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Old 05-27-2012 | 06:17 AM
  #101761  
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Originally Posted by hockeypilot44
You have to at least be honest with the numbers. We lost 2 percent in profit sharing so that 12.8 is lower. To get this, we sold scope which is the equivalent to selling our jobs. Not good. Our new scope is not an improvement. I'm tire of reading that and hearing that. Stop patting yourselves on the back. YOU FAILED AND FAILED MISERABLY!!!! THIS WILL PROBABLY LEAD TO ALPA BEING DE-CERTIFIED!!!!
Thanks for sharing. I just have to remember your point of view is a little off from the mainstream:

Originally Posted by hockeypilot44
It's the military guys that don't think for themselves that are going to vote this in.
Despite what you post above, scope is significantly tightened in this agreement. From JV to Alaska to DCI, there are more restrictions placed on how DL can use its code without Delta pilots at the controls, and this TA accelerates the transition of flying to the mainline.

The profit sharing conversion removes some risk from the table. In May of 2001 we were arguing over C2K (which some on this board voted against and now they're clamoring for restoration to, go figure). Less than 6 months later the first 400 of 1310 furloughs happened. 1060 of our pilots did not see one dime of benefit from that contract. If pre-tax income in 2013 is identical to last year pilots will see a $28 million reduction in profit sharing. Instead they'll receive about $260 million more in pay. If Iran attacks Israel, if Europe melts down, or if there's something that takes our profitability down pilots have pocketed an additional $40+ million in pay. If we are wildly profitable we still get 20% of the PTIX above $2.5 billion.

I think I'm going to modify my signature line for awhile..thanks for this, Scambo.

Originally Posted by scambo1

You can choose to believe whatever you want, but you poison the (reasoning) pool if you put your hope and theory out there as fact.
Old 05-27-2012 | 06:22 AM
  #101762  
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Originally Posted by finis72
There is always risk in voting either way for a TA. If you vote yes and then UCAL comes in and blows our TA out of the water then we are stuck for 3 years or you pore over the 10k data from this year and next and realize we left $ on the table. There is also a real risk in voting no and fear has nothing to do with it. Every decision we make has a risk reward factor. This company has a direction they want to go at a certain cost level. This TA gives them the cost structure they need to execute their plan. A real possibility if we reject this TA is DL will opt to go a different route. DL is projected to make record profits with the current contract in place for the next 2 years so obviously the status qou is not hurting them 50 seaters and all.
The majority rules and right now I think it will be a no vote. I have no problem with that but I do have a problem with people that say there is no risk in a no vote or equate risk with fear.
Quit the spin machine. Show us one post where anyone mentions a no vote being risk free. The risk of a new contract taking 3 years is low, however. Stand up for yourself, son.
Old 05-27-2012 | 06:26 AM
  #101763  
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Originally Posted by slowplay
It's also quite possible that every reserve will see a substantial improvement (the highest % increase in the contract) in earnings due to the increase in reserve guarantee, that the extra 6 X days per year and changes to asterisk rotations will increase staffing requirements, and that there will be no change to greenslip availability due to the nature of how greenslips occur. With a 19.7% payrate increase over 3 years and an early retirement program for the most senior on our list it is highly unlikely that pilots will wind up with a lower W-2. Also, should things go really south and block hours fall pilots will now have protections from their job being outsourced.

I'm not trying to be argumentative here. We can debate the possibilities, but how about we put some probabilities and context with them?
I see the reserves getting more. That's about 15% of the pilot group. I also see the overtime flying going away as the flying is covered by reserves (whether they want it or not). Probably more than 15% of the pilot group and by definition if someone gets a greenslip they wanted it.

Is this a cost savings for the company? And who decided to transfer that flying from the senior (generally) pilots in a category to the junior (generally)? Was reduce G/S flying a big survey item??

So here is a question for the MEC? Where is the costing for this agreement? Was the MEC shown the costing and are they mow sworn to secrecy?

Without costing I am inclined to believe that TA is cost neutral to DAL at best, and could be a cost savings agreement.
Old 05-27-2012 | 06:28 AM
  #101764  
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Originally Posted by Columbia
The risk of a new contract taking 3 years is low, however.
Finis is more than capable of taking care of himself (son comment...really?), but can you show me how you can assert the above?

Please go through each of the recent negotiations in our industry. Tell me about the timeline of the successful strike at Spirit which put them well below this TA. Or the effective tactics that produced a timely contract at APA, NPA, CAL, UAL, LCC, ASA/ExpressJet, PCL. How is SWAPA's negotiation going for their 9/30/12 amendable date? Any other examples?

Convince me with the facts...

