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Old 12-10-2018 | 01:39 PM
  #10551  
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Originally Posted by moon
Agreed some of those '16 hires timed it well, but this new projection shows a 4.5 year flow from August on to the end of 2020 so a Jan of 15 hire would be at 4.5 years. That would make the 16s even lower.
That’s possible I guess depending on how much outside attrition occurs in the upper ranks of seniority (900 or less on DECS).
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Old 12-10-2018 | 05:48 PM
  #10552  
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Originally Posted by inevitableneb
You should offer a seminar. Sell tickets. A guy does this at Delta. Seriously
Or you could always do a YouTube series just showing the apps and DECS. Don’t even have to show your face or ‘nothin. Unless you want that sweet Envoy fame.
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Old 12-10-2018 | 06:04 PM
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Originally Posted by Vne469
Or you could always do a YouTube series just showing the apps and DECS. Don’t even have to show your face or ‘nothin. Unless you want that sweet Envoy fame.
There is at least one YouTube on how to send an RF.

https://youtu.be/3RF8NrGce_k
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Old 12-11-2018 | 05:03 AM
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I don't know about that chart "Years of Service at Flow". It's just like the 2.5 upgrade and sub 6 year flow RW predicted in May 2016. It won't happen unless the flow through increases for post protected pilots. The 2.5/6 would never of happened without the pay bump Envoy gave NHs in Fall of 2016.

I could see the projections working but not at the status quo we have now. The closer pilots are to flowing the less likely they are going to leave. Attrition at the top isn't going to be as much as they are calculating.
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Old 12-11-2018 | 06:02 AM
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Originally Posted by Pedro4President
I don't know about that chart "Years of Service at Flow". It's just like the 2.5 upgrade and sub 6 year flow RW predicted in May 2016. It won't happen unless the flow through increases for post protected pilots. The 2.5/6 would never of happened without the pay bump Envoy gave NHs in Fall of 2016.

I could see the projections working but not at the status quo we have now. The closer pilots are to flowing the less likely they are going to leave. Attrition at the top isn't going to be as much as they are calculating.
I agree. Recruiting was advertising a “five year flow” which most of us think will happen for some individuals who are here now that were hired in 2016, but not for anyone hired any time recently. That has since been removed from the page.

RW said in one of his recent Q and As that the company is planning on people hired now will flow in 4 1/2 years. That is a planning number that they at least are not advertising. He didn’t say how they come up with that. The union page indicates new hires at about 8 3/4 years or almost twice as long. Quite a disparity. And I don’t see how they can possibly come up with those numbers. Like you said that would take a lot of non flows and outside flow attrition or Envoy increasing the flow. As much as they have fought and drug their feet to keep the flow down, I just don’t see that happening either. I would like to see it happen, but I just don’t think so.
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Old 12-11-2018 | 07:19 AM
  #10556  
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Originally Posted by pitchattitude

RW said in one of his recent Q and As that the company is planning on people hired now will flow in 4 1/2 years. That is a planning number that they at least are not advertising.
I thought flow was going to be metered to 15 after the protracted pilots? How is the projection still 300+ pilots for next year?
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Old 12-11-2018 | 07:40 AM
  #10557  
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Originally Posted by ParkingatMIA
I thought flow was going to be metered to 15 after the protracted pilots? How is the projection still 300+ pilots for next year?
There is more than 300 protected pilot that still have to flow...

The last protected pilot is expected to flow in DEC 2019 according to the alpa seniority list.
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Old 12-11-2018 | 08:48 AM
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Originally Posted by pitchattitude

RW said in one of his recent Q and As that the company is planning on people hired now will flow in 4 1/2 years.
Interesting to say the least, especially since I'm still 4.5 years out and have been here for 2 years. And theres over 1500 pilots junior to me.
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Old 12-11-2018 | 09:05 AM
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Originally Posted by Houpilot2001
Interesting to say the least, especially since I'm still 4.5 years out and have been here for 2 years. And theres over 1500 pilots junior to me.
How are you still 4.5 years out if you’ve been here for 2 years?

Nov 2016 hires are showing a flow date of Jan or feb 2022.
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Old 12-11-2018 | 09:41 AM
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Originally Posted by Houpilot2001
Interesting to say the least, especially since I'm still 4.5 years out and have been here for 2 years. And theres over 1500 pilots junior to me.
None of this makes sense. 1500 pilots junior to you would put you around a 950 seniority number, which would mean you’re less than 3 years away from flow.
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