Class Drop List
01-15-2019 | 07:47 PM
#417
In a land of unicorns
Joined: Apr 2014
Posts: 7,072
Likes: 102
From: Whale FO
approx. 50% attrition outside flow last year. New hire is ~2100 slots from flow. Run the numbers, they're not far off. I said marginally. Any changes and it might jump to 7, but with the hiring increasing at all legacies, I bet it only gets better.
01-15-2019 | 07:51 PM
#418
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Jul 2008
Posts: 610
Likes: 0
I’d be surprised if it wasn’t better than 6 years. There’s an incredible amount of attrition to be had as hiring continues to ramp up at the legacies and majors for the foreseeable future. Of course, any number of variables could happen making the flow much shorter or much longer. Therefore, keep your apps updated and see what happens — worst case you end up at AA someday ... maybe.
01-15-2019 | 07:54 PM
#419
In a land of unicorns
Joined: Apr 2014
Posts: 7,072
Likes: 102
From: Whale FO
I’d be surprised if it wasn’t better than 6 years. There’s an incredible amount of attrition to be had as hiring continues to ramp up at the legacies and majors for the foreseeable future. Of course, any number of variables could happen making the flow much shorter or much longer. Therefore, keep your apps updated and see what happens — worst case you end up at AA someday ... maybe.
01-15-2019 | 07:58 PM
#420
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Nov 2016
Posts: 2,607
Likes: 12
You still have to get through a huge amount of new hires in late '16 and all of '17. Those earlier guys on that wave will have a sub 6 year flow... some very few might have sub 4. After those earlier guys, the number shoot up. By the time you get to '18 hires, you have to assume that all the predicted attrition is senior to them to be sub 6 years and it's worse after that.
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