I don't know, Sailing could actually be correct. Depends on some assumptions I suppose.
Its pretty hard to interpret that slide that shows mainline growing.
Its got a title of "Domestic Fleet Count".
That slide does show mainline growing but I don't know if any widebodies or ETOPS 757s are included.

Its Presentation slide #19.

We can argue more later but it was pretty clear in Richard's remarks that he intends to keep pulling down capacity. Perhaps the more important thing for us to look at is block hours rather than hull count. They seem pretty proud of their ability to park jets since so many of them are old and paid for.

12/12/12!!!!!

SAILING FUN THINKS WE SHOULD WAIVE OUR SECTION 1.

I would like sailing to answer the question but he is very good at dodging/ignoring them....just like Slow!

If the opposite happens, I hope our UNION has set up a nice flow - back to places like VAx2, GOL, AF, KLM etc. I wouldnt mind flying overseas for a bit. In the early 90s, KLM took a handful of furloughed NWA pilots.

TEN

Quick couple questions for those in the know. I just got assigned Training on friday. I'm assuming this is just a SIM with 3 landings since I've been on the verge of dequaling for about 6 months.

1. What should I look over before going to this SIM? (I'm guessing they have a layout somewhere like the regular SIMs)

2. Can I book myself a flight for this SIM like the regular recurrent SIMS?

Thanks

I went to ATL for bounces about 6 months ago.
-I booked my own positive space ticket.
-I studied my limitations, memory items and flew a couple mental v1 cuts.

**The sim session lasted 12 minutes. All we did were 3 takeoffs. Slew back to 3 landings. THat is it. I have heard others get V1 cuts and Cat3 approaches.

Study on the plane ride out and you should be fine, IMO.

TEN

I did three approaches Cat3, Cat1, and visual all to a landing and one maybe 2 V1 cuts. Really laid back, my instructors asked if there was anything I wanted to focus on or do. I was in and out in less than an hour.
GL

?? what have I dodged/ignored? I don't spend much time here anymore, so if I missed something I'm sorry. You aren't on my ignore list like 80/drank.

Please post anything where I have stated we should waive section 1.

Here is a look at real staffing numbers from 2008 and 2012:

https://dl.dropbox.com/u/39382899/Staffing.JPG

As you can see, there has been a slight drop in active line pilots. However, the majority of the change has come from reductions in the number of pilots on sick leave, furlough, and military leave. That is why the most junior pilots on this board feel stagnated, the replacement pilots have not been new hires but have been guys coming off furlough and military leave and generally they are more senior than the 2007-2010 hires. There was a slight reduction in instructors because the NWA contract did not have a provision for non seniority list instructors.

In the last few years we know what has happened to the economy and we know what has happened to the price of oil. So how can our active pilot count be essentially the same? One of the reasons that the Delta MEC supported the merger was that a consolidated carrier would have the ability to upgauge their fleet and transfer flying back to mainline. That has occurred. The number of RJ's in our fleet has dropped by over 200 since the merger and are slated to drop another 100-150 in the next few years. The company's slide today showed a mainline fleet count 102 airframes higher than what is shown on the October 2012 Fleet Booklet. That was just one more reason why the MEC supported this last TA, more transfer of flying back to mainline.

I hope it was made clear to everyone that the 717's were not going to show up until later in the year for 2013. Wait until the end of 2013 before you pass judgement on whether or not the TA will accomplish that goal. I think the first glimpse will be the bid in January/February next year. Cheers.