Right out of mgt negotiations hand book.

 

Good news. Step one in the long game.

 

Long call with a perpetually understaffed airline? Good job union.

 

But at least there’s no chance of getting rid of red/redder now, so, you know…

 

No way, they’re already preparing to bring on 700/900’s and will likely transition their fleet to larger RJ’s and retire the 200’s.

 

"just like the mainline"(c)

 

I’m 3 for 3 on calling well over a year in advance the last regionals to shut down.... without a serious business model change both are in big trouble.

(Called Trans States well in advance... 2017; called Compass in late 2018)

There’s going to be consolidation, contraction, bankruptcies and merger/buyouts. The “safest” places to be will be the WO’s. Endeavor, AAG owned, Horizon. Mesa, Republic & Skywest will survive but will be much smaller. In that process will come stagnation as they shrink through attrition. The one that close will either jump to LCC, ACMI or will be recycled as new hires at a surviving regional.

Regional work rules at the WO’ , contracts, wages and compensation will all get good improvements, and the flow programs will be increased. At contractor jobs they can only raise the pay so much before bankruptcy. The WO’s can be run at a loss to keep feed alive.

 

 

So you think SkyWest is down sizing? They’re currently hiring 200 pilots a month, you can’t get a class date until December. The OO school house is saying they need 7,000 pilots in a year and a half. Does that sound like downsizing to you oh wise one?

 

1.) Where are they getting the planes? SkyWest is grabbing every -700 they can find on the planet right now.

2.) Whose flying are they going to take?

Things really don’t look good for them.