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Old 10-05-2020, 05:33 AM
  #521  
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Originally Posted by Scoop View Post
I keep hearing this - The company knows how many Pilots we will need for summer 2021. Really? The company knows how this will all play out? How exactly do they know this? What governments will retain a travel ban? What states will retain lock-down protocols? When will Disney Land Open? Does the company know these things? I don't believe that for 1 second. I don't believe anyone has anything other than a barely educated guess how this plays out. They can possibly survey for corporate/traveler intentions but with all of the variables how accurate will that be?

You give management or anyone who thinks they can predict this way too much credit. We and every other airline is blundering our way through one day at a time as best as possible. All they really know for sure is that if Cares 2 get approved we will be carrying a huge surplus of Pilots for some time. Best case, due to a confluence of events demand picks up before Cares 2 expires.

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You just posted all the reason a reduced ALV works better than any other option for the company. It probably in the end would have been the best option for us also.
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Old 10-05-2020, 05:40 AM
  #522  
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Originally Posted by Scoop View Post
I keep hearing this - The company knows how many Pilots we will need for summer 2021. Really? The company knows how this will all play out? How exactly do they know this? What governments will retain a travel ban? What states will retain lock-down protocols? When will Disney Land Open? Does the company know these things? I don't believe that for 1 second. I don't believe anyone has anything other than a barely educated guess how this plays out. They can possibly survey for corporate/traveler intentions but with all of the variables how accurate will that be?

You give management or anyone who thinks they can predict this way too much credit. We and every other airline is blundering our way through one day at a time as best as possible. All they really know for sure is that if Cares 2 get approved we will be carrying a huge surplus of Pilots for some time. Best case, due to a confluence of events demand picks up before Cares 2 expires.

Scoop
Yup. It became apparent in May/Jun that nobody really knows how this play out when AA and SWA initially announced very different approaches to capacity than DL, UA, and the rest. The top seven or so have access to the best economists and modellers money can buy, and nobody could come up with a consistent story.
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Old 10-05-2020, 05:48 AM
  #523  
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Originally Posted by Denny Crane View Post
There was no one reason. It was a combination of factors two of which you mention.

You are correct about the no metric for the VEOP. There should have been. Are you saying I shouldn’t have taken it because of no metric?

The big difference here is the memrat of LOA 20-03 and not of the VEOP let alone the company is only required to keep the 220 for an extra month. The 600 from the VEOP currently have no such restrictions.

Denny

Edit: Thinking about it, there should have been a metic tied to the VEOP. Problem is we didn’t get to vote on it like we do now.
No my point was simply that the lack of metrics wasn't a factor in your decision. I understand what your saying about the 220 and Jan 1st. However, the company can furlough the 600 whenever they want there was never such a requirement to keep any saved from the VEOP.
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Old 10-05-2020, 06:01 AM
  #524  
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Originally Posted by sailingfun View Post
You just posted all the reason a reduced ALV works better than any other option for the company. It probably in the end would have been the best option for us also.

I do not mind the ALV reduction, because like you I believe that it is totally 100% self correcting with zero effort on our part. I actually like the idea of working less vice working for less. I like a 90+ hour month as much as the next guy but I feel sorry for the guys that need 90+ hours each and every month.

I have always said my issue is that I do not trust our management team. That is the show stopper in my mind and I don't see a good way around it. Our management team has slowly and inexorably over the years eroded trust with the Pilot group. In my mind it is something they have accepted as a price to help prevent the non-contract employees from organizing but either way they have done nothing to make me feel otherwise.

The just say No crowd at DALPA have contributed somewhat to our current situation, but to me that is mainly a byproduct and enabled by managements behavior. There are win-wins out there, but it would take a huge leap of faith on the part of the Pilot group to achieve them and that faith is currently non-existent.

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Old 10-05-2020, 06:13 AM
  #525  
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Originally Posted by Scoop View Post
I do not mind the ALV reduction, because like you I believe that it is totally 100% self correcting with zero effort on our part. I actually like the idea of working less vice working for less. I like a 90+ hour month as much as the next guy but I feel sorry for the guys that need 90+ hours each and every month.

I have always said my issue is that I do not trust our management team. That is the show stopper in my mind and I don't see a good way around it. Our management team has slowly and inexorably over the years eroded trust with the Pilot group. In my mind it is something they have accepted as a price to help prevent the non-contract employees from organizing but either way they have done nothing to make me feel otherwise.

The just say No crowd at DALPA have contributed somewhat to our current situation, but to me that is mainly a byproduct and enabled by managements behavior. There are win-wins out there, but it would take a huge leap of faith on the part of the Pilot group to achieve them and that faith is currently non-existent.

Scoop
but it wasn't working less for reserve pilots. It has been published that they wanted the same number of on call days with the reduced ALV.

A perfect example of a win-win. The mil leave provision in 20-03. It could have been implemented by the company months ago, and can even be implemented tomorrow (no part of it requires MEC/pilot group approval)...yet they choose not too.
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Old 10-05-2020, 06:16 AM
  #526  
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Originally Posted by tunes View Post
but it wasn't working less for reserve pilots. It has been published that they wanted the same number of on call days with the reduced ALV.

