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Old 07-08-2023 | 05:27 AM
  #3111  
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Originally Posted by Ni hao
A few friends here at UA were just talking about this. I just looked up a pilot who is 44 hired 3 months ago. He never gets below 5100 on the list and that's with 21 years at UA assuming age 65 holds. Missing the boat is all relative. I can tell you that a majority of pilots United has hired are 35 and below the last 2.5 years. The numbers will only get worse 2024 and beyond. You could be 44+ in 2024 and never go lower then 7000-7500 which is crazy. There was a female I ran into in EWR 2018 she had just turned 23. She spends 21 years under 900 on the list. I was talking to a 25 year old last week in Denver just hired. He only spends 4.5 years below 900. Timing is everything as we all know.
Is there something magical about 900? I assume the numbers could change drastically if you pick 750, or 1000, or 1273, right? 900 just seems a little arbitrary.
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Old 07-08-2023 | 06:50 AM
  #3112  
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Originally Posted by Ni hao
There was a female I ran into in EWR 2018 she had just turned 23. She spends 21 years under 900 on the list. I was talking to a 25 year old last week in Denver just hired. He only spends 4.5 years below 900. Timing is everything as we all know
Unless my math is wrong, she was lying to you.
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Old 07-08-2023 | 11:31 AM
  #3113  
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Originally Posted by ATISInformation
Is there something magical about 900? I assume the numbers could change drastically if you pick 750, or 1000, or 1273, right? 900 just seems a little arbitrary.
900 is arbitrary and not special significance to my knowledge.
A small shift in number would not dramatically change the overall story. Airlines occasionally binge on certain years of hiring but not so much years of birth. Example: Almost no one was hired in 2020 but thousands hired in 2022 - so the difference between a 2020 hire and a 2018 hire isn't huge, but 2022 to 2024 is. There isn't really anything similar with "Oh we don't have anybody who was born in 1965 so no one is retiring in 2030." Point being ... a young person hired in front of a hiring wave will be very senior for a long time no matter how you measure it.
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Old 07-08-2023 | 12:08 PM
  #3114  
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Originally Posted by Brickfire
900 is arbitrary and not special significance to my knowledge.
A small shift in number would not dramatically change the overall story. Airlines occasionally binge on certain years of hiring but not so much years of birth. Example: Almost no one was hired in 2020 but thousands hired in 2022 - so the difference between a 2020 hire and a 2018 hire isn't huge, but 2022 to 2024 is. There isn't really anything similar with "Oh we don't have anybody who was born in 1965 so no one is retiring in 2030." Point being ... a young person hired in front of a hiring wave will be very senior for a long time no matter how you measure it.
No one is arguing seniority doesn't make a difference and being hired young at the beginning of a wave isn't the best case scenario.
However I pity the individual who fixates on it and uses it as a justification to throw in the towel on what they want.
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Old 07-08-2023 | 01:34 PM
  #3115  
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Originally Posted by Ottopilot
The 756 should shrink to zero in next 7 years.
They said the MD-80s would be gone in five years but it took them ten years to do it. Just a data point.
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Old 07-08-2023 | 04:23 PM
  #3116  
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Originally Posted by Brickfire
900 There isn't really anything similar with "Oh we don't have anybody who was born in 1965 so no one is retiring in 2030." Point being ... a young person hired in front of a hiring wave will be very senior for a long time no matter how you measure it.
You mean maybe, it could be 2032. Will know in a few months.
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Old 07-08-2023 | 06:04 PM
  #3117  
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United, like Delta and American, has probably hired all of its Widebody Captains for the next 25 years.

Without WB CA that in the picture it really should be a consideration for Widebody FO and Narrowbody Captain opportunities and QOL for which United lags both DAL and AA when junior in those positions. Anyone approaching 40 and applying to UAL should take this into account and probably rank UAL 3rd behind DAL and AA unless they live in a United base where the other two don’t have a presence.
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Old 07-08-2023 | 07:34 PM
  #3118  
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Originally Posted by hummingbear
This. Plenty of guys will leave this industry & airline without ever being a seniority god. That’s why it’s all the more important in the brief age of the 1 year captain that we don’t lose sight of the value that every seat down to NBFO should not just be a good job but a great career position.
From the schedules I've seen NB pilots flying, life looks pretty rough and unpleasant at UA right now if you aren't WB. My line holding buddies who have shown me their 737/Bus schedules - more so the bus - seem to look worse than some of the regional flying I used to do. Granted some of it is probably covering the regional stuff the partners can't handle, but sure doesn't look like much to write home about at this point in time. Hope you guys can make NB flying a desirable and more so a great career position to be in.
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Old 07-08-2023 | 09:42 PM
  #3119  
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Originally Posted by PorkyMcFuzz
From the schedules I've seen NB pilots flying, life looks pretty rough and unpleasant at UA right now if you aren't WB. My line holding buddies who have shown me their 737/Bus schedules - more so the bus - seem to look worse than some of the regional flying I used to do. Granted some of it is probably covering the regional stuff the partners can't handle, but sure doesn't look like much to write home about at this point in time. Hope you guys can make NB flying a desirable and more so a great career position to be in.
How is WB FO flying right now? Particularly for the new hires? I have an interview this week and it sounds like I may end up there if I get a job offer.
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Old 07-08-2023 | 11:28 PM
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Originally Posted by C340
How is WB FO flying right now? Particularly for the new hires? I have an interview this week and it sounds like I may end up there if I get a job offer.
WB flying, always and everywhere, is fundamentally different than NB.

Widebody pilots fly one leg, rest a day then fly another leg home.
Narrowbody pilots fly multiple legs, rest 12 hours, fly multiple legs, rest 12 hours, fly multiple legs home
Every time you fly a leg (double transiting a base) there’s an opportunity for trouble.

A new hire will be on reserve. It’s unpredictable (search global reserve) but most find it ok living in base. Time to line varies by base and will shift depending on how the new contract incentivizes nb ca
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