Go Back  Airline Pilot Central Forums > Retired Airlines > Spirit
Jet blue wants us now >

Jet blue wants us now

Search

Notices

Jet blue wants us now

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 04-15-2022 | 10:00 AM
  #361  
symbian simian's Avatar
Line holder
 
Joined: Nov 2013
Posts: 4,179
Likes: 258
From: Aircraft & Seat: old & hard
Default

Originally Posted by Bluedriver
What formula or method doesn't slant towards Spirit?
Added more things after you quoted, but IMO somewhere between 50/50 and RS.
And that is just based on 20% seniority, might be different for 50%

Last edited by symbian simian; 04-15-2022 at 10:15 AM.
Old 04-15-2022 | 10:01 AM
  #362  
Line Holder
 
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 1,171
Likes: 27
Default

Originally Posted by Bluedriver
What formula or method doesn't slant towards Spirit?
..............................
Attached Images
File Type: jpg
download.jpg (6.3 KB, 447 views)
Old 04-15-2022 | 11:55 AM
  #363  
Excargodog's Avatar
Perennial Reserve
 
Joined: Jan 2018
Posts: 14,253
Likes: 257
Default

Originally Posted by BunkerF16
..............................
I’ve always found it amusing that the expressions ‘fat chance’ and ‘slim chance’ mean exactly the same thing…
Old 04-15-2022 | 12:55 PM
  #364  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Aug 2019
Posts: 1,200
Likes: 0
Default

Originally Posted by symbian simian
Sorry, but BS. If we go straight RS you would at most get 330 ahead, and 170 of those were hired before you. At most an extra 160 jump ahead, and for sure some of those are 55+. (math matters)

Assuming the same age distribution for the top 20% (50% retirements in 10 years) as NK, with no merger, you should go from 10% current to 5% at the end.
If we go DOH, you will get about 170 NK pilots ahead. if NONE of those retire (not likely) and half of the JB above retire, you will go from 9% to 5%.
If we go RS, you will stay at 11% RS at day of merger. With 0% growth, half of the JB pilots ahead of you older than you , and EVERY single NK pilot above you younger than you (not remotely likely), you will retire at 8%, a maximum 3% loss vs DOH.
I am at 20% RS now and will retire at 10% RS if we don't merge.
If we go RS, at merger I will stay at 20%, and with 50% retirements will retire at 10%.
If we go DOH I will go from 20% to 38%, and with 50% retirements will retire at 19%, a minimum 9% loss vs RS.

All based on 0% growth, although we have deliveries scheduled for over 10% for the next 3 years (no use looking further), and your own merger proposal shows 3% growth for those years without the merger.

So with DOH my loss is bigger at the end by a decent margin, but it's mostly the first years where I go from senior line holder to commuting to just above reserve, and you will stay in the same spot.
and mine will be opposite. At b6 I retire top 1%. With a doh merger I’d be lucky to get top 10-15%
Old 04-15-2022 | 01:06 PM
  #365  
Line Holder
 
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 1,171
Likes: 27
Default

Originally Posted by Excargodog
I’ve always found it amusing that the expressions ‘fat chance’ and ‘slim chance’ mean exactly the same thing…
Need to make sure all shapes and sizes don't have a chance.
Old 04-15-2022 | 01:36 PM
  #366  
symbian simian's Avatar
Line holder
 
Joined: Nov 2013
Posts: 4,179
Likes: 258
From: Aircraft & Seat: old & hard
Default

Originally Posted by SaintNick
and mine will be opposite. At b6 I retire top 1%. With a doh merger I’d be lucky to get top 10-15%
Just curious, what is your approximate DOH/DOB?
Old 04-15-2022 | 01:47 PM
  #367  
That/It/Thang
 
Joined: Aug 2020
Posts: 3,502
Likes: 368
Default

2 facts everyone needs to grasp and live with

1) Since straight DOH isnt going to be used 100%, the more senior group (B6) will see guys with longer longevity, junior to NK guys with less longevity at Spirit

2) Since Rel Seniority isnt going to be used 100%, the more junior group (NK) will see themselves with lower relative seniority than what they had at Spirit before

JBlu guys say "This isnt fair"
NK guys say "This isnt fair"

This method will most likely be a company of DOH and StatCat so the above 1 and 2 will be true, but not as drastic as if either method was used solely. This merger might not even happen, the fact guys are upset they won't retire #1 is funny. If anyone starts at an airline and thinks their seniority will hold the course of a career (especially someone hired that young) its funny and not realistic.
Old 04-15-2022 | 02:16 PM
  #368  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 2,712
Likes: 53
Default

Originally Posted by CincoDeMayo
2 facts everyone needs to grasp and live with

1) Since straight DOH isnt going to be used 100%, the more senior group (B6) will see guys with longer longevity, junior to NK guys with less longevity at Spirit

2) Since Rel Seniority isnt going to be used 100%, the more junior group (NK) will see themselves with lower relative seniority than what they had at Spirit before

JBlu guys say "This isnt fair"
NK guys say "This isnt fair"

This method will most likely be a company of DOH and StatCat so the above 1 and 2 will be true, but not as drastic as if either method was used solely. This merger might not even happen, the fact guys are upset they won't retire #1 is funny. If anyone starts at an airline and thinks their seniority will hold the course of a career (especially someone hired that young) its funny and not realistic.

^^^^^

Yep


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
Old 04-15-2022 | 07:36 PM
  #369  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Aug 2019
Posts: 1,200
Likes: 0
Default

Originally Posted by symbian simian
Just curious, what is your approximate DOH/DOB?
I’m sure it’ll end up being a mix of the two so I won’t retire in the top 15 anymore but probably still top 1-3% (hopefully) but mid 30s been here for a little under 8 years. (No exact dates so I don’t put myself). At the regionals for 6 years before that.
Old 04-15-2022 | 10:09 PM
  #370  
symbian simian's Avatar
Line holder
 
Joined: Nov 2013
Posts: 4,179
Likes: 258
From: Aircraft & Seat: old & hard
Default

Originally Posted by SaintNick
I’m sure it’ll end up being a mix of the two so I won’t retire in the top 15 anymore but probably still top 1-3% (hopefully) but mid 30s been here for a little under 8 years. (No exact dates so I don’t put myself). At the regionals for 6 years before that.
Yeah, I'm definitely not going to do a 25-30 year prognosis. If you're younger than 40 and been there for 8 years you should be okay. Having said that, if I was your age I would be on airlineapps instead of the airline pilot central
Related Topics
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
FLPilot50
Part 135
24
12-10-2019 06:03 PM
APCJacob
JetBlue
44
02-08-2019 02:41 AM
Fins Up
Major
245
04-01-2014 03:39 AM
vagabond
Hangar Talk
2
12-30-2009 03:56 AM
Bengalsfan
JetBlue
47
07-04-2005 11:16 PM

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



Your Privacy Choices