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-   -   Any "Latest & Greatest" about Delta? (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/delta/36912-any-latest-greatest-about-delta.html)

iceman49 04-01-2009 02:49 PM


Originally Posted by acl65pilot (Post 588519)
Believe what you want. I am not adding my take to the info, just telling you want I was told in the first person.
Remember that the 88 and 9 are the new workhorses of this fleet.

Originally I was told they were 1 for 1 and last week I was told that they were now growth airframes. Go in to the CPO office here in ATL and ask our old CP or new one. I heard both of them say it. Better yet go ask Steve on Thursday night here in PTC.
Do not take my word for it. Go ask the questions. I just ask a lot of questions and post what I am told, no more no less.

So what RA said just 2 weeks ago "no main line growth for 18 months," and no new aircraft other than what was previously ordered...has changed? Good

deltabound 04-01-2009 03:30 PM


Originally Posted by sailingfun (Post 588738)
At the NYC flight ops road show they said that CVG and MEM were the worst performing hubs however would be kept open for the near term because of political promises. It did not sound like either hub has a real long term future in the Delta business plan. I would be surprised to see any additional aircraft or pilots based in either base.

Heh.

So apparently promises TO politicians need to be kept, eh? Too bad that's a one way street . . .

Bucking Bar 04-01-2009 04:54 PM


Originally Posted by Ferd149 (Post 588715)
Buck,

Do you have the numbers on the EMB series handy? I think those would be interesting too.

CASM goes down when you can spread it out over more seats (in general). Why I've always argued that SWA never purchased an RJ.

Ferd

Nope, the airlines that operate them for Delta are too small to hit the level that requires reporting. Compass is not reported on NWA's data.

Bucking Bar 04-01-2009 04:56 PM


Originally Posted by Superpilot92 (Post 588742)
Arent those numbers based on 1000 mile segments? Most of the -9s routes arent that long so the numbers are skewed.

Based on whatever they flew.

Bucking Bar 04-01-2009 05:04 PM


Originally Posted by Fly4hire (Post 588723)
Are those generic costs, or DAL's?

Also RASM is the real number - sure a CRJ is half as expensive carrying half as many pax as DC930. To carry the same number of pax you have to fly 2 CRJ's at a combined cost of 13.8 cents/mile.

The airlines report this data to the US Department of Transportation, the numbers are as Delta and NWA reported them. The cost is per seat.

Your analysis is incorrect if you had two airplanes there would be twice as many seats, when you divided your double costs by two, the result remains the same. (CASM * 2) / 2 = same same.

The RJ is cheaper than the DC9 to operate on a segment, trip, or seat basis. It also gives an MD88 a run for its money. Hence the economic reason why they are (and will) continue to replace the DC9 and MD88.

There are other factors that affect the decision, including performance limitations, frequency and resource saturation, but the primary driver is cost.

forgot to bid 04-01-2009 07:41 PM

According to the information gold mine Bar has given us, the fuel cost per ASM for ASA and Comair is around $0.09-$0.095, Delta mainline is a little more than half that in the $0.0533 range which is, fwiw, slightly lower than AirTran's. Now, that puts DAL's overall CASM at around $.16 a mile and I'm seeing Comairs at around $.22 per mile, which is the highest of any RJ operation and nearly double that of ExpressJet and almost $.10 more than Skywest, ouch.

So, I'm going to go out on a limb and say, the CRJ-200 operated in large mass by certain DCIs is a money loser unless its on the right route but the number of those right routes are probably a small margin of the routes currently flown by the jet. I bet Delta would much rather ditch it all together and use at a minimum more CRJ700s and maybe 50 seat turboprops with probably far better CASMs. Since we don't see turboprops being ordered, then my guess is, Delta will need to figure out how it can replace more 50 seaters with 70, 2 for 1 swap, and increase how many they're allowed to use... now how would they do that?


...
I'd like to know if DAL could make money turning the CRJ-200s that might be parked into corporate jets under their Delta Elite brand (but not operation, that operation is sub par according to a lot of people I've talked to) and selling them in 20-40 hour blocks (membership cards)? Sell them just as they're currently marketed, the Challenger 850... i.e. the Challenger 604 on sterorids. They don't have range, that hurts, some could though with this center tank mod but more importantly I see corporate jets running NY-FLA, a run a 12-14 seat Challenger 850 could easily do.

forgot to bid 04-01-2009 08:29 PM


Originally Posted by Bucking Bar (Post 588695)
6/2207 t0 6/2008 Data as reported by US DOT, BTS, form 41

ASM Cost
DC930.. 13.1 cents / mi
DC950.. 9.5
MD88... 8.5
CRJ9... 7.9
737..... 5.5

The MEC was right, the RJs are good for Delta.

Did you happen to see the 744 numbers?

Arnold Poon 04-02-2009 03:27 AM


Originally Posted by Superpilot92 (Post 588742)
Arent those numbers based on 1000 mile segments? Most of the -9s routes arent that long so the numbers are skewed.

What difference would that make? It still would make the -9 the most expensive, not the cheapest.

1234 04-02-2009 05:29 AM


Originally Posted by Bucking Bar (Post 588872)

Your analysis is incorrect if you had two airplanes there would be twice as many seats, when you divided your double costs by two, the result remains the same. (CASM * 2) / 2 = same same.

The RJ is cheaper than the DC9 to operate on a segment, trip, or seat basis. It also gives an MD88 a run for its money. Hence the economic reason why they are (and will) continue to replace the DC9 and MD88.

Are you saying that if you have 100 pax going from point A to point B at the same time, the company would be better off sending 2 50 seats wingtip flights because the total cost for that route would be the CASM of one RJ and not 2 RJ's?

The problem with a 50 seater is that it is revenue limited. With more seats, marketing has greater flexibility in pricing to maximize revenue. Limited to only 50 seats and the options are quite limited.

forgot to bid 04-02-2009 05:41 AM

If you could send 2 76 seaters for the cost of 1 100 seat DC9, then you would because thats an extra 52 seats for the same price plus you could offer flights 2 or 3 hours apart. If its 2 50-seat CRJ200s for the cost of 1 100-seat DC9 then whats the point? Their goal isn't to keep either the CRJ200 or DC9, otherwise we'd still have 732s. Their goal is to get cheaper airplanes operating in mass.

Now, the problem is if 2 76 seaters = 1 150 seater (i.e. MD88). If that happens or if it is happening, then we've got a problem because all things being equal I think the company would rather offer frequency and the pricing advantages therein rather than run a single jet. Thus the whole reason for ensuring scope is not relaxed by our pilot group and/or our union and we secure 76 seaters on our side of the fence. Or, the company will in its financial interest continue to pursue scope relaxation while at the same time moving towards the elimination of the 9 followed shortly thereafter with the MD88 and they could potentially get both.


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