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Old 05-16-2015 | 03:41 PM
  #171  
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Originally Posted by Name User
Anyone hired in recent past won't flow at the same rate. It drops to something like 5 per month for those hired recently.
Not Quite.

The old numbers were:
Pilots hired after October 11, 2011 are offered 35% of all AA new hire training slots, no fewer than 15 per month.

But these have now have also been increased.
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Old 05-16-2015 | 05:19 PM
  #172  
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Originally Posted by lakehouse
You all are nuts. And those numbers are wrong. Eny management in the last ta saw the need to wrap up the 824 award. After them at 30 a month, if they don't try and comair us, it's 25/mo I believe until oct 2011 then it drops again..

Pdt has 300 pilots at 3 month, if they grow to 500 they get 4 or 5 a month. What moron math are you using that it's under ten years. Also the salsbury fsdo just rejected their 145 program proposal so who knows what will happen until it gets approved which I'm sure it will.....eventually.
The math works if the flow continues. A PDT new hire today is approx 5-6 years away. We are down to around number 65 on the list, and some don't want to flow. Your knowledge of the 145 approval process is flawed...we haven't presented nearly everything yet. Why is this forum one big conspiracy theory? It's almost comical...
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Old 05-16-2015 | 05:40 PM
  #173  
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Originally Posted by Lvlng4Spd
Your knowledge of the 145 approval process is flawed...we haven't presented nearly everything yet. Why is this forum one big conspiracy theory? It's almost comical...
I'll bet you he knows more about the PDT 145 program development than you do.....
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Old 05-16-2015 | 06:06 PM
  #174  
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Originally Posted by Cujo665
I'll bet you he knows more about the PDT 145 program development than you do.....
You would lose. You are prob used to that though, you don't call bluffs very well.
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Old 05-16-2015 | 06:11 PM
  #175  
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Originally Posted by lakehouse
You all are nuts. And those numbers are wrong. Eny management in the last ta saw the need to wrap up the 824 award. After them at 30 a month, if they don't try and comair us, it's 25/mo I believe until oct 2011 then it drops again..

Pdt has 300 pilots at 3 month, if they grow to 500 they get 4 or 5 a month. What moron math are you using that it's under ten years. Also the salsbury fsdo just rejected their 145 program proposal so who knows what will happen until it gets approved which I'm sure it will.....eventually.

Salisbury doesn't even have a FSDO? lol...
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Old 05-16-2015 | 06:13 PM
  #176  
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Originally Posted by air101
Salisbury doesn't even have a FSDO? lol...
Exactly my point lol
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Old 05-16-2015 | 07:36 PM
  #177  
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Originally Posted by jdflyer1999
I always like to look at real numbers... So, the most junior flow selected last time was April of '99 hire. That's 16 years to flow. However here are the numbers from the Envoy flow list. Estimating 33 month (flow (~30) + attrition leaving (~3)) we have.
1999: 158 pilots (4.8 months)
2000: 146 pilots (4.4 months)
2001: 78 pilots (2.4 months)
2002: 0
2003: 0
2004: 103 pilots (3.1 months)
2005: 55 pilots (1.7 months)
2006: 49 pilots (1.5 months)
So in 1.5 years (17.8 months) it will drop from 19 years (2015-1999=19) to 11 years (2017-2006) street to AA through Envoy.

Continuing from there and increasing the number who flow/leave to 40 (15 flow + 25leaving) you hit the following numbers
2007 249 pilots (6.2 months)
2008 159 pilots (4.0 months)
2009 0
2010 123 pilots (3.1 months)
2011 351 pilots (8.8 months)
2012 8 pilots (included in 2013 numbers)
2013 95 pilots (2.6 months)
2014 87 pilots (2.2 months)
So that leaves 2 years and 3 months (26.8 months to flow).
If you are hired off the street today at Envoy, and nothing else changes, you should be able to flow to AA in 3 years and 9 months.

Wow, I'm even surprised at that!
Thank you for posting these numbers. More people need to understand just what is happening here at Envoy and just how enhanced our flow to AA is. And that includes many of our doomsdayer pilots who don't understand those numbers posted above.

The path from new hire Envoy pilot to AA pilot is working just like AA planned. Soon we will be down to 5 years on that front and possibly less.
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Old 05-16-2015 | 07:38 PM
  #178  
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Originally Posted by Skyvector
Thank you for posting these numbers. More people need to understand just what is happening here at Envoy and just how enhanced our flow to AA is. And that includes many of our doomsdayer pilots who don't understand those numbers posted above.

The path from new hire Envoy pilot to AA pilot is working just like AA planned. Soon we will be down to 5 years on that front and possibly less.
I can hear RJ Pilot being summed to his keyboard as we speak...
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Old 05-16-2015 | 07:43 PM
  #179  
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Originally Posted by Cujo665
Since flow started they've gone down to 15 year guys. That does not answer what the flow is for somebody hired today. Based on the flow continuing as they projected, there should be a flow of street hire to AA in about 6 years currently.
It's still well above 16 years.
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Old 05-16-2015 | 07:56 PM
  #180  
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Originally Posted by QuagmireGiggity
It's still well above 16 years.
And in 10-12 months it will have dropped to 11 years
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