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Old 05-07-2016 | 03:18 AM
  #2801  
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From: Downward-Facing Dog Pose
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Originally Posted by ag386
Guess this flow comment was total BS from the company. They are good at that. Blasting out a great sounding pack of lies to keep guys around and gullible new saps coming in the door.

Revised flow estimate. 180 for 2016. A far cry from 300.

Amazingly, people still believe what Obama says is true, why should Doug Parker and AAG mgmt be any different?
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Old 05-07-2016 | 03:51 AM
  #2802  
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Originally Posted by SayAlt
Amazingly, people still believe what Obama says is true, why should Doug Parker and AAG mgmt be any different?
Found the Trump supporter!
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Old 05-07-2016 | 04:32 AM
  #2803  
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From: Downward-Facing Dog Pose
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lol

Originally Posted by penaltybox

Damn that hurts, SayAlt. I'm one of those people.
Fixed it for ya. No charge.
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Old 05-07-2016 | 05:12 AM
  #2804  
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How soon can I get of reserve and be able to have weekends off on the E175?
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Old 05-07-2016 | 05:14 AM
  #2805  
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Originally Posted by Eaglepilot84
I don't understand your argument at all. On one hand you say the 145 is a dying fleet so it wouldn't make sense for a new-hire to go on it. On another hand you're saying that the 145 isn't going anywhere so there is no need to worry about furlough.

So is your priority when choosing an airline flying a certain airplane or getting a seniority number asap that allows you to move up the list? If your priority is a certain airframe (the 175) I'm telling you right now that it's wrong wrong wrong.

As for me, I've flown 3 different airframes during my time here and at no point did I choose to transfer any aircraft due to SJS. All were due to quality of life and money. Heck, I could've started on the 700 at 23 years old but opted for the ATR.

I thought the whole "SJS" was more blown out of proportion then it really is, but apparently I was wrong. Oh well, I guess you new guys know sometime I don't.
He's got a little over a 20 post count and I've read all of them. Military guy not a pilot. Busted 3 rides but not all his fault. Knows more than the rest of us about just about everything already. Has SJS, which is pretty embarrassing for an old dude.
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Old 05-07-2016 | 05:19 AM
  #2806  
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Originally Posted by PilotCrusader
What kind of "bug smashers" have you flown? How many hours?
Cessna 172SP with G1000.
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Old 05-07-2016 | 05:20 AM
  #2807  
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Originally Posted by DraGoon
Exactly, so why fly a 20 yr old jet when you can fly a 1 yr old jet for the same pay. Outside of losing out on seniority, which is a huge deal, why not fly the new jet. I see a lot of posts on hear about SJS. All things remaining equal, a new hire presented with the opportunity to Fly the E175 vs E145 who is going to choose the E145 other than to get a specific base. Plus the E145 40-50 seat jet that most airlines are looking to get rid of, including Envoy, is a dying airframe. Doesnt Envoy have like 20 E140s sitting in the desert and plans to transfer some to another WO? Part of the reason Republic went into bankruptcy is because they wanted to get rid of their older birds, q400s and E145s because they are having a problem staffing them. Even a noob like me can see that. Should the airline staff 10 50 seaters or 7 70 seaters? Between the E175, C-Series and MRJ any and every 50 seater is nearing its end of useful service.
Because he's turning down classes of seniority!!!!!!!!! Thought that was the point. I've flown everything from 1 seat to around 350 seats. Now I'm going to 30-50 seats and do you think I'm worried about it "dying" or care what others think of what I fly? Uh....no.

And the MRJ, last I checked, doesn't even exist in the operating world.
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Old 05-07-2016 | 05:24 AM
  #2808  
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Originally Posted by DraGoon
Hypothetically speaking, you're right, no argument from me on that point. However right now we are not talking hypothetical. In the current market the likelihood of that happening are slim at best. Envoy is not going to park all of their E145's before a new hire is able to gain enough seniority to be furloughed (worst case). With the deliveries on the remaining 40 EJets I think their are about 12 in revenue service now, thats ~280 FO's that will be needed to staff. I think a new hire going into the Ejet right now would be pretty safe.

As for your quitting suggestion, that's a bit of a stretch as well. Not all noobs are as shallow as you think they are. Some of us understand, pecking order, totem poles and seniority. Just because we didn't spend 15+ years at Eagle paying our dues doesn't mean we haven't spent 24+ years paying our dues elsewhere.
Envoy will be sending "20" planes to PDT, but receiving back 30 planes between TSA and Xjet = net gain of 10 planes. We are taking 5 planes out of the desert to get them in service.