A perfect example of a win-win. The mil leave provision in 20-03. It could have been implemented by the company months ago, and can even be implemented tomorrow (no part of it requires MEC/pilot group approval)...yet they choose not too.
where was this published? Was it in a MEC update? If so that’s BS on the company’s part. JetBlue dropped their reserve guarantee down to equal line guarantee (5 hr reduction) and got 2 extra days off for it. (15 days on call for SC, 16 for LC)
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Old 10-05-2020, 06:19 AM
  #527  
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Originally Posted by Scoop View Post
I do not mind the ALV reduction, because like you I believe that it is totally 100% self correcting with zero effort on our part. I actually like the idea of working less vice working for less. I like a 90+ hour month as much as the next guy but I feel sorry for the guys that need 90+ hours each and every month.

I have always said my issue is that I do not trust our management team. That is the show stopper in my mind and I don't see a good way around it. Our management team has slowly and inexorably over the years eroded trust with the Pilot group. In my mind it is something they have accepted as a price to help prevent the non-contract employees from organizing but either way they have done nothing to make me feel otherwise.

The just say No crowd at DALPA have contributed somewhat to our current situation, but to me that is mainly a byproduct and enabled by managements behavior. There are win-wins out there, but it would take a huge leap of faith on the part of the Pilot group to achieve them and that faith is currently non-existent.

Scoop
I can’t argue with anything in your post. It’s also probably to late now from a pilot perspective to get the most benefit of a ALV reduction because the displacements are simply to far along. If in June the union had put out a good analysis of how various options might effect the pilot group including how displacements would reduce income, support for a ALV reduction might have been strong. It also would have positioned the company to respond quickly to market changes which benefits the pilots with increased growth and a quicker return of profits.
The impression I get is the unions plan was similar to Trumps. The virus would just go away. It didn’t and it’s not going away. As a result both the company and the union are seeing a worse outcome. Let’s hope it does not become terminal. This is starting to remind me of 911. We entered that crises as possibly the best positioned airline yet in the end came closest to not surviving.
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Old 10-05-2020, 06:53 AM
  #528  
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Originally Posted by Scoop View Post
I do not mind the ALV reduction, because like you I believe that it is totally 100% self correcting with zero effort on our part. I actually like the idea of working less vice working for less. I like a 90+ hour month as much as the next guy but I feel sorry for the guys that need 90+ hours each and every month.

I have always said my issue is that I do not trust our management team. That is the show stopper in my mind and I don't see a good way around it. Our management team has slowly and inexorably over the years eroded trust with the Pilot group. In my mind it is something they have accepted as a price to help prevent the non-contract employees from organizing but either way they have done nothing to make me feel otherwise.

The just say No crowd at DALPA have contributed somewhat to our current situation, but to me that is mainly a byproduct and enabled by managements behavior. There are win-wins out there, but it would take a huge leap of faith on the part of the Pilot group to achieve them and that faith is currently non-existent.

Scoop
I'm already working less. I looked at my 12 month average in February. 89 credit with 7 months regular line and 5 months reserve. Normal vacation time, CQ and a few days of GSs. I'm now planning 72 on minimum reserve for the foreseeable future. That is a 20% reduction. I haven't even mentioned PS or the fact that many pilots are still displacing to a lower paying seat. The fact is management has lost so much trust with me that I don't even believe their numbers. They will not give a cost target or metrics for how the reductions will be applied to a target. 2558 was based on the furlough protection in the PWA, nothing more. 1941 was just a convenient number that was still substantial but allowed for some further reduction while still maintaining a significant number for leverage. 1721 is again a trigger number for furlough pay FM in the PWA. The total lack of transparency and their financial moves make me believe the cost target for flight ops is a random WAG for a long term recovery. If things go better than the WAG, management gets to play good guy and "save" people. All of this is crisis based manufactured leverage, nothing more. They will furlough based on need and nothing we agree to will change that.

Last edited by notEnuf; 10-05-2020 at 07:23 AM.
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Old 10-05-2020, 06:55 AM
  #529  
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Originally Posted by sailingfun View Post
I can’t argue with anything in your post. It’s also probably to late now from a pilot perspective to get the most benefit of a ALV reduction because the displacements are simply to far along. If in June the union had put out a good analysis of how various options might effect the pilot group including how displacements would reduce income, support for a ALV reduction might have been strong. It also would have positioned the company to respond quickly to market changes which benefits the pilots with increased growth and a quicker return of profits.
The impression I get is the unions plan was similar to Trumps. The virus would just go away. It didn’t and it’s not going away. As a result both the company and the union are seeing a worse outcome. Let’s hope it does not become terminal. This is starting to remind me of 911. We entered that crises as possibly the best positioned airline yet in the end came closest to not surviving.
So is it fair to say you believe this is the unions fault? Or is the above suppose to indicate both sides take a share of the blame?
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Old 10-05-2020, 06:58 AM
  #530  
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Originally Posted by theUpsideDown View Post
So is it fair to say you believe this is the unions fault? Or is the above suppose to indicate both sides take a share of the blame?
Both sides share the blame. The current MEC is a Frankenstein but it’s managements creation.
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