TA Discussion
#521
Banned
Joined: Sep 2020
Posts: 66
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So does the TA up for vote supersede in the entirety the current CBA? Does the current TA not have out clauses based on many different possible scenarios including bankruptcy? Do you think this legally binding agreement will somehow be the basis the company uses when and if it decides it files?
I think you need to get a better mattress bro. Your Sealy is keeping you up at night and it’s making you paranoid. It’s pretty clear this has out clauses for just about every single possible outcome. This TA is a stop gap to hopefully keep the company moving toward the goal line of getting out of this mess. Look at the financials bro, if this company decides to shrink 30 percent they can not generate enough revenue to be a sustainable business. They will not have the ability to defend their market share and the cost to retake market share will be too high moving forward. Management is backed into a corner and they need a little help. You think management would not dump 3900 pilots October 1 if they could? Absolutely, but they see the financials, they have played the war games in the C suite, they see and know what’s going on and determined this is the best battle plan. Read the financials please, take 40-50 percent off the revenue pile and see if they can make debt obligations moving forward. Why 40-50 percent? Because if they shrink 30 percent they lose any and all of the pricing power they once had and it will not be coming back. They would be a market follower and not a leader.
Make no mistake about it IMO if this TA fails in 18 months United will be in court. They will not be financially viable moving forward. Call up your financial analyst and ask about his/her take on investing in United. Ask questions, ask about financials moving forward, ask about debt obligations. Or do it yourself, personally I get a high off SEC filings and enjoy the read but that’s a prior life.
To wrap up this way too long post, one is making a choice of a guaranteed court date or giving the company and some pilots a shot at making it to the other side.
I think you need to get a better mattress bro. Your Sealy is keeping you up at night and it’s making you paranoid. It’s pretty clear this has out clauses for just about every single possible outcome. This TA is a stop gap to hopefully keep the company moving toward the goal line of getting out of this mess. Look at the financials bro, if this company decides to shrink 30 percent they can not generate enough revenue to be a sustainable business. They will not have the ability to defend their market share and the cost to retake market share will be too high moving forward. Management is backed into a corner and they need a little help. You think management would not dump 3900 pilots October 1 if they could? Absolutely, but they see the financials, they have played the war games in the C suite, they see and know what’s going on and determined this is the best battle plan. Read the financials please, take 40-50 percent off the revenue pile and see if they can make debt obligations moving forward. Why 40-50 percent? Because if they shrink 30 percent they lose any and all of the pricing power they once had and it will not be coming back. They would be a market follower and not a leader.
Make no mistake about it IMO if this TA fails in 18 months United will be in court. They will not be financially viable moving forward. Call up your financial analyst and ask about his/her take on investing in United. Ask questions, ask about financials moving forward, ask about debt obligations. Or do it yourself, personally I get a high off SEC filings and enjoy the read but that’s a prior life.
To wrap up this way too long post, one is making a choice of a guaranteed court date or giving the company and some pilots a shot at making it to the other side.
There is a guaranteed court date coming regardless of this agreement and how generous of us to finance the potential turnaround! I also never said this is legally binding but with that court date only a fool would believe the bk judge or company lawyers wouldn’t leverage this against us. I will reiterate my main position and heartburn there is no upside for us in a recovery mode. 5%?? That almost insulting. How about granting us some of the stock the company blew billions on? The billions that would get us through this time crunch. Management backed themselves into this financial corner and I don’t see them offering their salaries for this turnaround plan with their war games.
You do bring up good points that I don’t disagree with. My beef is who finances it and the return on investment.
Btw, I sleep just fine at night but I’ll mention the 6k bed to the wife.
#522
There is a guaranteed court date coming regardless of this agreement and how generous of us to finance the potential turnaround! I also never said this is legally binding but with that court date only a fool would believe the bk judge or company lawyers wouldn’t leverage this against us.
WHEREAS, the parties desire to avoid Pilot furloughs to the greatest extent possible and to bolster the long-term sustainability of United Airlines and the careers of its Pilots; and
WHEREAS, the parties sought an agreement that recognizes and rewards the sacrifices made by the Pilot group in entering this agreement;”
Yeah, I’m sure the judge (in cahoots with the company, of course) would blow right past the whole purpose of this TA when he spitefully pillaged each and every one of the hundreds of pages of the UPA.....
#523
Banned
Joined: Sep 2020
Posts: 66
Likes: 0
“WHEREAS, the parties have discussed the COVID-19 virus pandemic and its impact on the aviation industry; and
WHEREAS, the parties desire to avoid Pilot furloughs to the greatest extent possible and to bolster the long-term sustainability of United Airlines and the careers of its Pilots; and
WHEREAS, the parties sought an agreement that recognizes and rewards the sacrifices made by the Pilot group in entering this agreement;”
Yeah, I’m sure the judge (in cahoots with the company, of course) would blow right past the whole purpose of this TA when he spitefully pillaged each and every one of the hundreds of pages of the UPA.....