Also the guys on the 175 will be stagnant once they fill all the spots. Why? Because new hires will not upgrade for at least 3-4 years. That means every FO on the CRJ and EMJ will have more movement than the 175 guys. Because the 2010/2011 hires (about 300-400 pilots) that are next to upgrade are in the 145 and CRJ.

Also if there's a displacement bid because they decide to open MIA or other base, senior people will be able to proffer to displace. JR guys will be out of their E-175 seat.

I've seen it happening the last displacement bid. Guys that were line holders in the CRJ getting bumped to RSV and JR CRJ guys displaced to the erj. Two months later they started hiring into the CRJ.

Another point is that there will not be furlough, specially when other companies can't staff their planes.
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Old 05-07-2016 | 05:26 AM
  #2809  
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Originally Posted by eaglefly
You do realize that absent a fragmentation scenario, that the death of those "dying airplanes" would likely result in those senior bumping you down or even out of the 1 year old jet, yes ?

For example, if they started parking 145's in DFW and had an excess number of more senior "dead jet" pilots they needed to trim they would most likely be displacing into your status. Seniority is the name of the game and if say you were displaced out of DFW 175 to something you could hold, say ORD 145, what would you do ?

I suppose you could then turn your nose up and quit, but wouldn't that have just been a waste of months or years ? It almost sounds like there are a group of journeyman E-175 pinch-hitters floating around the industry shopping for E-175 seats wherever. If that's all that matters, those are sone screwed up priorities that will come back to haunt you later, if you ask me.
Agreed 100%
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Old 05-07-2016 | 05:46 AM
  #2810  
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Originally Posted by DraGoon
Hypothetically speaking, you're right, no argument from me on that point. However right now we are not talking hypothetical. In the current market the likelihood of that happening are slim at best. Envoy is not going to park all of their E145's before a new hire is able to gain enough seniority to be furloughed (worst case). With the deliveries on the remaining 40 EJets I think their are about 12 in revenue service now, thats ~280 FO's that will be needed to staff. I think a new hire going into the Ejet right now would be pretty safe.
Envoy doesn't need to park all the 145's for such a scenario to happen (I didn't even infer that would occur anyway). All they have to do is what they are headed to do - contract. If they contract at the rate of pilot attrition, theoretically they can just gradually dispose of smaller Embraers (parking/transfer) to match their staffing, but in all likelihood, pilot attrition will be unbalanced, especially in domiciles, like DFW. That means more senior pilots can and likely will displace into E-175 F/O positions to stay there. Personally, I think you're overconfident of just how things may very well play out for you there if you ARE a "noob" as you claim to be (which I have doubts about).

Originally Posted by DraGoon
As for your quitting suggestion, that's a bit of a stretch as well. Not all noobs are as shallow as you think they are. Some of us understand, pecking order, totem poles and seniority. Just because we didn't spend 15+ years at Eagle paying our dues doesn't mean we haven't spent 24+ years paying our dues elsewhere.
An interesting point, but if you would review the Envoy threads of the last 6 months, you'd note many Envoy pilots here have succumbed to exactly the overly optimistic assumptions you appear to be doing. They blasted me (and a few others) repeatedly and relentlessly about "how things are different now at Envoy" and "AAG is running the show, not AMR" and "the 2.5/6 projections are doable" and my "hypotheticals" are low percentage long shots and here we are with the 2.5 year upgrade claim a complete dud and the 6 year flow right behind it. Last months rush to the door there has all but flopped a scant 1 month later and the dynamics in play that caused that are a catch-22 and there are multiple situations and scenarios that none of us have considered that could change the situation at Envoy dramatically in the future.

It's just a suggestion to you (and for your own well being), but I would offer the same advice to you as to others who have IMO previously overplayed their expectations about their future at Envoy - Don't assume you've got the future all figured out, especially when it comes to the consistently topsy-turvy world of Envoy. If you ARE a true noobie there, what you have learned at other carriers may not apply to Envoy going forward and to assume it does, you may be headed for the same repetitive cycle of irrational euphoria - crushing disappointment as so many who also have experience wandering around the industry have and do now at Envoy. I know as I too have fallen victim to that same dysfunctional cycle during the early tenure of my near quarter century at its predecessor Eagle.

Good luck and one other point I should emphasize is that you might want to temper your view of the 145 as that is almost certainly your upgrade whenever that occurs, so embracing it now might be a smoother transition, at least emotionally.
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