Envoy
12-11-2018, 07:26 PM
Gets Everyday Off
Joined APC: Aug 2016
Position: Relaxed
Posts: 6,943
Originally Posted by go skers
...There are 74 pilots still on the list hired in 2015 so that group would take another 4 months. If AA hiring continues, 2020 is the year you see the flow times really fall.
There's no attrition accounted for in those numbers or any pause in AA's new hire classes...
There's no attrition accounted for in those numbers or any pause in AA's new hire classes...
Flows of 5 years will not be a drawing card when the average regional pilot gets hired by the majors in 5 years. (A guaranteed hire will still have some attraction, but to a lesser degree.)
The world of regionals will change at that point; radically, and for the better for pilots.
12-12-2018, 09:25 AM
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Aug 2015
Posts: 217
Originally Posted by BigZ
This year attrition was showing at 200
Lets say all of it above you year 1 and none of it last year, so the average of 100 pilots a year.
We know it should take about a year to flow the remaining PP, so that's a year.
Another year to flow DOS at 15 a month - another year.
If you're #2200 to flow (sound about right for a NH?), then it is
X = 2 + (2000 - 500 - 100X)/12*20
Or
X = 5.82 years (or thereabouts, I'm not good at math)
So about 6 years to flow all things remaining constant.
Lets say all of it above you year 1 and none of it last year, so the average of 100 pilots a year.
We know it should take about a year to flow the remaining PP, so that's a year.
Another year to flow DOS at 15 a month - another year.
If you're #2200 to flow (sound about right for a NH?), then it is
X = 2 + (2000 - 500 - 100X)/12*20
Or
X = 5.82 years (or thereabouts, I'm not good at math)
So about 6 years to flow all things remaining constant.
12-12-2018, 09:36 AM
In a land of unicorns
Joined APC: Apr 2014
Position: Whale FO
Posts: 6,469
Originally Posted by NoValueAviator
What outlandish rumors should we start based on this?
Closing Miami? Merger? CRJ displacements?
Closing Miami? Merger? CRJ displacements?
Or we are finally getting stapled to the AA seniority list.
(and yes, that was a joke).
Bid packet for Jan is out btw.
12-12-2018, 10:27 AM
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Mar 2017
Posts: 3,656
Originally Posted by dragongoliath
So in the DFW 175 bid packet looks like we start doing DFW-BOI overnights and DFW-GEG turns
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