WHEREAS, the parties desire to avoid Pilot furloughs to the greatest extent possible and to bolster the long-term sustainability of United Airlines and the careers of its Pilots; and
WHEREAS, the parties sought an agreement that recognizes and rewards the sacrifices made by the Pilot group in entering this agreement;”
Yeah, I’m sure the judge (in cahoots with the company, of course) would blow right past the whole purpose of this TA when he spitefully pillaged each and every one of the hundreds of pages of the UPA.....

#524
Once a paranoid nutjob, always a paranoid nutjob, folks......
#525
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Aug 2019
Posts: 131
Likes: 0
There is a guaranteed court date coming regardless of this agreement and how generous of us to finance the potential turnaround! I also never said this is legally binding but with that court date only a fool would believe the bk judge or company lawyers wouldn’t leverage this against us. I will reiterate my main position and heartburn there is no upside for us in a recovery mode. 5%?? That almost insulting. How about granting us some of the stock the company blew billions on? The billions that would get us through this time crunch. Management backed themselves into this financial corner and I don’t see them offering their salaries for this turnaround plan with their war games.
You do bring up good points that I don’t disagree with. My beef is who finances it and the return on investment.
Btw, I sleep just fine at night but I’ll mention the 6k bed to the wife.
You do bring up good points that I don’t disagree with. My beef is who finances it and the return on investment.
Btw, I sleep just fine at night but I’ll mention the 6k bed to the wife.
I get your point. Truly I do. Personally I think United was mismanaged and has been since the late 1990s but that’s my opinion only. The financial reality is this TA is not saving the company any significant amount of money and one can argue it’s going to cost the company money long term. Now we haven’t signed the NDAs and haven’t dived down into it but from an outsider looking in I don’t see how this saves the company a dime. They are keeping thousands of highly paid employees (make no mistake even a JR guy making 70K a year to sit at home for a year on reserve is highly paid) on staff with benefits. I would have loved to hear the argument at the BoD meetings talking about this deal. I’m sure it was a sales job by the SK contingent to get them to buy off on it. Anyway, I bet on hope and the possibility of recovery than of closing the door on a recovery by voting no. Neither choice is a good, I just go for the less bad one...
#526
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Aug 2019
Posts: 131
Likes: 0
Oh and by the way the stock buybacks. That’s a tricky subject. Management didn’t really have lots of choices on that. The vogue thing to do was stock buybacks on Wall Street, don’t follow along and your company will pay the price. Hoard too much cash and you are a hostile takeover target. Now would I have wished more of an internal investment in the company, absolutely. Pay off some debt, create a larger war chest etc but alas it didn’t happen but that’s water under the bridge right now and not worth rehashing until we are out of this mess.
#527
Make no mistake about it IMO if this TA fails in 18 months United will be in court. They will not be financially viable moving forward. Call up your financial analyst and ask about his/her take on investing in United. Ask questions, ask about financials moving forward, ask about debt obligations. Or do it yourself, personally I get a high off SEC filings and enjoy the read but that’s a prior life.
To wrap up this way too long post, one is making a choice of a guaranteed court date or giving the company and some pilots a shot at making it to the other side.
To wrap up this way too long post, one is making a choice of a guaranteed court date or giving the company and some pilots a shot at making it to the other side.
Employees cannot save a company from a pandemic, let alone decades of mismanagement. Nothing we do now will affect that.
I cannot stress this enough, what we are doing now, is positioning the company for the possible recovery! Will management thank us in the end if it works? Doubtful. Will Scott give us a contract post recovery? Probably not.
It's a hard pill to swallow, but whether you vote yes or no, won't make much of a difference in court. Quality of life? Yes. If you can pay the mortgage? Yes. It's very personal to us, not to Scott.
#528
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Jul 2017
Posts: 141
Likes: 0
One thing history has taught us, and something we all need to keep in mind, is that nothing the pilots do will have any affect on whether UAL goes into bankruptcy. This agreement, from a court point of view, is a blip.
Employees cannot save a company from a pandemic, let alone decades of mismanagement. Nothing we do now will affect that.
I cannot stress this enough, what we are doing now, is positioning the company for the possible recovery! Will management thank us in the end if it works? Doubtful. Will Scott give us a contract post recovery? Probably not.
It's a hard pill to swallow, but whether you vote yes or no, won't make much of a difference in court. Quality of life? Yes. If you can pay the mortgage? Yes. It's very personal to us, not to Scott.
Employees cannot save a company from a pandemic, let alone decades of mismanagement. Nothing we do now will affect that.
I cannot stress this enough, what we are doing now, is positioning the company for the possible recovery! Will management thank us in the end if it works? Doubtful. Will Scott give us a contract post recovery? Probably not.
It's a hard pill to swallow, but whether you vote yes or no, won't make much of a difference in court. Quality of life? Yes. If you can pay the mortgage? Yes. It's very personal to us, not to Scott.
#529
On Reserve
Joined: Sep 2020
Posts: 13
Likes: 0
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