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Old 05-29-2015 | 12:12 PM
  #541  
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Originally Posted by eaglefly



That I did and it only took 12 years despite the promise of 2. May you do a whole lot better, but so far all I see is the same old sell with no concrete commitments.
Current CA here now and should be over in 12 as well.. Not horrible considering no Hiring at the majors until recently, flowbacks still here, bankruptcy, age 65 etc...

New hires should have it way better than us. They are seeing DAL, UAL and AA hiring 2000-3000 pilots a year combined. That number will go up even higher 4-5 years from now. Where all we saw was basically zero to a trickle for.. years.
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Old 05-29-2015 | 12:17 PM
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Originally Posted by eaglefly
...and yet knowing that you STILL refuse to accept that a MULTITUDE of situations from terrorism, to global economics, to politics, to energy, to capacity reductions and the scheduling and furlough recall issues internal to AA ALL could (and to some degree WILL) likely negatively impact the "6-year" projection (again, look up the definition of that term). On top of that NONE of what so far HAS occurred CAN occur without Envoy hiring a MINIMUM 50 pilots each and every month from here on out and pilots which by the way simply DON'T EXIST in the pipeline.

Come on, man...........get real. All this hinges on virtually EVERYTHING going right from here on out and that's a fool's assumption.
The new hire issue you speak of is absolutely the weak link of this chain. There simply aren't enough prospective pilots to cover 50 new hires a month for 6 years to get that most junior guy hired today a seat at AA.

I'm just curious as to how Cujo went from "ALPA facilitating careers elsewhere" to "This is the greatest regional and we will all be AA pilots". Envoy management clearly made a threat against the union to cease the "abandon ship" maneuver or else. Cujo caved and he is now the biggest cheerleader Pedro has.

For anyone considering Envoy look at the actual facts, not a hopeful projection based off ideal circumstances. Envoy is not likely to get the amount of new hires required to cover flow movement over the given time frame, who will flow? The 824 and likely the most senior protected pilots (of which I'm fairly certain is none other than Cujo himself). Look at motivations. Cujo has been threatened by the company and desperately needs the flow to work at least to his seniority level as he is in his late 40s and likely doesn't have any other options.

The regional landscape will change drastically over the next decade, I'm not sure if it will lead to flow agreements, benefit increases, or something not thought of yet. What I do know is that Cujo has led people down this rabbit hole before as "Mason32" and he clearly has ulterior motives.
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Old 05-29-2015 | 12:21 PM
  #543  
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Originally Posted by eaglefly
...and yet knowing that you STILL refuse to accept that a MULTITUDE of situations from terrorism, to global economics, to politics, to energy, to capacity reductions and the scheduling and furlough recall issues internal to AA ALL could (and to some degree WILL) likely negatively impact the "6-year" projection (again, look up the definition of that term). On top of that NONE of what so far HAS occurred CAN occur without Envoy hiring a MINIMUM 50 pilots each and every month from here on out and pilots which by the way simply DON'T EXIST in the pipeline.

Come on, man...........get real. All this hinges on virtually EVERYTHING going right from here on out and that's a fool's assumption.
Yep, lots could happen; but unless they find the fountain of youth those guys are all retiring and we replace 50% of them. That's a cold hard fact. It sucks that you got stuck at Eagle through no fault of your own. Doesn't change the fact that the flow is now retirement driven. Absent going out of business, we get 50%.
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Old 05-29-2015 | 12:24 PM
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Originally Posted by eaglefly
I think non-Envoy pilots would be smart not to bite at this latest carrot just yet (and if any airline has a history of cultivating enticing carrots to pilots over the last 19 years, it's this one). Again, so far ALL that has occurred regarding the future is PROMISES. Here's some facts;

Envoy has flowed X pilots to AA for the combination of two reasons. First, AA has been hiring (more modestly as of late though) and second, Envoy has been legally REQUIRED to flow the number of pilots it has over the last two years or so as part of the 824 grievance award. If AA is hiring (they are), Envoy management has NO choice to move these pilots to AA. HOWEVER..........once those 824 have flowed (500 or so to go), it becomes more of a contractual flow (the "protected pilots") and then the requirements can be altered or possibly even voided at some point in the future due to any number of scenarios including, but not limited to merger or even liquidation of Envoy.

.
The protected pilots flow is not just a contractual thing they can throw out or modify because they feel like it. It is a legal grievance settlement agreement in case 0411/Transfer of assets.