Originally Posted by scambo1

You can choose to believe whatever you want, but you poison the (reasoning) pool if you put your hope and theory out there as fact.
Old 05-27-2012 | 06:32 AM
  #101765  
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Originally Posted by Columbia
Quit the spin machine. Show us one post where anyone mentions a no vote being risk free. The risk of a new contract taking 3 years is low, however. Stand up for yourself, son.
Would you say that to my face ? I think not so quit with the manly BS from behind your keypad. I was stating that there is risk no matter how you vote and it has nothing to do with fear. I'm not surprised that you don't get that.
Old 05-27-2012 | 06:33 AM
  #101766  
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I really don't understand the debate on this TA. In 2015, the 7er will pay $216. In 2004, the 7er paid 267. So 11 years later, it will pay $51 less (or 19% less). 11 years later!

Did anyone think we would have any chance of meaningful restoration without a fight?

If we have any hope of truly restoring this profession, we will have to go to the mattresses. Period. (It definitely won't come from a 2 month, Neville Chamberlin, peace in our time, TA.

This not an LOA/MOU. This is our 1st section 6 since BK. I would hope our goal would be significant (i.e., large) gains in all areas of the contract.

I for one, am not ready to throw the towel in on this profession. I hope that the majority agrees.
Old 05-27-2012 | 06:39 AM
  #101767  
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Originally Posted by DoubleTrouble
So here is a question for the MEC? Where is the costing for this agreement? Was the MEC shown the costing and are they mow sworn to secrecy?

Without costing I am inclined to believe that TA is cost neutral to DAL at best, and could be a cost savings agreement.
The MEC was briefed on costing. Direct compensation is "hard" numbers. Much of the changes to Section 1 have very different costs in the eyes of management and ALPA (JV protections, code share restrictions, furlough protections) so are "soft" numbers. The manning changes created by this agreement are dependent on business plan execution so are "soft" numbers. All of that was briefed.

If Delta was going to save $1billion in RJ costs and put $1billion in your pocket instead how are you worse off?

As to "cost neutral"...again, this agreement takes money out of one of Delta's accounting silos and puts it into ours, a significant plus for pilots. Delta management has a very different target audience (we're less than 1/6 of the employee group) and a lot of interested parties in New York City and Washington, D.C. Note that Bastian was at a financial conference both the day after the TA was announced and the day after our TA was ratified by the MEC "explaining" it to investors.

Originally Posted by scambo1

You can choose to believe whatever you want, but you poison the (reasoning) pool if you put your hope and theory out there as fact.
Old 05-27-2012 | 06:44 AM
  #101768  
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Originally Posted by LivingTheDream
I really don't understand the debate on this TA. In 2015, the 7er will pay $216. In 2004, the 7er paid 267. So 11 years later, it will pay $51 less (or 19% less). 11 years later!

Did anyone think we would have any chance of meaningful restoration without a fight?

If we have any hope of truly restoring this profession, we will have to go to the mattresses. Period. (It definitely won't come from a 2 month, Neville Chamberlin, peace in our time, TA.

This not an LOA/MOU. This is our 1st section 6 since BK. I would hope our goal would be significant (i.e., large) gains in all areas of the contract.

I for one, am not ready to throw the towel in on this profession. I hope that the majority agrees.
Not that it really changes your point, but it's 226.21 in 2015.
Old 05-27-2012 | 06:47 AM
  #101769  
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Originally Posted by finis72
Would you say that to my face ? I think not so quit with the manly BS from behind your keypad. I was stating that there is risk no matter how you vote and it has nothing to do with fear. I'm not surprised that you don't get that.
You said "I do have a problem with people who say there is no risk in a no vote.". Who has said that? Fact is, no one. Or did you mis-speak?
Old 05-27-2012 | 06:47 AM
  #101770  
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Originally Posted by LivingTheDream
I really don't understand the debate on this TA. In 2015, the 7er will pay $216. In 2004, the 7er paid 267. So 11 years later, it will pay $51 less (or 19% less). 11 years later!

Did anyone think we would have any chance of meaningful restoration without a fight?
You realize that in 2015 Delta pilots will be leading the industry (again) in pay rates? And can you explain why the three airlines that never went bankrupt and have been profitable throughout this period (FDX, UPS, SWA) never caught up to those 2004 rates of pay?

Oh, can you show me how those "fighting" unions have produced better results? Maybe an NWA guy can remind us how much of a pay rate increase they got after a 14 day lockout in 1998.

I'm all for a fight if it gets us better results. I'll follow just about any path that produces better results. But advocating for a path that hasn't produced any results...

Originally Posted by scambo1

You can choose to believe whatever you want, but you poison the (reasoning) pool if you put your hope and theory out there as fact.
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