Quote:
Originally Posted by NoDeskJob
Night and day difference. Boston is MUCH more junior than lgb. I don't have the numbers in front of me, but you can't even hold a line after a year on the Bus in BOS....LGB would be wayyyy worse.
You could be about 50% up the FO list in Boston on the 190 after a year, and upgrade in 2-4 years.
Come on now. No one hired today is likely to see the left seat in 2-4 years. Being conservative here you need to be in the top 65% to hold bottom left seat. Considering that we have 3200 pilots, and little attrition to speak of in the next 5 years, we need to get to around 4900 pilots in order for a new hire to upgrade. In order for a 4 year upgrade to happen we need to average 430 new hires per year for the next 4 years. In that time we have roughy 45-50 jets coming... It ain't gonna happen.
Hired today my guess is you are looking at 6-8 years on the optimistic side to see bottom reserve captain. 50% on the e90fo at Boston you are looking at 2-3 years, if you are very lucky. To hold LGB a320 you are looking at around a year. To hold a line you are looking at 2-3 years unless we grow the base. To hold a320 LGB captain you are looking at such a long time I'd have to take a total shot in the dark at 15+ years.
Note, I'm not being doom and gloom. I'm not trying to sway people away from here or anything of the sort, I just need to give a realistic answer here. While my seniority saw a quick upgrade (been here about 6 years) due to a lot of growth, those hired today even with expected growth will have a longer wait due to the demographics of this pilot group.