It does include protection in the event of a merger. Have you read the documents?
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Old 05-29-2015 | 12:27 PM
  #545  
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Originally Posted by amcnd
The biggest flaw. Is it's not 1 list.. Problem solved.. Make it simple
Yes, it would. Gee, you'd think if AAG truly intended to make the Eagle system including Envoy the only path to AA, they'd have pounced on this, yet............nothing. Instead, local flight dept. types at least at Envoy are putting out letters that are exactly like ones that were previously disseminated, just to a new audience, most of which hasn't seen this before and ALL predicated on hypothetical projections...........again.

Not surprisingly, some are planning on buying things with checks that not only might bounce, but that haven't even arrived in the mail, only the promise that it IS in the mail. Pilots.........what'ya gonna do ?
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Old 05-29-2015 | 12:28 PM
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Originally Posted by Bzzt
The new hire issue you speak of is absolutely the weak link of this chain. There simply aren't enough prospective pilots to cover 50 new hires a month for 6 years to get that most junior guy hired today a seat at AA.

I'm just curious as to how Cujo went from "ALPA facilitating careers elsewhere" to "This is the greatest regional and we will all be AA pilots". Envoy management clearly made a threat against the union to cease the "abandon ship" maneuver or else. Cujo caved and he is now the biggest cheerleader Pedro has.

For anyone considering Envoy look at the actual facts, not a hopeful projection based off ideal circumstances. Envoy is not likely to get the amount of new hires required to cover flow movement over the given time frame, who will flow? The 824 and likely the most senior protected pilots (of which I'm fairly certain is none other than Cujo himself). Look at motivations. Cujo has been threatened by the company and desperately needs the flow to work at least to his seniority level as he is in his late 40s and likely doesn't have any other options.

The regional landscape will change drastically over the next decade, I'm not sure if it will lead to flow agreements, benefit increases, or something not thought of yet. What I do know is that Cujo has led people down this rabbit hole before as "Mason32" and he clearly has ulterior motives.
The flow after the 824 is not predicated upon ever having been a captain. We could shrink this airline right down to 40 E75's and it wouldn't change the fact that retirement based hiring at AA sends every single one of our guys over in under 6 years. Stopping the shrinking just means upgrades and better QOL for all.

Id be more concerned about the reps they aren't trying to intimidate. When was the last time a training center rep got targeted?
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Old 05-29-2015 | 12:31 PM
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Originally Posted by Cujo665
The flow after the 824 is not predicated upon ever having been a captain. We could shrink this airline right down to 40 E75's and it wouldn't change the fact that retirement based hiring at AA sends every single one of our guys over in under 6 years. Stopping the shrinking just means upgrades and better QOL for all.

Id be more concerned about the reps they aren't trying to intimidate. When was the last time a training center rep got targeted?
I wouldn't worry about it there are still plenty of dummies out there who will go to Envoy. They know what's involved yet they will risk everything to see their E175 dreams fulfilled. It's real airplane you know, just like the big boys have. Like that old saying 'there's one born every minute'.
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Old 05-29-2015 | 12:34 PM
  #548  
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This is the actual flow language in case anyone wants to read facts.
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Old 05-29-2015 | 12:36 PM
  #549  
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Originally Posted by RyanP
The protected pilots flow is not just a contractual thing they can throw out or modify because they feel like it. It is a legal grievance settlement agreement in case 0411/Transfer of assets.

It does include protection in the event of a merger. Have you read the documents?
I did once, but don't have it anymore, but please post it to support your claim. At any rate, the disposition of Envoy and any and all contractually related agreements with pilots can be circumvented by several methods of dissolution of the carrier aside from a straight merger. Might I suggest review the AA/TWA asset acquisition and offer of employment as a resource ?

If there is one thing your union past, present and certainly future has proven is that with the correct threat (that doesn't even have to exist like your pseudo-1113 during AMR's chapter 11 ), they'll not only agree to just about anything, they'll bust their humps to convince you to as well.
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Old 05-29-2015 | 12:44 PM
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Originally Posted by Cujo665
The flow after the 824 is not predicated upon ever having been a captain. We could shrink this airline right down to 40 E75's and it wouldn't change the fact that retirement based hiring at AA sends every single one of our guys over in under 6 years. Stopping the shrinking just means upgrades and better QOL for all.
This assumes AA hires an equal or greater number of pilots then those that retire. I fly here and I'm not confident in that occurring at all. Why you are is beyond my comprehension.

Originally Posted by Cujo665
Id be more concerned about the reps they aren't trying to intimidate. When was the last time a training center rep got targeted?
Is this you claiming a "career decision day" (the FINAL step of the PPC process) that others claim you have was strictly management harassment ? Signing that is voluntary and NOBODY signs that paper unless there is some validity in that. That's like signing a confession for a murder you didn't commit. Gee, if so, that's not a very glowing statement of ALPA having your back, ESPECIALLY being a rep ?
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