reply
Old 09-10-2025 | 07:38 AM
  #546  
notEnuf's Avatar
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Mar 2015
Posts: 13,229
Likes: 677
From: ir.delta.com
Default

No gross navigational errors, none. Period. Don't the new autobi turn the radar on weight off wheels and autoscan in the background? If not, maybe it should, gramps needs his nap.

Last edited by notEnuf; 09-10-2025 at 07:55 AM.
Reply
Old 09-10-2025 | 07:50 AM
  #547  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Jul 2013
Posts: 12,480
Likes: 1,052
Default

Originally Posted by notEnuf
No gross navigational errors, none. Period. Don't the new autobi turn the radar on weight of wheels and autoscan in the background? If not, maybe it should, gramps needs his nap.
One thing is for sure, LEPF is right in that all is junior pilots can learn from this expert mentorship
Reply
Old 09-10-2025 | 07:53 AM
  #548  
GogglesPisano's Avatar
Gets Weekends Off
20M Airline Miles
10 Years
Gets Weekends Off
50 Countries Visited
 
Joined: Sep 2013
Posts: 6,542
Likes: 281
From: Sitting SC at the Five Towns
Default

Originally Posted by notEnuf
No gross navigational errors, none. Period. Don't the new autobi turn the radar on weight of wheels and autoscan in the background? If not, maybe it should, gramps needs his nap.
No. Like almost all other aircraft these days, if the radar is selected off for TO it will automatically activate on TO for PWS (it will shut off at 1,200ft.) Same for approach.

The Vol 1 procedure has the CA turn on the radar prior to taxi. I was a but uneasy with this when I got on the airplane. Now I'm convinced. Set it to AUTO and forget it.
Reply
Old 09-10-2025 | 07:59 AM
  #549  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Jul 2013
Posts: 12,480
Likes: 1,052
Default

Originally Posted by GogglesPisano
No. Like almost all other aircraft these days, if the radar is selected off for TO it will automatically activate on TO for PWS (it will shut off at 1,200ft.) Same for approach.

The Vol 1 procedure has the CA turn on the radar prior to taxi. I was a but uneasy with this when I got on the airplane. Now I'm convinced. Set it to AUTO and forget it.
Why were you uneasy?
Reply
Old 09-10-2025 | 08:06 AM
  #550  
GogglesPisano's Avatar
Gets Weekends Off
20M Airline Miles
10 Years
Gets Weekends Off
50 Countries Visited
 
Joined: Sep 2013
Posts: 6,542
Likes: 281
From: Sitting SC at the Five Towns
Default

Originally Posted by CBreezy
Why were you uneasy?
Radiation. Taxiing around with the radar on, having it on for 8+ hours...

I've since learned it's an old wives' tale. Modern weather radar units emit very low levels of harmful radiation.
Reply
Related Topics
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
Kilroy
ExpressJet
10796
01-11-2016 06:49 AM
Quagmire
Major
253
04-16-2011 06:19 AM
JiffyLube
Major
12
03-07-2008 04:27 PM
RockBottom
Major
0
09-15-2006 09:50 AM

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



Your Privacy Choices