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Av8rPHX 07-19-2020 08:01 PM


Originally Posted by DarkSideMoon (Post 3095483)
You can’t just hand wave away a contract though....

Unless you own/control the regional you’re trying to mothball.



Compass and TSA would beg to differ


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DarkSideMoon 07-19-2020 08:08 PM


Originally Posted by GA2Jets (Post 3095576)
I think more likely UA would just tell a regional that they are getting the absolute bare minimum block hours allowable per the contract. Because that situation would not be tenable, the regional may choose to close.

Let's say, for example, UA tells GJ that they will only fly 15% of their 2019 block hours indefinitely because that's the minimum in the contract. GJ may not be able to sustain that level of business without any chance for an increase, and may fold as a result. Contract terminated, problem solved for UA.

This would be particularly true for airlines with aircraft on lease wherein the lease must be paid regardless of the aircrafts actual flying activity. The aircraft *must* fly for a chance to break even. That's part of what killed TSA, except it was their own pilot shortage that really limited their capacity to fly, not UA.

Good thing Whiskey owns all their own airplanes.

Or more accurately the holding company that owns whiskey owns the airplanes that they’re leasing to themselves.

DarkSideMoon 07-19-2020 08:12 PM


Originally Posted by Av8rPHX (Post 3095585)
Compass and TSA would beg to differ


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From what I gathered;

Trans states shut down mostly due to an inability to staff their flying and general mismanagement. They went to United and asked for some flexibility and United said no. That’s very different than United unilaterally pulling out of a contract.

Compass’ Delta flying contract expired and they were unable to secure enough flying to be a viable airline. Again, an expiration is much different than pulling out of a contract early.

That’s my take on it anyway. Let me know if I misunderstood something.

rickair7777 07-19-2020 09:10 PM


Originally Posted by Av8rPHX (Post 3095585)
Compass and TSA would beg to differ


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No. Different issues. They were already on the ropes pre-COVID.

ZeroTT 07-20-2020 03:00 AM

My example was succinct, but it really depends on the (presumably confidential) contract details with each regional. I don’t think United would hesitate for a second to leverage any contractual leverage to conserve cash, even if a court might disagree 8 years later

itsmytime 07-20-2020 04:25 AM


Originally Posted by DarkSideMoon (Post 3095588)
From what I gathered;

Trans states shut down mostly due to an inability to staff their flying and general mismanagement. They went to United and asked for some flexibility and United said no. That’s very different than United unilaterally pulling out of a contract.

Compass’ Delta flying contract expired and they were unable to secure enough flying to be a viable airline. Again, an expiration is much different than pulling out of a contract early.

That’s my take on it anyway. Let me know if I misunderstood something.

nope. You’re spot on. People like to be dramatic, and claim, it was Covid, or that mean ol united pulled the contract. The writing was on the wall for both of them months before they folded.

rickair7777 07-20-2020 05:11 AM


Originally Posted by ZeroTT (Post 3095627)
My example was succinct, but it really depends on the (presumably confidential) contract details with each regional. I don’t think United would hesitate for a second to leverage any contractual leverage to conserve cash, even if a court might disagree 8 years later

UA has played loose and fast with FFD contract language before, it is in their genetics.

amberdash 07-20-2020 04:02 PM


Originally Posted by DarkSideMoon (Post 3095483)
You can’t just hand wave away a contract though....
Unless you own/control the regional you’re trying to mothball.

force majeure

Av8rPHX 07-20-2020 04:10 PM


Originally Posted by rickair7777 (Post 3095600)
No. Different issues. They were already on the ropes pre-COVID.



TSA perhaps. Compass was a force majeure clause


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UnitedExpress 07-20-2020 05:10 PM

United has an earnings and conference call tomorrow and will likely explain who will operate what after 9/30.


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