Base Assignments Out of Schoolhouse
01-15-2018 | 11:39 PM
#61
On Reserve
Joined: Dec 2017
Posts: 24
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From: Gear Slinger
8 - cadets
12 - prior 121 (8 of whom with >1000hrs. 121)
The rest were a combination of RTP and off the street hires.
01-16-2018 | 05:48 AM
#62
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 2,510
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When did these guys do the ATP CTP? Are they still the week prior to class start?
Just wonder how many had already “taken the hook” and monetarily committed to Envoy and how far back that went.
I’m other words before this latest train wreck of a displacement bid.
01-16-2018 | 06:24 AM
#63
Line Holder
Joined: Dec 2016
Posts: 1,073
Likes: 2
Any idea how many were RTP?
When did these guys do the ATP CTP? Are they still the week prior to class start?
Just wonder how many had already “taken the hook” and monetarily committed to Envoy and how far back that went.
I’m other words before this latest train wreck of a displacement bid.
When did these guys do the ATP CTP? Are they still the week prior to class start?
Just wonder how many had already “taken the hook” and monetarily committed to Envoy and how far back that went.
I’m other words before this latest train wreck of a displacement bid.
Figure the average interview to class of 1.5 - 2 months. Another couple of weeks between submitting the app to the interview day before that. So it takes about 2.5 months from any particular change to see the effect on the class numbers. Then take the percentage of people you think will be turned off by that change, divide it by twelve*, and that's your number of people who decided not to apply.
*the universal opinion to reality factor constant
01-16-2018 | 06:41 AM
#64
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Mar 2017
Posts: 184
Likes: 0
Expecting class numbers to drop off suddenly and measurably due to Endeavor rates/displacement bid/Spirit new contract etc is just setting yourself up for disappointment.
Figure the average interview to class of 1.5 - 2 months. Another couple of weeks between submitting the app to the interview day before that. So it takes about 2.5 months from any particular change to see the effect on the class numbers. Then take the percentage of people you think will be turned off by that change, divide it by twelve*, and that's your number of people who decided not to apply.
*the universal opinion to reality factor constant
Figure the average interview to class of 1.5 - 2 months. Another couple of weeks between submitting the app to the interview day before that. So it takes about 2.5 months from any particular change to see the effect on the class numbers. Then take the percentage of people you think will be turned off by that change, divide it by twelve*, and that's your number of people who decided not to apply.
*the universal opinion to reality factor constant
01-16-2018 | 06:55 AM
#65
Line Holder
Joined: Dec 2016
Posts: 1,073
Likes: 2
I don’t doubt that they’ll continue to fill classes. Anyone who thinks that we’re weeks away from a class of very few NHs will be very disappointed when the numbers come out. The problem is that filling classes with new FOs doesn’t solve Envoy’s current (and near future) staffing needs. Spirit’s new contract and Endeavor’s new rates will affect the number of pilots with 1000+ hours of 121 time looking to jump laterally to Envoy.
But at the end of the day, the solution would be to improve the ways of getting there - more efficient schedules that make breaking guarantee easier, up the rates so that OT pickup is more worthwhile. Major inflows of street captains rarely do good things to morale.
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