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10-30-2017 | 08:38 PM

#8951

word302

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Joined: Mar 2011

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From: 737 FO

Quote:

Originally Posted by OneFourLeft

You're right, I see that now. Still not quite 2 years 10 month. It could drop to that once the deliveries start picking up mid 2018

With 45 more planes we'll likely see it go under 2.5 very soon.

10-31-2017 | 12:49 AM

#8952

WaterRooster

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Joined: Mar 2015

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Quote:

Originally Posted by word302

With 45 more planes we'll likely see it go under 2.5 very soon.

I think you will see more transitions then you will see upgrades. My guess is it never dips below 3 years.

10-31-2017 | 02:51 AM

#8953

RemoveB4Flight

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Joined: Jun 2016

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Quote:

Originally Posted by WaterRooster

I think you will see more transitions then you will see upgrades. My guess is it never dips below 3 years.

Never? You can’t be serious?
Deja vu of people saying it won’t happen on the CRJ.
You’re right there will be a time that there will be more transitions than upgrades, especially if they figure out the Delta benefits, but if the current demand for pilots keeps up the upgrade time will drop. Eventually like it is in the CRJ...upgrade as soon as you legally can, bypassing those who are still building time.

10-31-2017 | 04:22 AM

#8954

word302

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Joined: Mar 2011

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From: 737 FO

Quote:

Originally Posted by WaterRooster

I think you will see more transitions then you will see upgrades. My guess is it never dips below 3 years.

30 planes going to ORD? I highly doubt you are going to see more transitions than upgrades.

10-31-2017 | 04:28 AM

#8955

WaterRooster

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Quote:

Originally Posted by word302

30 planes going to ORD? I highly doubt you are going to see more transitions than upgrades.

Add the delta benefits... there are A LOT of people waiting for those. 175 is the retirement plane for most of the lifers

10-31-2017 | 04:41 AM

#8956

Nordopilot

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Joined: Mar 2017

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Quote:

Originally Posted by sn00p

I see it as about 3.1. I think the person you’re looking at is a cadet and that is not their bidding seniority.

Not sure where the 2 years 10 months is coming from though.

Yeah realized I was told bad info. Should have checked it myself! Thanks for correcting.

10-31-2017 | 04:53 AM

#8957

Cefiro

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Joined: Aug 2014

Posts: 312

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Quote:

Originally Posted by WaterRooster

Add the delta benefits... there are A LOT of people waiting for those. 175 is the retirement plane for most of the lifers

This.....if ORD get Delta benefits expect a lot of ORD CAs to transition.

10-31-2017 | 06:00 AM

#8958

amcnd

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I heard they are already talking about lowering thr Upgrade criteria.. to what I don’t know.. but it will happen. And upgrade on the ERJ will drop. most likely to the fresh 1.5-2 year CRJ Upgrades being seat locked being ERJ bypassed..

10-31-2017 | 08:31 AM

#8959

LAX2MSP

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Joined: Dec 2016

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Quote:

Originally Posted by amcnd

We are having a ton of the people with restricted ATPs getting held up by the company mandated hour requirement.

10-31-2017 | 08:46 AM

#8960

TimetoClimb

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Joined: Jan 2016

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Quote:

Originally Posted by WaterRooster

Add the delta benefits... there are A LOT of people waiting for those. 175 is the retirement plane for most of the lifers

I've heard those are coming q1 2018.
Even so the movement of these captains will drive progression across the seniority lists. They leave behind the good CRJ spots and make the CRJ upgrade more appealing. This is probably what is happening in LAX with all the transitions to ERJ SAN. Granted it may never be as good a qol but it will be better than the dtw/ord openings that many guys the heebie-jeebies.