Originally Posted by afterburn81

I agree. You can't predict something like that in the airline business. NO ONE knows what will happen a year from now. Never mind two or three. I'll bet even God himself can't predict the future of an airline. Which would reinforce the theory that Satin himself created the airlines

Originally Posted by flyingkangaroo

Look, it's just a speculation so take from it what you want. I'm guessing my upgrade will be just about 7 years if I can't get out before then. I have said many times on this forum that I think in the long term XJET combined will shrink. That said, if Delta, United, USair and AMR all start hiring then I don't see why you shouldn't expect a three year upgrade. It looks like that will start to happen sometime in 2013.

My opinion is formed through constructing all the expected retirement numbers and applying that to an average attrition at asa/xjet. What would you have me say, expect a 7 year or more upgrade like the pilots hired near my seniority? It's unrealistic. Before you give me the anything could happen, terrorist attacks, politicians, manbearpig attack etc. (as most pilots on angry pilot central do) I totally concede that to be the case. The difference is that when I was hired upgrade was 2-3 years. Now it's 7 years so it can't get much worse from here for a regional. Giving guys a realistic idea of major hiring and future pilot attrition based on current facts and future hiring statistics is prudent.

Originally Posted by moaralpha

don't joke about manbearpig.

Originally Posted by unit monster

LCA bid normally whether their busy or not.

Originally Posted by MR JT8D

Dead end job at Eagle, super dead end job at XJT-145 side. Period.

Originally Posted by flyingkangaroo:1299204

What is the point of these forums then? I swear I don't know why I even post here. I just said in my previous post, ( you obviously didn't read it) that anything could happen. I conceded it because I knew that posts like yours would follow. But even with that you just couldn't help it. Seriously guys I know anything could happen. It's been a rough 10 years gents and I know that, but looking at numbers (ASSUMING THE ZOMBIE APOCOLYPSE, TERRORIST ATTACKS, NATIONAL DISASTER, MASSIVE DEPRESSION, NUCLEAR WAR, AGE 67, AGE 70, AGE 102, A METEORITE STRIKE, MANBEARPIGATTACK, CIVIL WAR, ETC. ETC. ETC. DOESN'T HAPPEN!!!!) then for the love of god a normal economy with 2% growth or so will cause hiring at majors and people will start to move on...... I don't see why its hard to tell people that your upgrade wont likely be as long as the fo's working now, and likely will be around 3 years like it was in the past.

Originally Posted by unit monster

I can't seem to find the time frame for publishing Reserve Lines. LOA 11 E. 2. A. has time/date for line holders, but not reservist. This is the first month I feel hosed by PBS - and I can't swap any days until the reserves are added to Sked+.